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Gambling Addiction Enabler: Dream.10


(Try as he might, the referee could not focus on the fight as long as he was haunted by his dying mother’s wish that he do whatever he wanted with his life, as long as it did not bring upon his family the shame of the bow tie.)

The finals of Dream’s welterweight tournament goes down in Japan on Monday, and if there’s anything we’ve learned over the years it’s that betting on Japanese MMA is like buying heroin in a strange neighborhood.  You never know for sure what you’re getting, or whether it’s even halfway legitimate, but damn if it isn’t a rush.  Dream.10 betting odds come to us courtesy of BestFightOdds.com:

Shinya Aoki (-200) vs. Vitor Ribeiro (+175)
Hayato Sakurai (-600) vs. Marius Zaromskis (+475)
Andre Galvao (-360) vs. Jason High (+300)
Melvin Manhoef (+105) vs. Paulo Filho (-130)
Andre Amade (+145) vs. Katsunori Kikuno (-160)
Dong Sik Yoon (-225) vs. Jesse Taylor (+190)
Seichi Ikemoto (-150) vs. Tarec Saffiedine (+125)

Our thoughts…


- Aoki should handle Ribeiro without too much trouble, and while it should be an entertaining fight it’s also one-sided enough to merit the 2-1 odds in favor of The Man in Tights.  We’ll save it for the parlay.

- Sakurai is the favorite to win this tournament, and for good reason.  Look around.  You think Jason High is come from out of nowhere and take this thing?  Not likely.  Fortunately you can get better odds on Sakurai most places if you bet on him to win the whole tournament.  The line on him against Zaromskis will prevent you from making any money, but he’s 2/3 to win the tourney, and that’s about as safe a bet as you can hope for in one of these things.  The Bet: $20 on Sakurai to become the Dream Welterweight Tournament Champ.

- I won’t pretend I don’t know why Paulo Filho’s crazy ass is a slight favorite over Manhoef.  He’s got a ground game, while Manhoef has none.  But what he’s also got is a gigantic question mark on him (as well as some bizarre tattoos).  He’s fresh out of rehab, hasn’t fought since losing that strange WEC fight to Chael Sonnen, and seems as likely to be found running naked through the streets as he is to show up focused and ready to fight.  Because of that, I’m taking Manhoef.  Maybe all he can do is strike, but he can do it without being batshit insane or, at the very least, incredibly rusty, and that’s something. The Bet: $20 on Manhoef.

- It’s tempting to put a little money down on Jesse “Mongo” Taylor, in the same way that it’s tempting to jump off your roof just to see if your ankles will break or not.  He’s exactly the kind of boring wrestler who might cause problems for a judoka like Yoon, and he seems too dumb to realize that he should rightfully lose this fight.  That said, I can’t feel good about myself if I bet on “JT Money.”  A man has to have some principles.

- Official Cage Potato Parlay: Aoki + Sakurai + Amade + Ikemoto.

Cagepotato Comments

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Diggler- July 20, 2009 at 5:33 am
Guess who's ballin' now off of his Taylor/Zaromskis/Aoki parlay!

This guy.
Chri534.- July 20, 2009 at 1:33 am
...the color commentator, however, is almost as painful to listen to as the ones from EliteXC or Affliction...
Chri534.- July 20, 2009 at 12:52 am
Who is the play-by-play announcer for this Dream 10 event? He seems spot on so far...
Ryan Meleedy- July 18, 2009 at 10:25 pm
slow fuckin day for news huh benny? wheres my shirt?!?!?! i cant afford one on my unemployment check. after i buy booze and a little bit of heroin, all the money i have left is to put money towards my girlfriends ONE boob job. thats how poor i am. send me a god damn t-shirt. next year we hope to save enough to get the other one done. HIGH HOPES!!!
Kim Couture is a cunt- July 18, 2009 at 5:18 pm
As bad is this sounds I could give two fucks about this card. Not one fight has any meaning to even care about it. Sad. I miss PRIDE.
TheSlothman- July 18, 2009 at 2:46 pm
Jason High is a very live dog at +300... take a 2 underdog parlay...Manhoef, and High... and...@ Glenwo... u dont know sarcasm when u see it do you? shaq has been known to joke now and again, you know...
dresdin- July 18, 2009 at 1:38 pm
not true Mur we may see JT again on Cops or possibly walking out on a dog chain with CB on his way to his next defeat
glenwo2- July 18, 2009 at 11:26 am
http: //sports.yahoo.com/nba/blog/ball_dont_lie/post/Dana-White-Shaq-wants-to-fight-Brock-Lesnar-?urn=nba,176709


Anybody SEE THIS?

DOES SHAQ HAVE A DEATH WISH?
Frank Mur- July 18, 2009 at 11:01 am
I think JT pissing in his pants is a 3/5 underdog, not a great bet. But they're giving 7/1 that you never hear from him again after this event unless it's related to a Crimestoppers broadcast
Frank Mur- July 18, 2009 at 10:54 am
(-290) rear naked choke (+475) Arturo Gatti
UFC fan- July 18, 2009 at 10:52 am
I predict JT will be disqualified for pissing in his pants.
GSP P4P- July 18, 2009 at 10:15 am
When does this start?
philibuster- July 18, 2009 at 8:24 am
Aoki is gonna get smashed, shaolin has better positioning than aoki and will win. Aoki will be doing the same thing he did after his bout with sakurai, crying like a baby.
Pingu- July 18, 2009 at 8:17 am
Aoki, Aoki, Aoki. And Aoki. And let's not forget Aoki either. That's a much better bet, Shinya Aoki 5 times.
Just A Wrestler- July 18, 2009 at 8:12 am
im putting all my money on cro cop. oh wait...
Endocat- July 18, 2009 at 7:50 am
+190 for JT looks nice
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