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Gambling Addiction Enabler: UFC 114 Edition


(Props: CagePotato reader Mitch C.)
 
After making a solid profit on Heavy Artillery, the Gambling Enabler is ready to let it ride on UFC 114. Are you ready? Or are you too chickenshit to claim what’s yours in this life? Seriously, if you don’t have the balls to make hypothetical online wagers on UFC fights, then LEAVE NOW BECAUSE WE DON’T WANT YOU. Odds are only being offered on seven matches from the #114 card, but that’s enough to make us a little cash, so lets take a look at the numbers courtesy of MMAMoneyline

Rashad Evans (-115) vs. Quinton Jackson (+105)
Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (-540) vs. Jason Brilz (+375)
Michael Bisping (-185) vs. Dan Miller (+160)
Todd Duffee (-430) vs. Mike Russow (+325)
Diego Sanchez (-220) vs. John Hathaway (+185)
Amir Sadollah (-130) vs. Dong Hyun Kim (+120)
Efrain Escudero (-400) vs. Dan Lauzon (+350)

Now then…


The Main Event: To clarify for the Rampage nut-huggers — Quinton is a small underdog here because he’s spent the last year acting, while Rashad has spent the last year fighting and training. Rampage probably hasn’t lost his striking power, but I foresee Rashad scoring at least a couple of takedowns that score him points with the judges. My official prediction is Rashad by decision, in a fight that doesn’t quite live up to the "epic grudge match" hype. The smartest bet here is probably no bet. But nobody ever accused us of being smart.

Squash City: According to the betting lines, Lil’ Nog will smash Jason Brilz, Todd Duffee is going to slash through Mike Russow, and Efrain Escudero is going to eat Dan Lauzon’s lunch. The guy with the biggest chance of an upset is Mike Russow — he’s not a late replacement, he hasn’t had a falling out with his camp, and he honestly is one of the more underrated heavyweights in the game. His +325 line is somewhat tempting, and I have no doubt that he can give Duffee the fight of his life, but I still say Duffee gets his arm raised when the smoke clears. Put Nogueira/Duffee/Escudero in a parlay together for a small but safe return on investment.

The Good ‘Dog: If you want to bet against a favorite, your remaining options are Dan Miller, John Hathaway, and Dong Hyun Kim. Miller didn’t look impressive in his last two decision losses to Demian Maia and Chael Sonnen, so I’m staying away from him. Kim is well-seasoned and still technically undefeated, but he’s been out of action since UFC 100 due to injuries, so I wouldn’t throw money on him either. Oddly enough, John Hathaway is the best option here. Hathaway is 3-0 in the UFC and coming off a complete rout of Paul Taylor at UFC 105, while Diego Sanchez is returning to welterweight after being utterly demoralized against BJ Penn in December. Sanchez’s pace and intensity can crack most opponents, but if the Nightmare comes into this fight with the mentality that it’s a tune-up fight, he could be surprised.

Suggested Wagering Breakdown, Based on Hypothetical $50 Stake:
– $10 on Evans
– $20 on Nogueira/Duffee/Escudero parlay
– $15 on on Bisping/Sanchez/Sadollah parlay
– $5 on Hathaway or Russow, whoever you like better

Cagepotato Comments

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RaginAsian- May 29, 2010 at 10:02 pm
Hathaway and Kim did me good. I had a good feeling about those two.
uncle kodis- May 29, 2010 at 5:53 pm
WAR ESCUDERO!!!!!!!!!!!
Mr_Misanthropy- May 26, 2010 at 10:34 am
I thought the poster was in techni-color. I must be going color blind. Maybe I should try squinting and see if that loosens up my racial intolerance.
Jackanapes- May 26, 2010 at 12:12 am
Sideburnz is joking isn't he? I'll give him the benefit of the doubt and presume he's not that fucking retarded.

But if he isn't, the same style poster was used for UFC 112 with Maia and Silva. It's their vintage-style poster or something.
DazedNConfused- May 25, 2010 at 5:39 pm
ps. Sideburns is a dumbshit. What would showing Rampage/Evans in color accomplish for the african american race exactly? I could find a lot more racist things than that. I suggest you stop commenting. It's bound to give me an aneurysm very soon.
DazedNConfused- May 25, 2010 at 5:35 pm
Bodog is pretty good for bets as well. Along with SportsInteraction (who that slut Trish Stratus happens to be the spokeswoman for, yum.)
Mr_Misanthropy- May 25, 2010 at 5:29 pm
Crumpage via KO inna foist, Noguiera via KO inna enda da foist, Beestang via TKO inna thoid, Duffee via TKO smashings enda da second, Sanchez via Decision wif da mean mugs n cartwheels, Kim takes a thoid round RNC, Escudero clowns Lauzon for the second round TKO stoppage.

