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Gambling Addiction Enabler: UFC 110


(Proof that being a bad-ass does not prevent you from looking like a stereotypical tourist in a foreign country. Photo courtesy of Combat Lifestyle.)

This weekend’s UFC event down under is a tricky one for your old pal the Enabler. You see, years ago I promised my sponsor that I wouldn’t bet on any more Australian sporting events. It’s a long story that I’d rather not get into right now, so let’s just say that it involved a high-stakes netball match and a ’92 Pontiac that wasn’t exactly mine to lose.

But this is different. This is the UFC. Surely I can make an exception here, right? Not even that lot of criminals can fix a fight in the UFC. Not like those crooked netball games. The tastiest betting lines on the internet come to us courtesy of BestFightOdds.com:

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (+105) vs. Cain Velasquez (-110)
Wanderlei Silva (-130) vs. Michael Bisping (+130)
Joe Stevenson (-240) vs. George Sotiropoulos (+218)
Keith Jardine (+140) vs. Ryan Bader (-135)
Mirko Filipovic (-135) vs. Ben Rothwell (+130)


Elvis Sinosic (-115) vs. Chris Haseman (+109)
Stephan Bonnar (+160) vs. Krzysztof Soszynski (-155)
Chris Lytle (-150) vs. Brian Foster (+145)
CB Dollaway (+205) vs. Igor Pokrajac (+160)

The breakdown…

– Nog/Velasquez is basically a pick-em because no one knows for sure whether Nogueira still has the tricks up his sleeve to deal with a high-energy monster like Velasquez. What you have to ask yourself here is whether Big Nog can stay off his back for long enough to outbox his younger counterpart and take advantage of his weaknesses on the feet. Personally, I have to answer no to that one. Velasquez via decision. Put me down for forty of those wacky Australian dollars on it. It’s not like it’s real money, right?

– If Wanderlei Silva hasn’t gone completely to seed, he should beat Bisping. The Brit isn’t going to be able to stay on his bicycle and jab his way to a win in this one the way he did against Chris Leben, and he probably lacks the power to put Silva away. That means he has to engage or risk letting everyone’s favorite Axe Murderer take the decision with his aggression. I’m taking Silva, but after his last couple of performances I don’t feel all that great about it, so I’ll keep my action modest.

– Okay, underdog time. Take a hard look at Sotiropoulos, Rothwell, Jardine, and Foster. Sotiropoulos is your best chance to cash in big, and he’s got a decent chance to pull off an upset in his home country if he can keep from being outwrestled by “Daddy.” The safest bet, however, is Rothwell. No matter what Cro Cop says about recapturing the old fire, I’m not sold. He’s older, slower, smaller, and in all ways less dependable than Rothwell, who knows he needs to win big or face unemployment after only two UFC fights. You don’t even want to know how many sperm bank payments I’m willing to bet on it.

Absolutely Don’t Bet Against:
Goran Reljic. Dollaway is too one-dimensional, his constant smirking expression makes you want to punch him in the face way too much. Reljic will give in to the urge and knock him out.

Official Cage Potato Parlay: Velasquez + Bader + K-Sos + Reljic.

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Randy Pan- February 17, 2010 at 11:21 pm
I'm excited to see Velasquez v Big Nog. Neither guy seems to possess the punching-power to knock the other out, so this should last a while. This is a great match-up. Nog by second-round submission.

Silva should have this. TKO by the third.

Cro-Cop will win. KO via headkick to the testicles at weigh-ins.
OneMorePunchFujita- February 17, 2010 at 7:29 pm
I can't wait to see Goran back in action. He was such a beast against Wilson.
EzMoNeY- February 17, 2010 at 2:09 pm
they could also retitle this card, the death of pride
EzMoNeY- February 17, 2010 at 1:42 pm
alot of this card is wrestling v jiu jitsu, and going off the logic that close guard is dead, i think the wrestlers are gonna win out. i'd love to see Sotiropoulis represent some 10th planet jits and beat joe daddy off a zombie to an omoplata or something slick like that though.
bcpjkell- February 17, 2010 at 12:24 pm
I can't believe they didn't mention Nogueira's offensive bottom game at all. Nogueria is more than willing to pull guard in his last fights, and has, in my opinion, the best sweeps in all of MMA. He swept Randy Couture, one of MMA's best wrestlers, with ease. Velasquez has nowhere near the experience of Couture, and has never been on his back in any fight. If Nogueira can get the sweep, I think Velasquez will be a turtle on his back.
aaronb- February 17, 2010 at 12:19 pm
Bonnar over Ksos is going to kill your parlay. People are putting way too much stock in Coleman beating Bonnar to see this clearly. Stephan's reach and boxing are too much on the feet, and as long as he stays out of Ksos's Kimura on the ground. He should be able to win the decision. Especially because you know Stephan is going to have a major sense of urgency.
peckawoodd- February 17, 2010 at 12:01 pm
Hmmm..... this is an especially tough cast to pick. I think CP took the safe bets but something tells me that Big Nog is going to pull this one off regardless due to the fact that he's fought monstrous competition that far exceeds Velasquez and what he's faced. Nog by submission in the third after a very tough fight.

