(Now that’s gangster. Photo courtesy of CombatLifestyle.com)
Strikeforce: Diaz vs. Noons II goes down Saturday night (Showtime, 10 p.m. ET/PT), and it’s not too late to put some cash on the fights. If you’ve already blown your kids’ college fund — hey, it happens — please swing by MMA Fightpicker and made your picks there. Otherwise, check out the Internet’s most favorable betting odds (below, courtesy of BestFightOdds.com) and let’s get to work…
MAIN CARD
Nick Diaz (-199) vs. KJ Noons (+200)
Sarah Kaufman (-290) vs. Marloes Coenen (+273)
Josh Thomson (-160) vs. Gesias "J.Z." Cavalcante (+159)
Tyron Woodley (-240) vs. Andre Galvao (+220)
PRELIMINARY CARD
Bret Bergmark (-124) vs. James Terry (+120)
Eric Lawson (-110) vs. Ron Keslar (EV)
The Main Event: You already know how I feel about this; KJ’s a bad style matchup for the scowling champion, and I think the prospect of doubling your money by betting on Noons is worth the risk. But if you’re a Stockton nuthugger or you just want to hedge your Noons bet, you can stick Nick Diaz in a parlay with one or two other favorites.
The Women: As skilled as Marloes Coenen is, the 135 pound division belongs to Sarah Kaufman right now. Kaufman eats grapplers for breakfast; Coenen will get shut down the same way Modafferi, Tate and Baszler did. We’re not in the business of putting straight bets on 3-1 favorites, though. What did we say about pairing Diaz in a parlay with another likely winner?
The Question Mark: Thomson vs. Cavalcante is a true toss-up. An in-shape JZ is a force to reckon with, but it’s hard to say if he’s completely "back" at this point. The Punk gets to be a favorite based on home-field advantage, but it’s hard to predict who will really have the edge. Great fight, but you may want to save your money.
The Good ‘Dog: Tyron Woodley is a wrestler who’s 6-0 against mediocre competition. Andre Galvao is a BJJ specialist who’s 5-1 against slightly better competition. I see this as a close matchup, and +220 for Galvao is more than tempting.
Suggested Wagering Breakdown, Based on a Hypothetical $40 Stake:
$20 on Noons
$10 on Galvao
$10 parlay on Diaz + Kaufman + Woodley
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commentsOk, Jewish dude, Guusbust'r, Seriously? You really think Kaufman will eat Coenen for breakfast? M. Coenen, the woman who lasted approximately 2 rounds with that Cyborg dude? And calling her a grappler isn't exactly accurate either, she trains at Golden Glory for fuxsakes. Sure she has most wins by sub, but Golden Glory?
I am an admitted long time hanger on Marloes'...nuts?...clit?...labia?...taint?...not sure how to gender modify that one, but bias aside I don't see how the odds can favor Kaufman. I see Marloes winning because;
A- She is a better fighter standing or grappling, who has
B- A size advantage, and
C- A better gym/camp.
The only thing in Kaufman's favor is the extra 10lb weight cut for Coenen. I'll take Marloes, and hope she isn't dehydrated and weak at 135.
Seriously though as a Diaz fan I'm not so sure about this fight. Hopefully the fact its at 170 will help Diaz out. Has Noons ever fought at 170?
now the fight pickers getting somewhere
there fun...if you into that sort of thing
He's basically assuming Kaufman and Woodley will win since they're heavy favorites (to lower his risk) and shifting the majority of his risk to Diaz.
Now that you know, take that child support payment and this month's rent and prove your MMA knowledge!
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