
(‘Hope you got that camera turned on, ’cause I ain’t doing this shit again.’)
Looks like “running the rock” wasn’t enough to impress oddsmakers, as B.J. Penn is still the betting underdog just two days before UFC 94. Maybe if we got the impression that the rock exercise was something he did every morning, rather than just once to show off for the cameras, things would be different.
Today’s betting lines come from BestFightOdds.com, and they’re tighter than usual all across the board, with one exception.
Georges St. Pierre (-175) vs. BJ Penn (+166)
Lyoto Machida (-245) vs. Thiago Silva (+232)
Stephan Bonnar (-165) vs. Jon Jones (+156)
Karo Parisyan (-271) vs. Dong Hyun Kim (+260)
Nate Diaz (-117) vs. Clay Guida (+107)
Jon Fitch (-500) vs. Akihiro Gono (+450)
Chris Wilson (-295) vs. John Howard (+285)
Manvel Gamburyan (+116) vs. Thiago Tavares (-120)
Jake O’Brien (-240) vs. Christian Wellisch (+236)
Matt Arroyo (-170) vs. Dan Cramer (+161)
Thoughts…
- Call me crazy, but I think GSP is a good bet at +175. There are no sure things when B.J. Penn is involved, but unless St. Pierre does something dumb and gets himself submitted I don’t see him losing this. Anything less than 2-1 odds on him is worth the action. Although if a Hawaiian spots you making that bet at the sportsbook he is guaran-damn-teed to call you a Haole and tell you that you’re wasting your money. Take my word for it.
- I like Jon Fitch to beat Akihiro Gono, too, but -500 still seems a little steep. Oddsmakers would have you believe he’s the surest thing on this card. I wouldn’t go that far, at least not while Lyoto Machida is still on there, but I would still advise you to resist the tempation to put a little cash down on Gono. Not unless you can imagine a scenario in which he wins this fight, and if you can I’d love to hear it.
- So who’s a good bet this time around? I like the slight underdog pick of Guida over Diaz, but if you’re really feeling adventurous you might take a chance on Dong Hyun Kim over Karo Parisyan. True, that’s more a bet against Parisyan and his mental and physical woes than it is for Kim, but we just don’t know what “The Heat” is capable of these days.
- Absolutely don’t bet against: Chris Wilson. John Howard is a UFC newbie who fancies himself a good striker, but if he stands in front of Wilson he’s liable to get picked apart in a rough welcome to the Octagon. Believe that, playa.








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commentsGSP will successfully take BJ down for the first three rounds which will take away his conditioning advantage (as he will be using energy and BJ will be chillin').
But come the fourth and fifth, when GSP has blood in his eyes and a broken nose, he will tire out and get trapped either in BJ's rubber guard or by RNC. Bet on it.
So I am placing my money on him.
Ne
ill take clay over the diaz and i hope that karo wins. hope he can still bring that heat.
im surprised everyone is calling machida v silva such a sure thing for machida. i t hink lyoto will take it, but silva could def catch him with a crazy strike with that aggresive style of his.
Also, I'm placing $5,000,000,000 on Fitch to destroy GONO.
He learns so much from a tough first fight, even a loss... that he's invariably able to make the second go-round look like child's play. I'm thinking Hughes and Serra, for example.
Still, that underwater shit has me scratching my head now, and I'm putting a couple of Benjamins on BJ... in honor of Goldstein and Fowlkes!
Guida's a good bet. I'm expectin a wolverine rampage.
I'm hopin' you guys at CP get those fights posted soon after the event. I don't got the money to buy this one.
I'm puttin a few hundy down on my man Bonnar.
Also, I love Kim to death but I am not gonna bet him. He looked shitty in his last bout against Matt Brown.
I got GSP, Guida, and Bonnar as my bets. Hell I'm thinkin of puttin a little down on Gamburyan. Although I hate him I think hes taking this one
Oh, and Anonymous is still a turd brain.
Well, my little nut-hugger, I'll say this: The only place Penn has GSP beat for sure is in the witticism dept. I give him full props for the lay on your bed for 20 minutes and go fuck yourself comment, that was hilarious.
As for superior skill, timing, balance and game plan, go watch the films for when GSP dismantled Hughes during their second meeting, or the way he not only dominated but shut down Koscheck at every turn, or the way he kicked Fitch's ass all over the ring, keeping in mind that Fitch was supposed the biggest challenge of his career.
Put all that in your pipe and smoke it. And when you're through with that, you can put BJ's gym bag down and choke on his dick for a while. You'll both feel better.
Kim even with his wins, none of his fights were "performing". I think the heat can take him. GSP GSP GSP!
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