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Gambling Addiction Enabler: TUF 10 Finale

(The word you’re looking for is ‘ouch.’)

The tenth season of “The Ultimate Fighter” may not have been the most memorable, or even terribly entertaining, but there is cause for some celebration. For one thing, it’s over. For another, now we actually get to see more fighting than talking. But I swear to God, if Tiki Ghosn shows up to try and play any pranks on Saturday night, I just might have to throw my TV out the damn window.

Now that I’ve got that out of my system, let’s look at the betting lines for Saturday night’s TUF 10 finale, courtesy of

Jon Jones (-250) vs. Matt Hamill (+250)
Brendan Schaub (+212) vs. Roy Nelson (-262)
Kimbo Slice (+133) vs. Houston Alexander (-163)
Frankie Edgar (-465) vs. Matt Veach (+385)
Matt Mitrione (+225) vs. Marcus Jones (-285)
Darrill Schoonover (+115) vs. James McSweeney (-145)
Jon Madsen (+265) vs. Justin Wren (-325)
Brian Stann (-120) vs. Rodney Wallace (-110)
John Howard (-240) vs. Dennis Hallman (+190)
Mark Bocek (-360) vs. Joe Brammer (+290)

The breakdown…

- Jon Jones is bigger, faster, and a much better striker than Hamill. That leads me to believe we’ll see “The Hammer” try to return to his wrestling roots, though don’t expect that to save him. Jones was a champion wrestler himself before turning to MMA, so he knows his way around a sprawl. If he wants it on the feet, that’s where it will probably stay. Hamill may have a spinning back elbow with his name on it. I’m taking Jones all the way.

- If you didn’t know anything about MMA and you saw Schaub and “Big Country” standing next to one another with their shirts off, you’d probably think this was a mismatch of criminal proportions. But oddsmakers do know a thing or two about the sport, and clearly they like Nelson to get Schaub on the mat, put that big belly on him (to paraphrase “Rampage” Jackson), and either get a submission or put that crucifix to good use yet again. That’s the likely scenario, though if Schaub can stick and move he might make good use of his height and reach advantage. Plus, it’s not like Nelson’s known for his unstoppable takedowns. You know what? Screw it, I’m taking Schaub.  Do I feel especially comfortable with that pick?  I do not.  But hey, that’s why they call it gambling.

- Even if I didn’t already think that Houston Alexander had a good chance to beat Kimbo Slice, Ferg’s griping about the weight cut and indications that his ATT training camp didn’t go swimmingly would be enough to convince me. We know he’s got a bum knee, and we know that Alexander is the kind of guy who will force you to knock him out or submit him. If you try and hang back, he’ll eat you up. Kimbo hasn’t really starched anyone since Tank Abbott, and unless he’s taken some fast-acting jiu-jitsu pills, he’s not submitting anyone. If Alexander doesn’t freak out and run into a haymaker, he should put Kimbo to sleep.

Quick Picks: Edgar, Wren, Big Baby, and Bocek all look like winners to me. Howard ought to overpower Hallman without much trouble, but “Superman” is crafty, so tread lightly. In the only other slight upset, I’ll take Schoonover to beat McSweeney.

Cage Potato Parlay:
Jones + Alexander + Schoonover + Big Baby.


Cagepotato Comments

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Richard Tucker- December 6, 2009 at 6:04 am
Nice parlay...JACKASS!
UFC fan- December 4, 2009 at 1:25 pm
Jon Jones (-250) vs. Matt Hamill (+250)--I pick Hamill

Brendan Schaub (+212) vs. Roy Nelson (-262)--I pick Schaub, hes the only heavyweight who had any real fight skills.

Kimbo Slice (+133) vs. Houston Alexander (-163)--- gonna take KIMBO

Frankie Edgar (-465) vs. Matt Veach (+385)--gotta take edgar

Matt Mitrione (+225) vs. Marcus Jones (-285)--The darkness by utter destruction

Darrill Schoonover (+115) vs. James McSweeney (-145)---titties over talker.

