Steroids in MMA
Which MMA Fighter Will Test Positive For Steroids Next?

Gambling Addiction Enabler: UFC 100

(Another installment in the series: Situations That Would Be Terrifying in Prison.)

It’s finally time for the big show and some big bets, which means all the money we’ve saved not paying our court-mandated child support is really going to prove useful.  Not that you need the thrill of online wagering to get you pumped for a fight card this big.  Sort of like how you don’t need to drink to have a good time.  But as long as the option exists…

Our odds today come from

Brock Lesnar (-220) vs. Frank Mir (+201)
Georges St. Pierre (-285) vs. Thiago Alves (+280)
Jon Fitch (-400) vs. Paulo Thiago (+377)
Dan Henderson (-205) vs. Michael Bisping (+190)
Yoshihiro Akiyama (-237) vs. Alan Belcher (+220)
Stephan Bonnar (-320) vs. Mark Coleman (+300)
Jim Miller (-164) vs. Mac Danzig (+160)
Jon Jones (-400) vs. Jake O’Brien (+350)
Dong Hyun Kim (-250) vs. TJ Grant (+250)
CB Dollaway (-205) vs. Tom Lawlor (+205)
Matt Grice (-125) vs. Shannon Gugerty (even)

So where’s our money going?

- When we look at Mir and Alves as underdogs in the co-main event, we see guys who basically have one shot to win (surprise submission and one-punch KO, respectively) but with both of them it’s one shot that can happen at any time up until some referee with a stupid mustache steps in and stops the fight.  In other words, they don’t need to be winning or be in control to win; they just need an opening and a little luck.  You can bet on that if you want, but Lesnar is too powerful and GSP too seasoned.  We’ll save it for the parlay.

- Should Jon Fitch beat Paulo Thiago’s ass like he stole something?  Absolutely.  Then again, we thought the same thing about Koscheck vs. Thiago.  That still doesn’t mean Thiago will win this, but he’s going off at nearly 4-1 and, what the hell, it’s UFC 100.  The Bet: $20 on Thiago.

- As far as an underdog we actually have some faith in, it’s hard not to like Alan Belcher at +220 against an Octagon newbie in Akiyama.  Few foreign fighters do well their first fight in the UFC, and Belcher exploited that once already against Denis Kang.  We like his chances to do it again.  The Bet: $20 on Belcher.

Absolutely Don’t Bet Against: Jon Jones.  Jake O’Brien has wrestling and nothing else.  He won’t be able to take “Bones” down and is going to get smashed if it stays on the feet.  We’re expecting some highlight-reel stuff out of this one, and O’Brien is going to be on the business end.

Official Cage Potato Parlay: GSP + Lesnar + Bonnar + Jones + Dollaway.  Take it to the bank and tell ‘em the Bens sent ya, son.

Cagepotato Comments

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Sinanju is Back- July 10, 2009 at 9:16 pm
mir at 2 to 1 looks like the best bet to me. that fight's a pickem.
UFC fan- July 9, 2009 at 9:36 pm
RPS13 Says:
Thu, 07/09/2009 - 15:19

how is mark coleman +300 against Stephan fucking Bonnar?"

because coleman is old as fuck, and Stephan fucking Bonnar throws mean fucking fists. That is bad for gary OLDman, er Coleman.
UFC fan- July 9, 2009 at 9:23 pm
My money is going half on Mir, and half on hendo putting a major ass-kicking on bisping's useless ass.
I fully expect GSP to get a decision win.
Keyser Soze- July 9, 2009 at 7:41 pm
Mir has stated he's going to KO Brock, and will outstrike him, which leads me to believe he has absolutely no intention of doing so, and is baiting Brock into leaving himself open for another ground lesson by Mir. Will Brock fall for it? Most likely, yes. Getting outstruck or KO'd by Mir would be humiliating and a blow to his ego, and I think Lesnar will come out swinging for the fences to avoid it and get caught, his inexperience being his downfall a 2nd time.

The hype machine surrounding Alves reminds me of Silva and Leites... his toughest challenge to date was the synonymous plug for selling the main event. That didn't work out so well for Leites, and I see the same end result for Alves. The hype machine sells Alves as bigger and stronger than GSP. Those selling points are dubious at best, as GSP's mastered the art of cutting weight and rehydrating, is a taller fighter, and has manhandled every top welterweight with a good wrestling pedigree he's faced. Can GSP take down Alves... without a doubt. GSP's had two fights go past the third round, and one the distance. I give GSP the edge in conditioning and experience, and the win in the fight.

Henderson's experience will serve him well in this fight, and I think should come out on top in this match. If Franklin and Jackson couldn't KO Hendo, there's no way Bisping will.
ifyernasty- July 9, 2009 at 6:28 pm
I think betting against Mir is stupid territory. Brock will do what he did last time and lose his focus and temper when he cannot take a folding metal chair to Mir and completely forget his game plan and try to rush him. His technique is shit and he relies on his massive body to win, which obviously doesn't work on Mir. I see Lesnar's chances at winning being left in the category of giant KO, which Mir can avoid since Lenar telegraphs his punches and picks the most obvious, ass-backwards way to operate in the ring, or a dumbshit referee stoppage due to Brock's rabbit punches that shake his whole damn body or a cut that bleeds like a fucking river.
The Man- July 9, 2009 at 3:44 pm
Fucking stupid.
Mir kos brock in the second.
GSP will win by Decision.
Hendo via Knockout.

