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Betting Post-Mortem: WEC 39


(There’s my boy.  Photo courtesy of WEC.tv)

As some of you have noted in the comments to our Gambling Addiction Enabler series, following our betting advice seems likely to lead to financial ruin.  Weird, I know.  It’s almost as if you shouldn’t make financial decisions based on what you read for free on the internet while you’re supposed to be working.

But in an effort to bring accountability and transparency to the Gambling Addiction Enabler, here’s how I did following my own advice for WEC 39.

The Bet: $20 on Mike Brown at -185 (BetUs.com)
The Outcome: Won a cool $10.81 (plus, you know, my original twenty back). 
What I Learned:
Yes, I know I’m betting small here but it’s the WEC, which is basically the dog track of MMA.  You don’t want to blow hundreds of dollars on some greyhounds that will be euthanized four months from now, so to speak.  (To really lose your ass, you go to Santa Anita.  Which for the purposes of this ill-fated analogy, is the UFC.)  My faith in Brownie paid off here, albeit in meager fashion.  But I’m building my gambling fortune empire and like they say, Rome wasn’t built in a day.  It also wasn’t built on twenty-dollar bets on guys who were favored at almost 2-1, but I’m conveniently ignoring that fact in order to savor this win.



The Bet: $20 on Rob McCullough at -160
The Outcome: Won $12.50
What I Learned: I originally planned to only put ten bucks on McCullough, but that felt like too much of a pussy bet even to me, even after I tried to justify it to myself as a “recession bet.”  At some point I was forced to admit that a) there’s no such thing as a recession bet, it was just something I made up, and b) what’s another ten bucks?  Fortunately, I wasn’t penalized for this idiotic thought process, though the way the fight went down I couldn’t really feel good about the victory either.

The Bet: $20 parlay on Brown + McCullough + Hendricks + Palaszewski
The Outcome: Screwed by Palaszewski
What I Learned: I really have to stop putting my faith in guys who I remember from the IFL.  It’s dumb, most of them aren’t as good as they seemed back then, and there is money at stake here.  Lesson learned.  I hope.

Didn’t Bet Against: Jose Aldo.  The line was tempting, but for good reason.  Aldo walked through Chris Mickle and brought some credibility back to Cage Potato’s “Absolutely Don’t Bet Against” feature, which was severely damaged by Josh Koscheck’s loss at UFC 95 and Chris Wilson‘s loss at UFC 94.

Net Result: Began with $60 and ended with $63.31 for a profit of $3.31.  Yippee.  Think I’ll go buy myself a slice of pizza to celebrate.  If only I could also afford a drink…

Cagepotato Comments

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yuntian- November 13, 2011 at 6:42 pm
speculation that Coach Outlet France could soon senior credit strategist at Bank investors are increasingly concerned
MarciiS- March 3, 2009 at 3:38 pm
Dear god, all the refs in the WEC have been replaced by nervous umpa lumpas. At least we don't have mazzagatti to deal with.
VideodromeNow- March 2, 2009 at 3:01 pm
@ The Biz

You get my notorious "Claim of the Day" award. High Five.
carl spackler- March 2, 2009 at 11:41 am
no side order of fries?
Beau- March 2, 2009 at 11:26 am
mike brown looked straight up scary.... Faber better have a good game plan and good luck.
Just Curious- March 2, 2009 at 11:16 am
@ mayhem420

thanks for the info. i always imagined they would be very active and hyper dogs bc of the background in racing. such beautiful dogs. i'm definitely looking into this. love the fact that they are good with smaller pets.
Anonymous- March 2, 2009 at 11:05 am
+400, helped out one of my parlays
mayhem420- March 2, 2009 at 11:02 am
@Just Curious - when I got them one was 2 the other was 3 both males.
Now they are 8 and 9 and both are GREAT with kids. I also have a cat so smaller animals are not a problem. Check out the site I linked above, this is the site I got both of mine through. Before you take a dog/s home they are put in foster care to make sure that they are ok with kids and other animals.
They are the BEST dogs I ever had... and I had allot of other breeds growing up.
They make PREFECT apartment dogs. Not hyper at ALL.
SiDeBuRnZ- March 2, 2009 at 10:42 am
Being in the dog track of MMA = no pussy for a long long time
TUF Guy- March 2, 2009 at 10:33 am
Some of you guys need to keep your comments less than 10 sentences long. Fah Real
Scott H- March 2, 2009 at 10:26 am
Razor Rob doesn't have nothin on Razor Ramon.
Just Curious- March 2, 2009 at 10:22 am
@ Mayhem420

damn, that's really sad. can;t believe that actually happens.
how big are your dogs and how much to they weigh?
are they good with children?
Jeffro- March 2, 2009 at 10:21 am
What happened to your legs?
The Biz- March 2, 2009 at 10:21 am
Razor Rob and Marcus Hicks could have been the worst fight in recent memory! Kalib Starnes put on more of a match against Nate Quarry than those two douches.

They also looked like two midgets fighting. Seriously, doesn't Razor Rob have that midget look to him? The dude is straight funny looking.
WAR MACHINE - March 2, 2009 at 10:20 am
FUCK A GREYHOUND!!!!!
Justin- March 2, 2009 at 10:10 am
@ Fedor a million ankles:
My friend you don't know how lucky you are. I can't think of anywhere around here where I can get a slice of pizza and a drink for under $4.00. Also, I can't "walk down the street" and get to anywhere worth a damn. The only thing I can get by walking down the street is rabies from the scary stray dog that nobody can seem to run over. The bottom line is, you should have no reason to be hostile to Ben. Just be happy you can walk and buy cheap food. Did I mention I don't have legs?
Anonymous- March 2, 2009 at 10:04 am
Wish I bet some money on paulo thiago, does anyone know what the payout was for that fight?
CP Fan- March 2, 2009 at 9:59 am
I think he's just saying that the fights are always unpredictable, and that's very true. Mike Brown wasn't supposed to beat Faber.
MMAWarehouse- March 2, 2009 at 9:47 am
The "dog track" of MMA? Last time I checked, Mike Brown is the #1 featherweight in the world. There's another guy named Miguel Torres who is easily one of the top pound for pound fighters in history. C'mon CP, you're better than that!
Little Dan- March 2, 2009 at 9:43 am
Wow congratulations on the big win....you won enough money to buy 16 Ramen Noodle Packages. See it suddenly seems all worth it now doesn't it?
Faber Fan- March 2, 2009 at 9:37 am
more like he gives head to the Arian brotherhood at the local prison.
beforeskin- March 2, 2009 at 9:35 am
That's because the Dr. Pepper is free, thanks to Chinese Democracy.
Dankbudz- March 2, 2009 at 9:33 am
mike brown looks like he could be the head of the Arian brotherhood at the local prison
Fedor a million ankles- March 2, 2009 at 9:30 am
Um, I can most certainly walk down the street and buy a slice of pizza and a 20oz Dr. Pepper for less than $3.31.

What NOW Ben?
Dangada Dang- March 2, 2009 at 9:30 am
Mickle has the hand eye coordination of Hellen Keller in a game of online Halo
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