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‘Fedor vs. Werdum’ Advance Betting Lines: Wanna Make $89,150 the Hard Way?


(Feelin’ lucky?)

Okay, I know it’s too early to do a Gambling Addiction Enabler on Strikeforce’s "Fedor vs. Werdum" show (June 26, San Jose), but I just had to pass along the squashtastic betting lines that have been released for the top four fights on the card. Check it out:

Fedor Emelianenko -1000 vs. Fabricio Werdum +500
Cristiane Santos -2500 vs. Jan Finney +1000
Cung Le -400 vs. Scott Smith +275
– KJ Noons -500 vs. Charles Bennett +360

Let me try to put this in perspective. According to BetUs.com, if you place a $100 parlay bet on all four of the underdogs listed above, and they all somehow manage to win their fights, you would walk away with a profit of $89,150. A more modest $20 parlay bet would net you $17,830


The weird thing is, the parlay is only ridiculous because Jan Finney is going to get straight blasted by Cris Cyborg. (I know, I know, there are no guarantees in MMA, but come on, that’s a guarantee.) Werdum has a grappler’s chance as soon as the fight hits the ground — he’s the reigning ADCC heavyweight champ, don’t forget — and whoever decided Scott Smith and "Kid Kaos" Bennett should be heavy underdogs against Cung Le and KJ Noons must have forgotten that both of those fights are rematches of fights that Smith and Bennett won by knockout. Legitimate WTF. Cung Le is still a 4-1 favorite after getting starched by Smith in December? The fuck outta here.

So let’s be serious. Twenty bucks on a successful Werdum/Smith/Bennett parlay, hypothetically speaking, would earn you $1,765. In other words, you sacrifice one lap-dance now for the chance to go hog-wild in the Champagne Room later. Think about it.

(BG)

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Vance Maximo- February 13, 2011 at 9:35 pm
A demo video clip about Nicholas Robert Diaz and supposedly all born on August 1 of leap years or August 2 of common years. Especially helpful to those that like strong sensations, escapades, passion, sobbing, etc. Thought I would discuss, perhaps someone out there will probably try this out. manipulate - Catalog of human population (chp)
Clyde- June 2, 2010 at 6:04 am
I've just discovered that I do have some savings, and realise that if I bet the £4500 I've found down the back of the sofa and place it on the 4 underdog parlay, it will net me a grand total of... [counts fingers]...[gets calculator]... fuck all. Based on the fact that there is fuck all chance of it happening. Much as I want to see Scott Smith pull off another miracle, I really don't want to risk my savings on it happening again, not after the beating he took last time around.

Also, Strikeforce; put on some competetive and meaningful fights. How many times have you seen the strikeforce betting odds with along the lines of -130 and +100 for the favourite/underdog? 3? And -2500? How can you even sanction that bout? I think Anderson Silva would be -2500 if he fought steven Hawking.
fatbellyfrank- June 1, 2010 at 10:37 pm
"and they all somehow manage to win their fights, you would walk away with a profit of $89,150." And chances of Finney and werdum winning their respective scraps would be somewhere between zero and fuckall, thats why they call it gambling I suppose, If I had a bit of cash needed laundering I might have a look at those bets.
Werdum, smith Bennet is a better chance but I still dont see Werdum dropping Fedor, but it is only $20, hmmmm, thats a tasty payout for $20, hmmmmmm
Mr_Misanthropy- June 1, 2010 at 6:32 pm
A farthing and two pence you say? My word!
Nut Puncher 9000- June 1, 2010 at 5:28 pm
Seriously...strap one on and play the game.
ihateemo- June 1, 2010 at 5:01 pm
I know that the chances of winning a five-figure payout has everyone (including me!) ready to throw their money at the bookmakers, but let's SIBBUH DOWN for a second, mmmkay?

- Werdum won a lackluster decision over Bigfoot Silva, choked out Mike Kyle (who, let's face it, is really not that great), got starched by dos Santos and won via Miragliotta stoppage over Brandon Vera. If this were a straight up grappling tournament then these odds would be crazy. But since Werdum responds to being hit in the face the same way a house of cards responds to a leaf a blower and his ground and pound has nothing close to the power of Rogers (who still couldn't put Fedor away), betting on him is a terrible idea.

- Finney - yeah. No idea why she's fighting Cyborg. The goat vs. the t-rex from Jurassic Park was a fairer fight.

- Le was dismantling Smith until he landed that haymaker, but I still think this one could go Smith's way - in his last eight fights, he only has two losses (to Nick Diaz and Robbie Lawler).