Hathaway and Brilz should have to roux sham beau for the nickname "Hitman". Winner keeps the goods and gets to kick the loser in the giblets.
NinJay- May 25, 2010 at 2:55 pm
@ Sideburns

What are you talking about? That poster is in color.

@Charming Charlie

I Like sportsbook.com for all my betting

These are some tough calls because I really want to take some underdogs but it's most likely a trap.

As likable as Amir is, I'm betting the farm on Kim.
peckawoodd- May 25, 2010 at 2:41 pm
Rampage is probably going to knock out Rashad. Rashad's scared of him.
Charming Charlie- May 25, 2010 at 2:29 pm
Does anyone bet actual money online? And if so, with what company?
cloiselle- May 25, 2010 at 1:33 pm
$500 on quinton.
ghostboner- May 25, 2010 at 1:00 pm
Actually screw it I'll take Lauzon for $20. Money makin we be money makin.
ghostboner- May 25, 2010 at 12:57 pm
Evans vs Rampage is not enticing. I'm staying away, though if I was betting it would not be on 'Page. But like I said eff that matchup.

I'll take Nog and Duffee, and Hathaway. Why not?

Bisping I think loses, but the UFC can't cut him so I'm sure he gets another career saving bullshit decision, similar to the Hammil fight. Or Miller subs him in the 3rd.

I'll take Sadollah in a close one, and I'm not counting Lauzon out, so I'm staying away from that one as well.
LastEmperor- May 25, 2010 at 12:18 pm
I picked Kim right away.

Not a fan of Amir.
rampageisgod- May 25, 2010 at 12:11 pm
Since when are there enough Rampage "nut huggers" to constitute a diss?
rampageisgod- May 25, 2010 at 12:06 pm
Rampage is B.A. Rashad is gonna be unconscious.
externalboxer- May 25, 2010 at 11:28 am
Rashad Evans (-115) vs. Quinton Jackson (+105)
i think jackson will win via tko

Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (-540) vs. Jason Brilz (+375)
i think lil nog will win via tko

Michael Bisping (-185) vs. Dan Miller (+160)
i think bisping will win via decision

Todd Duffee (-430) vs. Mike Russow (+325)
i think duffman takes it via tko

Diego Sanchez (-220) vs. John Hathaway (+185)
i think hathaway will win via decision

Amir Sadollah (-130) vs. Dong Hyun Kim (+120)
i think kim will win via decision

Efrain Escudero (-400) vs. Dan Lauzon (+350)
i think efrain will win via tko
El Guapo- May 25, 2010 at 11:21 am
Let's see here, Rampage has spent the last year acting and Rashad has spent the last year looking like shit. Tough one. It really is..

Seriously

Rampage Rules- May 25, 2010 at 10:53 am
Dear Rashad, you bes to shuffles dems feets sir or yoos gonna bee ina hole HEEEEEP a troubles.
KarmaAteMyCat- May 25, 2010 at 10:19 am
First and foremost. I love how you can call Rampage fans nuthuggers but Fedor fans and Evans fans are the cool kids on the short bus. Allow me to be the first to say "Go fuck yourself". I enjoy the article just not the hate I am a rampage fan and I believe that if he touches Evans chin he's going to be seeing birds and sleeping on Icey streets. That said I figured I'd throw my two cents in. I hope Sanchez and Bisping get knocked the fuck out, this in mind I don't see anyone knocking out diego sanchez but I sure can hope right? Maybe they can give Bisping is another story though isn't he? I hope this is the Second Dan that drops an elbow on his already Lights outted face. Good day sir! Good day!
SiDeBuRnZ- May 25, 2010 at 9:47 am
Oh so when it's two black dudes they go all Black and White on the poster colour?

F**king racists...
Goog- May 25, 2010 at 9:47 am
I blame this whole uninteresting mess on Brad Imes. If he'da just beat Rashad to begin with, we wouldn't be on the verge of the most EPIC GRUDGE disappointment in recent memory. Regardless of the outcome, I'll still hate Rampage and the only love I have for Rashad is because he gets to punch Rampage. After this weekend, I'm taking down my Rashad poster and putting Scott Baio back up.
fedorable- May 25, 2010 at 9:32 am
Why haven't I received my chips for winning one of my pools from the last event???

I can't get join any pools till I get those chips man...I NEED THOSE CHIPSS!!!

JK, but seriously, wtf?
cecils_pupils- May 25, 2010 at 9:26 am
Knockout of the Night: "freeway" Rampage Jackson

Submissions of the Night: Efrain Escudero

Fight of the Night: Amir Sadollah and Dong Hyun Kim
Patrick- May 25, 2010 at 8:56 am
I really like both Sadollah and Kim.
Kinda hate it that they have to fight eachother, but it'll almost certainly be Fight of the Night.

I agree that Rashad will probably win via boring decision.
Bisping vs Miller should be a good fight, too.
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