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Gambling Addiction Enabler: UFC 105


(Couture was under the impression that everyone would be wearing scarves in England, but now he just feels like a jerk. Thanks for nothing, Tim Gunn. Photo courtesy of Combat Lifestyle.)

First, let’s set aside a couple ugly rumors regarding betting on UK UFC cards.  There is no truth to the suggestion that your money, once you inevitably lose it by betting big on Shannon Gugerty, will go to Buckingham Palace’s “moat fund.”  Even if the event is in England, your squandered cash still goes to the same off-shore betting establishments as usual.  And no, those off-shore bookies aren’t going to then use the money to hire models to do bikini jiu-jitsu.  That’s old hat to them by now.  At this point the only way they can still feel alive is by renting that cabin in Canada where all the online bookmakers gather each year to hunt the ultimate prey: man!

Now that that’s out of the way, here are the most favorable UFC 105 odds on the internet, courtesy of BestFightOdds.com:

Randy Couture (-105) vs. Brandon Vera (-103)
Mike Swick (-210) vs. Dan Hardy (+199)
Michael Bisping (+112) vs. Denis Kang (-117)
James Wilks (+138) vs. Matt Brown (-151)
Ross Pearson (+180) vs. Aaron Riley (-200)
Paul Taylor (+210) vs. John Hathaway (-240)
Terry Etim (-325) vs. Shannon Gugerty (+300)
Nick Osipczak (+265) vs. Matt Riddle (-290)
Paul Kelly (-320) vs. Dennis Siver (+300)
Alexander Gustafsson (+135) vs. Jared Hamman (-139)
Andre Winner (-325) vs. Roli Delgado (+325)

The breakdown…

- Couture and Vera as a pick-em?  That sounds about right.  As legendary as Couture is, and as mediocre as Vera has been against opponents with some experience, it’s been almost 2 ½ years since “The Natural” has won a UFC fight.  True, his losses in the interim were to Brock Lesnar and Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira, but that doesn’t change the fact that he is no longer the goliath he once was.  This one is going to come down to who can implement their strategy early and keep at it for three rounds.  When he doesn’t get knocked out with one big shot, there are few people better at this than Couture.  I’m taking the old man in this one.

- It’s a tad bit surprising to see Swick as a 2-1 favorite over Hardy, but the Brit is definitely the underdog.  Swick fights smart, and he manages to be a rare blend of aggressive and careful.  Unless he gets carried away and leaves himself open, he should win this.

- A couple of years ago Kang vs. Bisping would have seemed like a sick joke with Bisping as the punchline.  These days, not so much.  Kang has yet to impress since making the jump to the UFC with a loss against Alan Belcher.  Bisping may have gotten iced by Dan Henderson, but he’s in some good company there.  He’ll definitely want to remind his home country that he’s more than just fodder for internet photoshoppers, and I think Bisping pulls out a decision in this one.

- Let’s talk underdogs: Wilks is fish food against Brown, Pearson is the rare TUF winner to be an underdog in his UFC debut, Gugerty, Osipczak, Siver, and Delgado all seem like they’re facing down a firing squad.  That leaves Paul Taylor and Alexander Gustaffson.  Either are a decent pick, but I’m going to take Taylor, purely because I think Hathaway is still fairly inexperienced against tough competition.

Official Cage Potato Parlay: Couture + Swick + Brown + Etim + Winner.  Sorry Bisping, it’s not that I’m doubting you, it’s just…no I’m totally doubting you.

Cagepotato Comments

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831 Son- November 13, 2009 at 9:10 am
Anyone who says this isnt worth watching is a complete retard. It is free and will most likely be way more entertaining than the Fedor vs Rogers event. Get your fat heads out of your asses and smarten up losers. Obviously it aint a 50 dollar card that is why it is free. Stop hating just because there is no "stars" fighting you little girls.
LAS- November 13, 2009 at 9:08 am
Apparently most people posting here are missing the irony of a piece of clothing with historically political connotations being appropriated by the fashion industry and hung on middle-aged professional fighters in hope of justifying a $50 price tag for something that probably cost 50 cents to manufacture.

Also, I'd have to disagree about Kang not looking impressive so far; he was absolutely dominating Belcher until he got stuck in that guillotine. Kang may never be a champion, but he has elite level skills.
Tai-Pan- November 13, 2009 at 9:04 am
Obvoiusly the only question that matters here is, What would Sean Penn do?
Merlin- November 13, 2009 at 8:20 am
Everyday that Goog doesn't post a comment is a good day.
Kimbos Bread- November 13, 2009 at 8:16 am
What a crappy card. Honestly not worth the time and money.
MachidaVsSilva- November 13, 2009 at 7:54 am
Sorry if i double post here. I got flagged as spam even though I am advertising nothing.
NukeBlast- November 13, 2009 at 7:46 am
Odds are both negative because of the rake.
UFC fan- November 13, 2009 at 6:36 am
One Two it is obvious you haven't watched much UFC, go back to Japan you know nothing douchetard.
Grimmy- November 13, 2009 at 6:16 am
what is the deal with both Randy Couture and Brandon Vera having negative odds to win this fight?

