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Gambling Addiction Enabler: K-1 Dynamite 2008


(Now that I think about it, Kinnikuman would fit in perfectly with the TapouT crew.  Somebody get Punk-Ass to bring the bus around and pick him up.)

Let’s say, for the sake of argument, that you really want to bet on K-1 Dynamite 2008 tonight, which you probably won’t get to watch until tomorrow and which may or may not turn out to be a total shitstorm.  First, you’re a crazy son of a bitch, you know that?  Second, we got you covered.  Here are the best odds on the ‘net, courtesy of BestFightOdds.com:

Joachim Hansen (+150) vs. Gesias Cavalcante (-105)
Kazushi Sakuraba (-125) vs. Kiyoshi Tamura (+120)
Eddie Alvarez (-105) vs. Shinya Aoki (+120)
Semmy Schilt (-531) vs. Siala Siliga (+450)
Hong Man Choi (+160) vs Mirko “Cro Cop” Filipovic (-155)
Daisuke Nakamura (-110) vs. Hideo Tokoro (+135)
Alistair Overeem (+270) vs. Badr Hari (-250)

Thoughts…

- The line on Hansen-Cavalcante is all over the place.  Most bookies have “JZ” as the favorite, at least one gives a slight edge to Hansen, but the lines are changing practically by the hour.  What you should take from this is that the fight is a toss-up, so go with your heart. Personally, I’ll take Cavalcante here.  The best line at the moment is -105, from Bodog, and that’s not bad.  Though with all the movement on it who knows where it might go.  Waiting for better odds is a gamble in itself.  Whoa.  That’s fucking deep.

- Shinya Aoki at +120?  Yes, please.  I know I’m betting with my heart here and not my head, but at least I can justify it.  Alvarez isn’t planning on a long stay in Japan, what with Bellator springing up back home, and if it goes the distance you can definitely give the edge to Aoki.  His tricky submissions game may not be enough to finish Alvarez, but it could very well keep him tied up until the last bell, at which point the judges will fall all over themselves to give him the decision.  It’s a risk I’m willing to take.

- If you bet on Hong Man Choi please email your home address to feedback@cagepotato.com, so that we may come over to your house and punch you in the throat.  Seriously, what’s wrong with you?  Even if you somehow win that bet you’ll still feel like an asshole.  It ain’t worth it, man.

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Frank- December 31, 2008 at 6:17 am
Worst, most stupid, BORING fight ever. I wasted 8 minutes of my life watching the video on youtube. It did provide a good groin shot highlight, though.
Cosmin- December 31, 2008 at 3:12 am
sop://broker.sopcast.com:3912/24267 seems to be working quite well on SopCast. As for me, I'm off to bed and then hopefully watching a high quality torrent within the day.
AussieJosh- December 30, 2008 at 10:39 pm
IM going to try and watch some of these on a live streaming site. If i can work out what time they start in JapLand.
Baby Eddie- December 30, 2008 at 9:59 pm
Hey who thinks muffins penis is going to go the distance?
rmfa- December 30, 2008 at 9:37 pm
Is this going to be broadcast on VS or anything in the US? If not I suppose we have to wait for Bruno to post it from MMATKO...
jdavis- December 30, 2008 at 6:43 pm
What no line on the Bob Sapp fight? I bet General Takada would of loved to drop a couple thousand monster bucks on Kinniku Mantaro.
Anonymous- December 30, 2008 at 6:17 pm
Alastair Overeem is the biggest play on NYE. If you want to have a decent shot at money on NYE bet Overeem.
TheRail1- December 30, 2008 at 5:30 pm
"Mach" takes the mount position and EXPLODES. And then he finishes the fight
Sodak- December 30, 2008 at 5:07 pm
taking hellboy for sure and overeem for the odds, maybe alvarez just because hellboy beat aoki pretty easily and had a war with alvarez. don't think griptights can't handle the punching power of alvarez.
Sideshow- December 30, 2008 at 5:02 pm
shocked cro cop is such a small favorite. He will probably lose and then it is all over for him.
Bjorn- December 30, 2008 at 4:50 pm
"Even if you somehow win that bet you’ll still feel like an asshole."

Hillarious, promise I will bet on Cro Cop (which is accually how I ended up reading this blog a year ago anyways). !

This has been a good year for CP & us readers, you have done a great job!
You guys are really good/entertaining writers (especially BG).

Muffin- December 30, 2008 at 4:42 pm
Don't worry guys! My penis is still very much available to get a tickle from each of you!
Anonymous- December 30, 2008 at 4:23 pm
Badr is favorite cause overeem is an idiot and agreed to fight with K-1 rules, not MMA
Anonymous- December 30, 2008 at 4:21 pm
I believe that fight isn't MMA rules, rather K-1 rules if I'm not mistaken.
rockied- December 30, 2008 at 4:17 pm
Why is Badr such a favorite? He is probably the best kickboxer on the planet, but does he have any idea what to do on the ground? Not to say Overeem is a therapist on the mat, but he's been there before....
Imbecile- December 30, 2008 at 4:11 pm
I hate to say it, since at one time CroCop was probably my favorite fighter, but I actually like the line on Hong Man Choi. CroCop has looked simply awful lately and he is waiting until after this fight to deal with nagging injuries. He has almost completely lost his killer instinct, and seems content to absorb punishment on the outside.

Whatever you think of Hong Man Choi, he is a 7 foot tall kickboxer with a win over Semi Schilt in kickboxing. If this was still the old CroCop, I would say this is a tough match, but he will likely win by fighting his way to the inside, scoring with superior accuracy at that range, and tiring HMC out until he gets the TKO or easy decision. But what was still a tough fight for the old, scary CroCop is almost a sure loser for the new, pussified CroCop. Staying on the outside, throwing the occasional ineffective kicks and punches that miss their range, and getting consistently damaged by an opponent with a significantly superior reach advantage is a surefire way to lose a decision.

I will always love what CroCop used to be, but the I've lost my man-crush on the person who now fills out those checkered spandex. As much as it pains me to say, I think HMC takes this one and puts a final nail in the coffin of CroCop's career. My neck is now free to be relentlessly pummelled.
Anonymous- December 30, 2008 at 4:09 pm
Muffin , is your penis still available?
DDT- December 30, 2008 at 3:53 pm
I agree I think Flipovic is easy money in this spot. I also like alvarez.
P-Dawg- December 30, 2008 at 3:44 pm
"Somebody get Punk-Ass to bring the bus around and big him up." FAIL
P-Dawg- December 30, 2008 at 3:39 pm
"Somebody get Punk-Ass to bring the bus around and big him up." Fail
Shawn- December 30, 2008 at 3:33 pm
what's with the Cro Cop-HMC being so close? Yeah, we all know Cro Cop has hit a bit of a rough patch as of late but seriously. Hong Man Choi? C'mon people. This is fucking Cro Cop we're talking about.
Anonymous- December 30, 2008 at 3:33 pm
i would thoroughly enjoy it
Muffin- December 30, 2008 at 3:28 pm
Would anyone like to touch my penis?
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