THiago bet gay.
Bonnar loses.
Jones wins
The Truth- July 9, 2009 at 3:26 pm
I dont see how Mir can even put Brock in submission territory. If BL wants to keep it on the feet, what can Mir do? Nogs looked slow as christmas and its hard to fathom how quick and long BLs punches are. If brock is smart, he keeps it standing until they get to the 3rd, 4th rounds, and then when Mir dont have enough shit in his pants to land a submission. He can then start slinging him around the ring like he did Herring.

That being said, Id like to see Mir open up a huge gash on BLs head, just to see how he reacts
RPS13- July 9, 2009 at 3:19 pm
how is mark coleman +300 against Stephan fucking Bonnar?
tallkitchenbags- July 9, 2009 at 2:51 pm
also, anyone nicknamed 'pitbull' or a cock tattoo needs to be beaten for their bad taste.
tallkitchenbags- July 9, 2009 at 2:49 pm
i just want to see good clean fights without any bullshit stoppages.
just some dong- July 9, 2009 at 2:33 pm
Careful Ricardo, or Bisping will squirt water at you.

Clue-by-Four- July 9, 2009 at 1:37 pm
Mir really showed how much of an ass he was as a coach on TUF, and he reinforces that fact every time he opens his cockslot. After hearing Mir talk all kinds of shit about how he will own Lesnar standing up, I really want to see him get one-punched and have his eyes flip around in his head like the wheels on an old-school slot machine.
superflat- July 9, 2009 at 1:01 pm
Also have to add I really don't like the Jon Jones bet. I'd like Jones better as underdog against someone he's supposed to lose to then as a favorite I know almost nothing about. Otherwise it's just not worth the money.

Ricardo Cabeza- July 9, 2009 at 12:54 pm
Rascist bastard!!!!!!
Ricardo Cabeza- July 9, 2009 at 12:53 pm
What's the difference there Patricks brother? All I am sayin is Brock (all be it that he is huge, and talented, and very athletic) has been hyped, is being hyped and will AGAIN lose to Mr. Mir.
schwm39- July 9, 2009 at 12:42 pm
Lesnar by gogoplata.

Write it down bitches
DaltonSwayze- July 9, 2009 at 12:41 pm
Wait, don't you usually rip on "great white hopes" when they fight nonwhite fighters?
Ricardo Cabeza- July 9, 2009 at 12:37 pm
Frank Mir will again be "THE" Heavyweight champion of the world via DEATH!!!! No but really Mir will shock the world this saturday night by KO'n the great white hype! Want to make a killing bet on Mir. Want to lose some dough bet on Alves!
just some dong- July 9, 2009 at 12:14 pm
Say, if Alves comes in over 170 and it's ruled a non-title fight, would that affect the bets that have been placed on that fight?

Anywho, I got $20 on each of these fools: Lesnar, GSP, Bisping, Belcher, Fitch, Coleman. (Bonnar is shit at fighting.)

u02jgc9- July 9, 2009 at 11:42 am
just a note about bookies- other factors go into these odds other than stats of fighters. Always remember- bookies minimize losses- if some underdog is getting hit up for bets big time- then they sweeten the deal on the other side and lower the reward on that side
Horror Fighter- July 9, 2009 at 11:29 am
With those odds, a bet on Coleman is tempting, but I really hate seeing either guy lose.
Meohfumado- July 9, 2009 at 11:20 am
hehe...another winner with caption CP.
NECROPHYTE- July 9, 2009 at 10:54 am
Boy that War Machine keeps snapping away on that camera. Next time he'll have a shirtless Junie Browning expo.
MaxTheLimit- July 9, 2009 at 10:30 am
Yup that as well would be more likely. This is why I initially just said triangle. That way if it doesn't go exactly as I thought, I still look right.
Again though, I predict an odd ending to that fight ( if it doesn't just go to the judges that is ). I dunno, I just see it get to the ground and be one of those fights where you just didn't see it coming to an end like it does...kinda like that Matt Hamill fight against Munoz. Who would have predicted that? If that f'ed ending to the bisping hendo fight I'll be the guy that called it :P
Jugger- July 9, 2009 at 10:30 am
The main thing that has me picking GSP is his fight with Fitch. Fitch is talented, smart, in shape, the whole 9... and GSP just destroyed him. Alves has power and impressed the daylights out of me when he finished Karo, but I still see him being way too young and inexperienced to do much to GSP. His mass may end up haunting him in the later rounds too. GSP will frustrate Alves with all sort a' weird stuff he's never had to deal with in the Octagon... GSP by TKO (GnP) late in the 4th.