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Gambling Addiction Enabler: UFC 136 Edition

(Stock-trader vs. Wall Street protester — who ya got? Photo via MMA Mania)

Want to make some real money this weekend? Then come over to my place on Saturday afternoon and be prepared to clean some toilets. Want to make some hypothetical, for-entertainment-purposes-only money this weekend? Then check out the latest UFC 136 betting lines (via BestFightOdds) and read our gambling advice after the jump.

PPV Main Card
Frankie Edgar (-125) vs. Gray Maynard (+120)
Jose Aldo (-320) vs. Kenny Florian (+301)
Chael Sonnen (-255) vs. Brian Stann (+227)
Nam Phan (-210) vs. Leonard Garcia (+208)
Melvin Guillard (-312) vs. Joe Lauzon (+310)

Spike TV Prelims
Demian Maia (-275) vs. Jorge Santiago (+245)
Anthony Pettis (-277) vs. Jeremy Stephens (+250)

Facebook Prelims
Joey Beltran (+190) vs. Stipe Miocic (-210)
Tiequan Zhang (-120) vs. Darren Elkins (+115)
Aaron Simpson (-313) vs. Eric Schafer (+300)
Steve Cantwell (-135) vs. Mike Massenzio (+130)

We’ll begin…at the beginning:

The Main Event: It’s a line that should really be dead even. But if somebody’s going to be a favorite here, should it really be Frankie Edgar? After all, he couldn’t beat Gray Maynard in either of their two previous meetings. As a slight underdog, Maynard is worth a small investment.

The Other Good ‘Dogs: A lot of them look good, actually. Chael Sonnen is coming off 14 months of controversy and inactivity, so his -255 feels a little inflated, especially against someone as focused and dangerous as Brian Stann. We all know that Leonard Garcia is bulletproof with judges, so if he can swing and grunt his way to the last bell — and not get finished by Phan — he could always end up stealing another one and doubling your money. And if Demian Maia insists on pretending he’s a striker, he’s asking to get laid out by Jorge Santiago.

The Smart Straight-Bet: Blowouts are the name of the game this weekend, with eight of the 11 matchups sitting at 2-to-1 odds or greater. You won’t get rich betting on the stiff favorites, so take a look at Tiequan Zhang at a modest -120 over Darren Elkins. Both guys are just 1-0 at featherweight, but Zhang’s aggressive grappling attack will give the American a heap of problems.

Stay Away From: Joe Lauzon. Yeah, yeah, everybody loves J-Lau, and his skill set is the perfect one to give Guillard trouble. At +310, why not put money on the grappler’s chance, right? Answer: Because Melvin is far too powerful, and he’s a little savvier about avoiding submissions these days. Guillard’s got this one, probably by KO. The same warning applies for Kenny Florian — tripling your cash on the seasoned challenger might be seductive, but you’ll likely be pissing that money away.

Official CagePotato Parlay: Aldo + Guillard + Pettis + Zhang. $20 returns a $57.18 profit. Not risky enough? Okay, $1,000 returns a $2,858 profit. Now we’re talkin’.

Cagepotato Comments

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windycityiggy- October 7, 2011 at 2:26 pm
ALL CURRENT ODDS Courtesy of Bet the fights this weekend and receive up to a 25% bonus! Click this link for special promos!! >>>>> Contact me on twitter @windycityiggy if you have any questions!

9:00 PM 24155 Kenny Foster +275
24156 Ronnie Mann -350

10:00 PM 24153 Chris Lozano -120
24154 Douglas Lima -110

10:30 PM 24151 Luis Santos +125
24152 Ben Saunders -155

Saturday, Oct 08, 2011 - UFC 136
05:35 PM 24129 Joey Beltran +195
24130 Stipe Miocic -245

05:35 PM 24133 Darren Elkins -105
24134 Tie Quan Zhang -125

05:35 PM 24137 Eric Schafer +275
24138 Aaron Simpson -350

05:35 PM 24141 Mike Massenzio +120
24142 Steve Cantwell -150

08:05 PM 24125 Jorge Santiago +240
24126 Demian Maia -300

08:30 PM 24121 Jeremy Stephens +230
24122 Anthony Pettis -290

09:00 PM 24117 Joe Lauzon +300
24118 Melvin Guillard -375

10:00 PM 24113 Leonard Garcia +190
24114 Nam Phan -240

10:30 PM 24109 Brian Stann +210
24110 Chael Sonnen -270

11:00 PM 24101 Gray Maynard +110
24102 Frank Edgar -140

11:00 PM 24105 Kenny Florian +300
24106 Jose Aldo -400
zhanligay- October 7, 2011 at 10:36 am
UFC service for the sex,welcome to
SnackDaddy- October 7, 2011 at 4:57 am
Out of the underdogs, Stann is the best bet.
Nut Puncher 9000- October 7, 2011 at 3:23 am
Pettis is still inflated, Stephens is a good bet.

Get Paid.
RSparrow- October 7, 2011 at 12:56 am
I told everyone to come to H town and check this shit out.
RSparrow- October 7, 2011 at 12:54 am
I just dropped Pulver off at his hotel, had a heart to heart about career etc, that guy is a cool motherfucker... straight up.
Todd M- October 6, 2011 at 9:45 pm
Maynard, Aldo, Sonnen, Phan, Guillard
Deal_the_Seal- October 6, 2011 at 8:25 pm
100 on Stann, 100 on Zhang. Let's do this.
XENOPHON- October 6, 2011 at 7:38 pm
Yeah they give him no love, but even his CEO has acknowledged that he has dropped the ball in the big fights too many times. As K-Flo had nothing for BJ, at a few pounds lighter do you think that he will really fair any different with Aldo?
superflat- October 6, 2011 at 6:31 pm
No love for Florian at +300? Really?
RwilsonR- October 6, 2011 at 5:41 pm
J-Lau by heelhook.
RwilsonR- October 6, 2011 at 5:40 pm
@ Sgt. 606 - Stay away from the gingers... they don't have souls.
Get Off Me- October 6, 2011 at 5:37 pm
I'd stay away from Pettis.
I bought Sonnen early for the win, now I'm going heavy on the Chael wins by decision prop.
Maia is money.
Looks like a lot of dogs will cash on this card.
Could Kenny use his size advantage over Aldo and keep him down on the mat? Could Kenny do what Kenny does in title fights? Not sure if Aldo's back is 100% either.

J3t- October 6, 2011 at 3:57 pm
I think Jose Aldo is a safer bet than fuckin El Guapo's mom on the first night
k-onda- October 6, 2011 at 3:00 pm
Maynard v rape choke in the 4th
Sgt. 606- October 6, 2011 at 2:54 pm
I really like Eric Red Schaffer at +300. Dude is a beast on the ground, has a solid chin, and he is a snappy dresser.

Place a small bet on him and send me royalties on Sunday.
RSparrow- October 6, 2011 at 2:51 pm
I'm betting a grand on Stann. Wiggle Wiggle Wiggle Wiggle Wiggle Wiggle Wiggle!!
ghostboner- October 6, 2011 at 2:25 pm
What about $17? I ain't got 20, had some dollar menu for lunch today.

And J-Lau looks good at +310. Real good. He will probably look less good doing his best Arlovski impression and losing me some money, but if Nate Diaz could pull it off then J-Lau should be able to as well.
Fried Taco- October 6, 2011 at 1:46 pm
What about a million? What kind of profit then?