And God I wish that they would make an exception and implement Pride rules for the Silva-Bisping match so we could see Wandy soccer kick Bisping back to Liverpool. Just imagine the GIFs.
just some dong- February 17, 2010 at 11:31 am
Nog will be exposed in this fight; he's washed up. It'll be Cain's crowning achievement in his career; he'll never hold the belt or beat anyone better.

Word.

One Two- February 17, 2010 at 10:40 am
Nog Wandy and Cro Cop all at about even? NICE. time to make some money and in crocops case time to make me back all that money you lost me, losing to scrubs.
DaltonSwayze- February 17, 2010 at 10:25 am
Guys, Wand is done. Yeah, we all love him, but it's over. Bisping sucks, but I'm betting he wins a decision over a dessicated Axe Murderer
skeletor- February 17, 2010 at 10:23 am
This card is full of pick em's. I love Nog but think he will probably lose a decision here. My fightpicker will surely be fucked after this weekend. Also, does no one know how to check your god damn total points.
steampunk22- February 17, 2010 at 10:21 am
Why do you guys even know what Netball is?

And I think Nog keeps this on the feet rather than risk an early stoppage from Cain raining down brown pride all over his face.

Gross.
fACE7biter- February 17, 2010 at 10:19 am
I hope Nog takes this, but I don't know, he could get controlled for three rounds and lose the decision. My hope is that Cain gets too comfortable taking it ot the ground and gets caught in a sub.

Wanderlei will expose Bisbing for the overrated bag of shit he is.

Cro Cop will get knocked out by Rothwell. Hes on the downswing and is not coming back, and Rothwell needs this win. Cro Cop will try and throw some highlight reel kicks, and will get caught on the chin.

And please, I hope Stephan Bonnar returns to form and destroys that ugly troll K-Sos.
Crusader86- February 17, 2010 at 9:59 am
I will be very upset if Big Nog loses. Also Chris Lytle is on the undercard and that will be an awesome fight. Lytle always brings it.
Mister Potato Head- February 17, 2010 at 9:56 am
Reporter: "mr dollaway, how do you feel about getting the piss beat out of you and being handed your walking papers?"



C.B: "Maatt daaamon"...
h.o.n.k.y.k.o.n.g- February 17, 2010 at 9:56 am
I just don't see the logic in making a relative novice to the fight game the favourite against a tried-and-true former champ who's just coming off one of the best wins of his career against another former champ. When you look at who Cain has beaten, it seems like an absolute joke to think that any of his opponents would get a shot at Nog if they'd beaten Cain themselves.

I hope to god that Nog wins. There are far more interesting fights at the top of the game for Nog than there are for Cain. The thought of Velasquez vs Lesnar or Velasquez vs Mir aren't nearly as exciting as Nog.

Plus, CB Dollaway is fun to keep around, because he tends to lose big and make me smile. I hope Reljic boxes him stupid and then chokes him out. The image of Dollaway unconscious with blood pouring out of his face is hilarious to me.

I think I'm sick.
macreadysshack- February 17, 2010 at 9:41 am
Please please please give Dolloway his pink slip. That guy's a natural heel; he doesn't even need to try at it like a Chael Sonnen or Brock Lesnar type does. I don't even 'love to hate' him. I just hate him. I hope he dies instantly in a car wreck because I couldn't wish cancer on anybody.
Hendos Right Hand- February 17, 2010 at 9:39 am
Big Nog via any way he pleases! The man is a legend and has fought the best in the world! Cain is going to look like all hype after this bout.
El Famous Burrito- February 17, 2010 at 9:34 am
Unfortunately, Dollaway's got this one.

He's like Kendall Grove in the fact that just when it seems that he's one loss away from finally getting shit-canned, he pulls of the god-damned win and your drywall gets another hole in it.
Swedish- February 17, 2010 at 9:24 am
I totally agree with this. Nicely said:

"Dollaway is too one-dimensional, his constant smirking expression makes you want to punch him in the face way too much."
Homoplata- February 17, 2010 at 9:24 am
Why would big nog want to stay off his back to box necessarily? He's got sweeps and subs that Cain hasn't dealt with before. No way Cain trains w/ anybody who can replicate Nog's skills.

I like the logic on Reljic winning.
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