Jon Madsen (+265) vs. Justin Wren (-325)---dont give a rats ass.

Brian Stann (-120) vs. Rodney Wallace (-110)--Stann with the boredom

John Howard (-240) vs. Dennis Hallman (+190)--gotta take Howard

Mark Bocek (-360) vs. Joe Brammer (+290)---Bocek for the win
reddog- December 4, 2009 at 11:52 am

listen faggot, we dont like when people with awesome websites promote them on here, and we sure as fuck dont like it when people come on here and rep some weak ass shit that looks like it was made by tard children. You have no links, no news, and your site is lame. Its the kimbo slice of the internet...all hype, no substance. Are you a C Sample alt? looks like something he would do.
Dr.- December 4, 2009 at 9:36 am
Bigslick, Hamill DID beat Bisping. Everyone, other than Bisping that saw the fight thought Matt won. Thank the judges.

I still have to go with Bones though.

And watch out Schaub. How in the hell you suppose to get the moon up off ya?!

Good to see The Darkness decided not to abandon MMA after his last loss.
superflat- December 4, 2009 at 9:21 am
First Sherdog, now you. No way Roy's going to lose this one. I don't know if you've noticed, but the man's like The Blob, from X-Men. If you'll recall, he's the character who would let people punch him so that their fists would get stuck in his fat. Roy can take a punch better than anyone I've seen, and he mauls like a bear.

I prefer Hamill as an underdog pick. Jones may have great wrestling, but he just can't be as strong as Hamill, and Hamill can also take a good punch. Again, not a sure thing, but a better bet I'd say.
peanutbuttter- December 4, 2009 at 9:15 am
Peanutbuttter Bodog Parlay: Jones + Alexander + Edgar + Mitrione

Peanubuttter centsports Parlay: Jones + Schaub + Slice + Schoon

Just for kicks: Bones by TKO Round 2, Alexander by submission Round 1, Edgar by TKO Round 3, Mitrione by KO Round 1.

Jon Jones I think could also win by guillotine or darce. I get the feeling Houston Alexander will be looking for takedowns and I could see him also trying to get a crucifix. He doesn't want anymore flash knockout losses and will just be looking to stay in the UFC. If Frank Edgar doesn't win by TKO, he'll take the decision. Unless Marcus Jones has improved his conditioning and standup, he'll be finished by Mitrione. I really liked him on the show, but before I liked him, I wanted Rashad's team for the sweep. He needs to not do the chin up zombie walk into clinch range because that's how he got KO'd by Brenden Schaub. He said he was a fan of the sport and loved watching fights, but I don't see how any fighters like that don't see the holes in their game. GSP doesn't watch fights but that's because Greg Jackson does.

Prelims I'm dying to see:
Schoonover vs McSweeney
Stann vs Wallace
DangadaDang- December 4, 2009 at 8:10 am
What the hell is the UFC doing with Frankie Edgar. Unless there just trying to set him up for an actual finish why would they put him against Veach, who won his only UFC fight by questionable stoppage.
Bloodlust- December 4, 2009 at 7:59 am
wow can't believe the odds on the Kimbo/Houston fight. At -163 I'd ship most of my bankroll on that in a second.
matahtak- December 4, 2009 at 7:11 am
Schaub let go of the fence and is reaching for the moon and the stars to fulfill his dreams to win that contract. But in the words of the great Rampage Jackson: "How the hell ya gonna get the moon off ya?"
Terminator- December 4, 2009 at 6:41 am
My hot mma news... what are you? The Parez Hilton of MMA?

LOL what a homo

HOTMMANEWS.COM- December 4, 2009 at 6:22 am
Check out
HOTMMANEWS.COM- December 4, 2009 at 6:22 am
Amazing shot!
agentsmith- December 4, 2009 at 5:36 am
I got Titties for the upset as well.
uncle kodis- December 4, 2009 at 3:53 am
dennis hallman is a fuckin fighters fighter. hes winning.
ytrebil- December 4, 2009 at 1:36 am
I’m really looking forward to this.