This isnt one of those "no matter who wins, we all lose" situations, because Tim Sylvia's name is nowhere to be seen on this fight card!

Grimmy
Barc- November 13, 2009 at 6:13 am
Cage potatoes... you guys crack me up. This whole comment board has turned into a TMZ story about *gasp!* what Randy Couture wore to the presser.

I actually give Dan Hardy a good shot in this fight. I don't wanna see him win; but, I'd rather a KO courtesey of the winner of a british Rufio look-alike contest than a boring Swick decision.

Couture's got this one in the bag. He'll out clich Vera for 3 rounds or sub him on the ground.

Brown's gonna come out like the killer he is and get the job done.

Bisping's gonna re-enact his performance against Matt Hammill and steal the shitty decision for the night.

mthomas- November 12, 2009 at 11:57 pm
No no, you guys have it all wrong. Lots of old men wear scarves to keep warm. Obviously someone left a window open and there was a draft at the press conference...
steampunk22- November 12, 2009 at 11:40 pm
Politically, its a terrible match. Communism is typically atheist or areligious, so Kneestrike what you said actually makes no sense. Also, Palestine is not a communist state. There is no connection between the two.

But I'm glad you thought my comment was funny and not provocative. :P

Who you got on the fights?

Couture / Swick / Kang / Brown for myself.
robthom- November 12, 2009 at 8:42 pm
I recognize about 7 of the names on that card. And I only have the slightest idea who 4 or 5 of those names actually are. I guess this really is one for the Brits, meh.
knee_strike- November 12, 2009 at 8:30 pm
@bpd

I see. I had no idea they were hip. I just know all the pro-Palestine types used to wear them. Politically, it's a perfect match for Couture's commie cap. (Nice alliteration there, eh?)

@steampunk22

That was actually quite funny.
steampunk22- November 12, 2009 at 7:20 pm
Agreed. But kneestrike is going to call attention to it. Thank god Couture wasn't a black man or shit really would've hit the fan!
tmanifold- November 12, 2009 at 7:20 pm
A lot of soldiers wear it now too. My guess is Randy got it from them. He doesn't seem the type to be part of the Pro-palestine whining... I mean lobby.
bpd- November 12, 2009 at 6:54 pm
knee_strike, those scarves have been appropriated to the point where they're more fashion than anything else. If Rachael Ray is wearing em in Dunkin Donuts ads, it's pretty much dead in the water as a political statement
TylerDyrden- November 12, 2009 at 6:31 pm
Can't wait for Swick to pick apart Hardy! Then he will beat up on GSP. Mark MY words.
Fred Reeva- November 12, 2009 at 6:10 pm
James Wilks is a piece of poop. Mark my words.
Randy Pan- November 12, 2009 at 5:52 pm
Couture has definitely got this. I think Wilks might put up a better fight then you think, CP.
stingrza- November 12, 2009 at 5:47 pm
I want to further check "James" on his "Randy as an aging hipster" comment: That "overpriced graphic tee" that you would laugh at him for wearing (and what a joke this comment is -- never before has delusional internet bluster been so obvious)... he's getting PAID to wear that. More than your yearly salary. So really, who should be laughing at who here?
One Two- November 12, 2009 at 5:46 pm
there probabally hasn't been any coverage because its a shit card filled with TUF bums, randy kinda Saves it everyone likes capt. America and wants to see how long he can kick ass while getting the senior citizen discount on his coffee at Mcdonalds.
steampunk22- November 12, 2009 at 5:30 pm
Firstly, just because it looks similiar to a keffiyeh doesn't mean it is, and it doesnt mean that Couture is pro-palestine or political. To him its probably just a scarf, so whatever. I'm sure he has a stylist anyways lol

Second, yes he does like like a hipster and James is right, should any of us actually see him we should probably laugh. And then run, because he's still kind of scary for an old man. Hipster or not. I'm afraid of that gross ear.

I agree, not enough coverage of this event. But hey, its a busy month and this card is the least important of all of them in all honesty.

I'd love to see Kang give Bisping two in a row, but they both have something to prove so we'll see. I think Couture has more to gain here than Vera but either one moves up if they win thats for sure. I think Swick's got Hardy, so long as he can avoid that big right hand, Swick's got him on range though he's a tall dude.

Good free event though, wouldn't pay much to see it.
tallkitchenbags- November 12, 2009 at 5:13 pm
couture vs vera? jfc, the brits deserve better than this sorry ass match and card. strikeforce looks better by the day.
James- November 12, 2009 at 5:03 pm
lol Randy dresses like a 20 year old hipster
- Overpriced graphic tee (check)
- Castro hat (check)
- Keffiyeh (check)

If he wasn't a UFC champion, I'd probably laugh at him if I met him.
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