(Now that’s gangster. Photo courtesy of CombatLifestyle.com)
Strikeforce: Diaz vs. Noons II goes down Saturday night (Showtime, 10 p.m. ET/PT), and it’s not too late to put some cash on the fights. If you’ve already blown your kids’ college fund — hey, it happens — please swing by MMA Fightpicker and made your picks there. Otherwise, check out the Internet’s most favorable betting odds (below, courtesy of BestFightOdds.com) and let’s get to work…
Bret Bergmark (-124) vs. James Terry (+120)
Eric Lawson (-110) vs. Ron Keslar (EV)
The Main Event: You already know how I feel about this; KJ’s a bad style matchup for the scowling champion, and I think the prospect of doubling your money by betting on Noons is worth the risk. But if you’re a Stockton nuthugger or you just want to hedge your Noons bet, you can stick Nick Diaz in a parlay with one or two other favorites.
The Women: As skilled as Marloes Coenen is, the 135 pound division belongs to Sarah Kaufman right now. Kaufman eats grapplers for breakfast; Coenen will get shut down the same way Modafferi, Tate and Baszler did. We’re not in the business of putting straight bets on 3-1 favorites, though. What did we say about pairing Diaz in a parlay with another likely winner?
The Question Mark: Thomson vs. Cavalcante is a true toss-up. An in-shape JZ is a force to reckon with, but it’s hard to say if he’s completely "back" at this point. The Punk gets to be a favorite based on home-field advantage, but it’s hard to predict who will really have the edge. Great fight, but you may want to save your money.
The Good ‘Dog: Tyron Woodley is a wrestler who’s 6-0 against mediocre competition. Andre Galvao is a BJJ specialist who’s 5-1 against slightly better competition. I see this as a close matchup, and +220 for Galvao is more than tempting.
Suggested Wagering Breakdown, Based on a Hypothetical $40 Stake:
$20 on Noons
$10 on Galvao
$10 parlay on Diaz + Kaufman + Woodley