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Gambling Addiction Enabler: UFC 98

(Oh man, when Frank Mir hears Rashad launch into that joke about the two old nuns who stumble into the nudist colony, he simply can’t help himself.  No matter how many times he hears it, Evans’ delivery cracks him up every time.)

Sup, MMA fans.  It’s been a while since the old Gambling Addiction Enabler rapped at you, so you might be wondering what he’s been up to.  You know, the usual crap.  Hanging out at the dog tracks, selling plasma and/or sperm, pawning stuff, getting into arguments with the old lady, driving her to the pawn shop so she can buy back her stuff.  Nothing special, in other words.  But now UFC 98 is nearly upon us, which means it’s time to take a look at the lines and compulsively wager money over the internet.  God, it’s good to be alive some days.

Odds come to us from

Rashad Evans (+190) vs. Lyoto Machida (-185)
Matt Hughes (-250) vs. Matt Serra (+260)
Frankie Edgar (+300) vs. Sean Sherk (-270)
Dave Kaplan (+135) vs. George Roop (-135)
Kyle Bradley (+300) vs. Phillipe Nover (-330)
Brandon Wolff (+400) vs. Yoshiyuki Yoshida (-436)
Pat Barry (-274) vs. Tim Hague (+255)
Chris Wilson (-167) vs. Brock Larson (+120)
Drew McFedries (-227) vs. Xavier Foupa-Pokam (+157)
Krzysztof Soszynski (-118) vs. Andre Gusmao (-118)

Place your bets…

– I’m not going to pretend that I don’t know why Rashad Evans, the champ, is the underdog in his first title defense.  It’s because Lyoto Machida has a way of frustrating the hell out of his opponents and winning without ever assuming much bodily risk – something of a rarity in pro fighting.  That said, Evans has a better chance than the nearly 2-1 odds he’s getting here.  He’s improved steadily in every fight and isn’t the type to get impatient.  Over five rounds, he may be just the guy to figure Machida out.  At these odds, I’ll take the champ.  The Bet: $20 on Evans.

- The culture war between Hughes and Serra has lost a lot of its original heat, and the line on this fight tells you, at least in part, why interest has flagged.  Despite all the trash talk, it doesn’t seem like too competitive of a fight.  Serra is a tough guy but lacks the full toolbox.  Hughes may not be as explosive with the takedowns as he was a few years ago, but he’s still probably big and strong enough to bully Serra for three rounds.  What say we just enjoy this one for the pure hatred involved, and leave money out of it for a change?

- So what underdog, however slight, do I like?  There are two: Brock Larson and Xavier Foupa-Pokam.  Larson is the kind of bulldog of a fighter that Wilson often struggles with, and I think even his desire to win enough money to buy back his stolen goods won’t overcome the wrestling-shaped hole in Wilson’s game.  Drew McFedries has been pretty awful lately, and with two straight losses he’s about to get bounced from the UFC if he can’t beat Professor X, which he won’t.  The Bet(s): $20 on Larson and $20 on Foupa-Pokam.

- Absolutely Don’t Bet Against: Pat Barry.  Vicious is the only word that comes to mind when describing his striking game.  Hague is going to get leg kicked until he develops one of those neato pimp walks.  Mark my words.

- The Official Cage Potato Parlay:
Hughes + Sherk + Barry + Larson.  Nuff said.  If you need me I’ll be down at the electronics store trying to return this broken clock radio I found.  Thing hardly smells of garbage at all, so I like my chances.

Cagepotato Comments

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Ronan the Barbarian- May 20, 2009 at 8:31 am
Is anyone else hoping for a Maynard v. Emerson style finish to the Hughes v. Serra fight!? I would love to see Serra tapping out after Hughes "farmboy slam"s himself into unconciousness!! I hate both those douche bags.
d0zer- May 19, 2009 at 6:53 pm
@ Jay Smith

I think the holes are more in Evans' temperament. Lyoto will frustrate the hell out of Rashad, and thats when fighters make their mistakes. He will try to do some sort of showboating to piss off Lyoto, and Lyoto won't be having any of it.

So to put it lightly, Rashad's hole is his ego.
Jay Smith- May 19, 2009 at 3:20 pm
@ dozer
and what are the holes in Evans game???........
T1- May 19, 2009 at 1:45 pm
@ d0zer, So you hate America, got it. ... ;)

whoever ends up losing, we still win.
d0zer- May 19, 2009 at 1:38 pm
@ T1, Terrorists equally hate all of America. I love America. I don't love everyone in America, specifically Matt Serra.
Walrus- May 19, 2009 at 1:28 pm
Hold up!

They play Trailer Park Boys on HDNet?!?!

hlebtastic- May 19, 2009 at 12:55 pm
Love the Jim Anchower intro. I'm a get me a wii if it kills me is still a catch phrase of mine.
T1- May 19, 2009 at 12:23 pm
@ d0zer, know who else didn't like New Yorkers ... terrorists, are you a terrorist?

d0zer- May 19, 2009 at 12:08 pm
I think Machida will win over Evans. Machida doesn't have any apparent holes in his game, and if he does, no one has found them out yet. He is a better striker than Evans too, and I don't think that he will let Evans wrestle him. Lyoto will win by decision...there will be no KO or submission for two counter-strikers.
d0zer- May 19, 2009 at 12:03 pm
@T1 - you are hoping SERRA wins to shut HUGHES up?! Sure, Hughes speaks his mind in a calm manor that might oppose a lot of other peoples views, but Serra is a stereotypical loud-mouthed New Yorker whose bark is bigger than his bite. I have always respected Hughes...I can't say the same for Serra. I am taking Hughes.
MMAMoneyLine- May 19, 2009 at 11:24 am
That is a pretty insane line for Brock Larson. Interesting to see a guy who's only 2 career losses were against Carlos Condit and Jon Fitch as an underdog against a very mediocre Wilson.
Homoplata- May 19, 2009 at 10:28 am
if you're allergic to currency, put your money on rashad
NECROPHYTE- May 19, 2009 at 10:26 am
Kap better come out to "Tenderness" again!!!!!
T1- May 19, 2009 at 10:22 am
HOPING Serra wins, just to shut Hughes up.

Rashad Lyoto ... my gut tells me Rashad will just be too strong and wrestly for Lyoto ... sorry Karate fans :(

Sherk over Franky,

Brock >:E
Juice-Stain- May 19, 2009 at 9:58 am
Trailer park boys is such a funny show, anyways. I think Hughes is gonna rock serra into another world....I hate them both but gonna have to give Hughes the edge.
One Two- May 19, 2009 at 9:37 am
haha trailer park boys kicks ass, if serra can take out GSP he can take out hughes i like the odds and i hate hughes.
JiMMA- May 19, 2009 at 9:28 am
Ever watch 'Trailer Park Boys' on HDNET, your write up totally reminds me of that show..

With that said I'm throwing 20 bucks on my boy Serra, Machida ftw, and I don't see Sherk losing anytime soon.