- Krazy Horse is 3-2 in his last five fights (4-2 if you count the steel pipe incident) and doesn't exactly seem like he's on fire as of late. Noons isn't exactly a world beater and, aside from his fight against some dude in March who was already on a three fight losing streak, hasn't fought in two years.

That said, almost all my guys got starched at UFC 114, so you shouldn't listen to a fucking word I just said. I'll probably throw a twenty on Smith, maybe a twenty on Werdum as well. But the other fights are just a fiery pit for you to throw your money into.
Bob Reilly- June 1, 2010 at 4:51 pm
Cybory by giant clitty eye poke.
tnbp- June 1, 2010 at 4:04 pm
Nevermind. I figured it out. It was easy when I was using the full site and not the mobile version. ;)
tnbp- June 1, 2010 at 3:29 pm
I have a little scratch to waste on long odds but I can't figure out how to bet a parlay at betus. Can anyone give me a little crash course? And what if I wanted a 3 fight parlay without the Santos fight?
peanutbuttter- June 1, 2010 at 3:22 pm
No matter what a stripper tells you...
El Guapo- June 1, 2010 at 2:45 pm
Ahh yes. Not sure why I thought she was a 100 to 1 dog... Prob'ly because Cyborg pees standing up, but that's neither here nor there. Thanks Bossman.

I stand(while sitting at my desk)corrected.
flying gogoplata- June 1, 2010 at 2:02 pm
see post below
flying gogoplata- June 1, 2010 at 1:59 pm
Apparently BG didn't:

1. Watch the Kung Le vs. Scott Smith fight (where Smith got destroyed for 3 rounds before landing the proverbial "lucky punch")
2. Observe the career paths of both KJ Noons (upward trajectory) and Crazy Horse (downward spiral)

before writing this article
luisterrijk- June 1, 2010 at 1:55 pm
Putting $100 each on Smith and Bennet seems pretty good, I'd say maybe 3/5 to 2/3 times one of them would win, which isn't bad.
ben- June 1, 2010 at 1:50 pm
@ El Guapo:Betting $100 straight-up on Finney would only get you $1,000.For those confused by the betting line stuff, the + numbers (underdogs) signify how much you would profit if you bet $100.  The - numbers (favorites) are how much money you would have to bet to win a profit of $100.  But when you start stacking shit together in parlays, the odds get multiplied and all hell breaks loose.
Angry Whopper- June 1, 2010 at 1:50 pm
I'm calling Cyborg to whip out her erect penis and beat Finney into submission with it. I'd pay $50 to see that shit.
El Guapo- June 1, 2010 at 1:12 pm
You never know, Cyborg could forget to charge her battery the night before..

Then it's settled. 2 dollars to win 2,000. I only brought up the $100 bet to Cheer up Charlie over there. Blow his mind a lil bit.
MMAMoneyLine- June 1, 2010 at 1:11 pm
$5 on Finney and here's to Cyborg getting DQed.
Steffmeister- June 1, 2010 at 1:08 pm
Well, if I was Cyborg, I'd put all my savings on Finney and stick my chin far out. But then, I'm not Cyborg.
Almost North- June 1, 2010 at 1:01 pm
Said it before and I'll say it again, fuck that clown Charles Bennett.


Yeah and betting against cyborg? I don't know about that jazz. Finney makes Werdum look like a sure thing.
VisitingDeadAncestors- June 1, 2010 at 12:36 pm
$20 on the re-imagined "Kid Kaos".
ZombieLove- June 1, 2010 at 12:31 pm
I'd bet against Fedor before I'd bet against Cyborg in this one. For those of you not familiar with Finney (and with what is presumably a male-dominated board, that's not out of the question) she's a tough cookie, but basically a place holder. You bring her in when you want your fighter to have a good showing against someone durable, but who won't lose to her. She's just going to end up another notch on Cyborg's belt. I say at most she stays in a round.

Fuck KJ Noons, I hope Crazy Horse blasts his ass.
El Guapo- June 1, 2010 at 12:30 pm
OR you could put a hundo on Jan "Rocky Balboa" Finney and make a cool 100 K..

Charming Charlie- June 1, 2010 at 12:25 pm
Oh, it's not logic, it's random calculating. If anyone finds this meaningful, it's his or her own fault.

Continuing on, if you make those four individual bets on each underdog, and are expecting one of the four to win (with equal probability) you will net either -25, -8, 20, or 120, meaning 50% likely to make money! Or 50% likely to lose money! Or, on average across all splinter universes, $107!
ben- June 1, 2010 at 12:14 pm
 @ Charming Charlie:Your sound logic has no place here!  GO BIG OR GO HOME!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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