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Gambling Addiction Enabler: UFC 103


(If his kick can get through this guy’s impregnable defenses, is anyone safe?)

After I got cleaned out at UFC Fight Night 19, it’s time to make some money back the only way I know how: selling fake Coach purses on the street.  Then I’m going to go blow all that money on UFC 103 bets.  Pretty solid little weekend I got planned, really.  Betting lines come to us courtesy of BestFightOdds.com:

Rich Franklin (-125) vs. Vitor Belfort (+117)
Mirko Filipovic (+120) vs. Junior Dos Santos (-130)
Martin Kampmann (-350) vs. Paul Daley (+325)
Josh Koscheck (-360) vs. Frank Trigg (+355)
Tyson Griffin (-280) vs. Hermes Franca (+285)
Efrain Escudero (-150) vs. Cole Miller (+140)
Drew McFedries (even) vs. Tomasz Drwal (even)
Jim Miller (-435) vs. Steve Lopez (+400)
Rafaello Oliveira (-275) vs. Nik Lentz (+260)
Rick Story (-125) vs. Brian Foster (+110)
Eliot Marshall (+125) vs. Jason Brilz (-135)
Vladimir Matyushenko (-270) vs. Igor Pokrajac (+255)
Rob Emerson (+113) vs. Rafael Dos Anjos (-110)

The breakdown… 

- Franklin/Belfort is basically a pick-em, and that’s because we don’t know yet what to make of the new (old?) Vitor.  Is he really back in top form, or did he just knock out a couple of very knockout-able guys?  The other side of that coin is Franklin, who we absolutely know what to expect from.  He’s solid and dependable, though not incredibly flashy these days, sort of like a good pickup truck.  That’s why “Ace” is my pick here.  He’ll roll right along and pick up the decision.

- If you’d had told me back when Junior Dos Santos debuted in the UFC as a heavy underdog against Fabricio Werdum that one day soon he’d be a favorite over Cro Cop, I would have beaten you over the head with my cane, South Carolina Congressman-style.  After seeing him KO Werdum in that debut fight – and later seeing Cro Cop’s wholly unimpressive win over Mostapha Al-Turk – I might have felt bad for doing that, though.  Cro Cop always has the ability to end a fight with one flick of his tree-like leg, but there’s no way Dos Santos isn’t prepared for that.  I think he comes out hard and fast and tears Cro Cop apart.  Put me down for a sawbuck, kid.

- Let’s talk underdogs: Trigg, Daley, and Franca are all headed for beatdowns, so forget about them.  Your best bet on a small dog is probably Cole Miller, who is a much better fighter than he appears to be when you see him with his shirt off.  If you feel like taking bigger risks for bigger rewards, go ‘head and go with Nik Lentz to beat “Tractor” Oliveira.  They’re both new guys, so there’s a chance that Oliveira might freeze up when he realizes he’s in the UFC fighting a guy who uses his real name.

Absolutely Don’t Bet Against: Jim Miller.  He’s too good and too experienced to lose to this newbie.  Just like I told you about Brock Larson….aw, dammit.

Official Cage Potato Parlay: Franklin + Kampmann + Koscheck + Dos Santos.

Cagepotato Comments

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anitagrant- June 24, 2010 at 4:58 am
damm... use hair care products shampoo bars, conditioners, pomades
Kimbos Bread- September 19, 2009 at 10:10 am
What'd you say foo?
itsgalf- September 19, 2009 at 9:56 am
damn...I didn't really think Cro cop's head kicks were that high
Peppermint Nightmare- September 19, 2009 at 9:48 am
Man, I'm not nearly as sold on Dos Santos as the rest of the world seems to be. He definitely has a good chance, but I wouldn't have included him in a parlay.
Disco-Platypus- September 19, 2009 at 7:21 am
As a gay skinhead, fighting a person of [sort of] colour, and given his last method of victory, there is only one logical approach that CroCop will take: adorn the tip of his penis with a Swastika and jab Dos Santos in the eye with it. And then subsequently claim the UFC formally as part of the large gay contingency of the Aryan Brotherhood.
TacoMafia- September 18, 2009 at 6:24 pm
That pic of Crocop makes me think that once he retires, umpires in the Croatian slow-pitch softball leauge should refrain from calling Mirko out on strikes....
NateGetsIrate- September 18, 2009 at 6:04 pm
That's cool. I wasn't suggesting that anyways. Was actually trying to make a Bob Arum joke there. I fail again apparently, lol.
KidDinomite- September 18, 2009 at 4:50 pm
In Koscheck's case it might help if he WAS a skinhead. I'm not a skinhead and I'm Mexican too.
RearNakedPoke- September 18, 2009 at 4:45 pm
One Two has been in a cave for 2 years and has no idea what he is saying...lets just act like hes not even here...hehe
superflat- September 18, 2009 at 4:42 pm
I don't like Koscheck -- he falls into that "might have a severe neurological disorder" camp... which is to say he might drink a wee bit too much urine before his fights (explains the hair?), if such a thing is possible. I'm down with the Cole Miller pick, though.

I like Daley at +300, but not for too much.
One Two- September 18, 2009 at 4:32 pm
Kos got knocked out in his last fight -360 is nuts

and crocop was knocking out mofos w/headkicks 4 years ago when dos santos was still a waiter.

Franklins probabally surprised he was found again hiding out in his imaginary weightclass he'll lose.

Crocop trigg vitor Parley!!!! come on please

Daley could be an upset.

TimReaper87- September 18, 2009 at 4:31 pm
Trigg will upset
NateGetsIrate- September 18, 2009 at 4:24 pm
I think what Kid D was alluding to is that all UFC fans are skinheads... just like the fighters.

The blonde dye in that colored boy's moptop ain't foolin' nobody! Ain't that right brothers!?
parchy mcthirst- September 18, 2009 at 4:14 pm
@kiddinomite

and what does a hairstyle have to do with fighting or one's talent/skill/prowess? koscheck is just an arrogant jackass
KidDinomite- September 18, 2009 at 4:00 pm
I don't know... I think tomorrow night might have a couple of upsets....

I hope Mirko Cro Cop gets the knockout by a kick to Dos Santos' head, at least the fan in me wants to see that.... Hopefully he just gets the win. But the realist in me knows that Dos Santos trains at the Jedi Academy, aka. Black House and we all know they have the best training camps equal or surpassing Greg Jackson's camps....

I also hate Josh Koscheck and that stupid hair of his. They should have a "Loser shaves his head" stipulation in the match if Trigg wins. Seriously, I think that's why a lot of people hate Koscheck. If he cut that mop he might get more respect from the fans.

Franklin might and might not win but he'll still be pretty irrelevant even if he wins because he has nowhere to go from here. Maybe he could fight Tito but I don't think he'll be in title contention for anything other than middleweight anytime soon. Belfort on the other hand has nothing to lose here and stands to become a contender, especially if he knocks out Franklin. Personally I think Franklin's a good guy but I don't see anything else for him in the UFC. Maybe he should go to Dream and kick ass overseas....
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