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Betting Post-Mortem: WEC 40


(Do you have to be so smug about my misfortune, Henderson? Photo courtesy WEC.tv)

Potato Nation, let me level with you here.  The old Gambling Addiction Enabler had himself one hell of a bad night on Sunday.  As in, he has spent all day talking himself out of cutting his wrists with shards of the beer bottle he smashed against the wall just after Jeff Curran lost.  The fact that this horrible gambling outing came after his great success at UFC Fight Night 18, that just makes it hurt so much more.  The highs are high indeed, and the lows so miserably low.  The Snoop Dogg posters I bought with my UFC 96 winnings, they mock me even as I write these words.  

On to the sad particulars, and let’s see if we can’t learn from this disaster.

The Bet: $20 on Shane Roller
The Result: Lost, due to possibly bullshit stoppage
Thoughts: I refuse to beat myself up for this bet.  Roller had Henderson hurt early and nearly finished him with a guillotine.  Alas, it wasn’t to be.  I have to admit, this fight does make me rethink my betting philosophy for WEC events.  When two relatively inexperienced guys both drop each other within the first two minutes of the fight, picking the winner is basically a crapshoot.  Lesson learned?


The Bet: $20 on Jeff Curran
The Result: Lost, again
Thoughts: I couldn’t see Curran, who had suffered back-to-back losses to Urijah Faber and Mike Brown, dropping a third straight fight to Faber’s young protégé.  And yet that’s exactly what he did.  So did I underestimate Benavidez or overestimate Curran?  Probably a little of both.  Curran’s not exactly washed up, but when he can’t get the fight to his comfort zone he runs out of weapons too quickly.  Give Benavidez credit, he showed he can hang with the big boys.  I can appreciate that, even if it cost me.

The Bet: $20 Parlay on Torres + Tapia + Fabiano + Yahya
The Result: Lost…thanks, Tapia
Thoughts: Damn, even the Official Cage Potato Parlay didn’t pan out.  It was only Manny Tapia’s decision loss to Akitoshi Tamura that kept me from salvaging the night.  Maybe that beating from Miguel Torres did more damage to Tapia than I realized, because Tamura really isn’t that good.  If you’re wondering whether there’s any solace in only losing the parlay because of one wrong pick, the answer is no.  No solace at all.

So what have I learned from this horrible gambling experience?  Not much, except maybe that I should tread lightly with WEC bets from here on in.  And that I should go sell my plasma and/or sperm so I have cash to bet on Strikeforce and UFC 97.  I gotta win that money back somehow, right?  

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TwoFistedFlava- April 7, 2009 at 5:45 am
The Roller-Henderson fight was not a bullshit stoppage, and I really don't think Henderson was hurt after those punches, he just slipped to the ground. In any case, it's really not the kind of MMA fight you should be betting on in the first place. Same thing with Curran/Benavidez, I wouldn't have bet on that fight because both guys have a good shot at winning.
Anonymous- April 6, 2009 at 7:53 pm
Ben Henderson had JESUS on his side, you bet against JESUS, you lose!
LAS- April 6, 2009 at 7:33 pm
Just because the crowd booed the decision doesn't make it wrong. Every live scoring tally I've seen gave the first two rounds to Tamura.
MKXii- April 6, 2009 at 6:36 pm
Where'd you get that pic of Manny Ramirez?
Lil' Doomsday- April 6, 2009 at 6:11 pm
Maybe Tamura IS that good, or maybe he has gotten better. :P
Hey LT- April 6, 2009 at 4:53 pm
Go put on some man pants.
Douchey McDoucherton- April 6, 2009 at 4:37 pm
I would have expected you to know that the Curran-Benavidez fight would have been a toss up. Everyone wanted Curran to win but Benavidez is tough. How brutal would your suicide be if you placed a bet on Silva and wound up lossing?....just asking a question.
emo sux- April 6, 2009 at 4:32 pm
"I declare shinnanigans!" -Stan Mash
Kyle B- April 6, 2009 at 4:00 pm
Fowlkes, a few things.

Tapia was robbed in his fight. I was at the event, and the crowd booed the decision pretty hard. Objectively (and I don't really like Tapia), he won that fight.

Also, never bet against a man whose entrance music is an epic rap version of, "Our God is an Awesome God." Should have bet on Henderson and not Roller.
LT- April 6, 2009 at 3:57 pm
While I agree the Roller/Henderson fight could have continued, you're only calling it a "bullshit" stoppage because you lost. Curran/Benavidez should not have been bet on, period. Actually, a good rule is don't bet on MMA, period, because anything can happen in any fight.
ben- April 6, 2009 at 3:50 pm
Fowlkes, your bookie just called.  He wants to know if you can blog with just your left hand. Not sure what that means.
Unless...- April 6, 2009 at 3:45 pm
you also placed bets on WEC 40. If you did, you can think to yourself "I know, right!?" as you read this post.
David Davidson- April 6, 2009 at 3:40 pm
useless post
Anonymous- April 6, 2009 at 3:35 pm
HA!
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