I love Bones’ style. He has that ring-flair that you expect from Anderson Silva. The guy is going to be a star – he puts on a show and the crowd love him.

I am also looking forward to Schaub vs Nelson – Schaub had by far the best resilience in the house from being on his back, he’s as strong as hell and definitely has power.

I think McSweeney vs Schoonover will also be a good fight… being a Brit I’m interested in this fight although I think McSweeney is a fool. D’ya think they will show the ‘Titties killed a birdie’ clip before the fight? Hahaha.

Ultimately though, I’m looking forward to seeing Kimbo fight again. I really want the guy to lose, but as CP has said, the UFC have set this up to go in his favour as much as possible. I’d love Alexander to bust out those leg kicks and knock Slice out – where would he go from there???

It's going to be a great night - although hardly fitting to what has to be IMO the worst season of TUF ever.
Uncle.Sams.Misguided.Child- December 3, 2009 at 8:58 pm
I think Kimbo will actually pull it off via Houston Alexander taking a dive
Get Off Me- December 3, 2009 at 8:28 pm
The betting odds on Kimbo(+305) v. Alexander(-308), make it real Elite XC like.....Did you see how Alexander won his last fight? Cortisone Kimbo will promptly get dispatched in this one.

Hamill v. Jones
There's a big difference between State Champion and 3 time NCAA champion....that's going to be the difference in this fight if it even gets there. Jon Bones Jones is a great athlete, very GSP like, but GSP was in a local organization in my home town when he was 22 years old. Jones has the striking, but where's the knockouts with the striking? It will come yes, but I don't think at 22 he's as strong as he will be at 25, he has not been able to give the death blow at the UFC level. Hamill is smaller, but if you think Jones is stronger your nuts! Hamill may walk through a couple to get his shot in and he's proven he could do it in one shot at the UFC level(death blow certified....elite xc likeagain).

Bisping couldn't even beat Hamill either!
jay.mmacity- December 3, 2009 at 8:21 pm
Go Schoonover. Please knock that idiot McWeeney the f- out. I would love to see a Hendo-Bisping type ending with this one.

I like my money on Schaub .... by decision.
Bigslick- December 3, 2009 at 7:47 pm
Jon Bones Jones > c. simple.

Hamil suckss... couldn't even beat bisping? Haha i kid... I hate bisping more...
exes.for.iballs- December 3, 2009 at 6:38 pm
The great thing about folks like c. Sample is you don't have to insult them because they do such a great job of looking like an idiot all by themselves.

But its still fun!

MediumRare- December 3, 2009 at 6:09 pm
You have a fair point NorthSouth. Perhaps I was a little over-impressed by Marcus because of my lack of expectation - and under-impressed by Roy because of higher expectations.

Having said that Jones did show much better finishing than Roy's belly-to-the-face crucifix suffocations. Furthermore, he plainly has considerably more horsepower than Big Country.

A black belt he isn't. True. But he controlled Titties on the ground like a champ.
831 Son- December 3, 2009 at 6:04 pm
curt sample is such a fag.
tallkitchenbags- December 3, 2009 at 5:50 pm
first nonfag

kimbo sucks. i hope he cost DW a lot of money, because he is going to need it.
NorthSouthDudesOnly- December 3, 2009 at 5:32 pm
Did you really just compare a guy who has been training MMA - in all its forms - for two years to a bjj black belt? I'm interested in hearing more about how being under Marcus is a worse situation than Roy.

Catalyst8487- December 3, 2009 at 5:31 pm
Marcus has a weak chin so I'm gonna pick Mattrione to take that fight even though I hate myself for doing so. I think Darkness is a better all around fighter but Matt has enough power in his hands to do it in one punch.