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Gambling Addiction Enabler: UFC Fight Night 15

(Photo courtesy of Combat Lifestyle.)

The BF half of the Cage Potato duo is in Omaha for tonight’s Ultimate Fight Night event. If you’re headed to the Civic Auditorium later this afternoon for the event, keep an eye out for the handsome devil with the laptop. I’ll be sitting behind that guy, scribbling my thoughts on a wax tablet. What? I just think all this new technology is a fad. It’ll blow over.

But if you can’t get to the fights tonight but want to find a way to make yourself sweat over the results anyway, allow me to suggest gambling. has compiled all the lines for tonight’s event, and here’s what it’s looking like at the moment:

Nathan Diaz (-200) vs. Josh Neer (+200)
Clay Guida (-121) vs. Mac Danzig (+125)
Houston Alexander (-212) vs. Eric Schafer (+215)
Ed Herman (-220) vs. Alan Belcher (+215)
Joe Lauzon (-675) vs. Kyle Bradley (+500)
Drew McFedries (-200) vs. Mike Massenzio (+210)
Wilson Gouveia (-350) vs. Ryan Jensen (+326)
Alessio Sakara (-115) vs. Joe Vedepo (+128)
Jason Brilz (-209) vs. Brad Morris (+215)
Dan Miller (-110) vs. Rob Kimmons (+105)

Some thoughts…

The ‘I can’t believe it’s so close’ award: the line on Miller-Kimmons indicates that no one is sure what to expect from either of these two, which is the right way to approach young guys with so many variables surrounding them. The close odds on Guida-Danzig, however, indicate that we are most likely in for a hell of a fight there, which we already knew. It’s Sakara who probably deserves to be a heavier favorite over Vedepo, if only he didn’t have a such an inconsistent track record that includes a history of performing down to his opponents’ ability. He should take those odds as an insult to both his Roman heritage and his undeniably awesome Roman tattoos, and respond by pounding Vedepo in order to prove that point.

A lock you can believe in: this one goes to Joe Lauzon, with Wilson Gouveia coming in a close second. Gouveia has the better line, so he’s the more profitable pick, but both these guys should walk away with victories tonight. If they don’t it will be because you didn’t believe in them. There, I said it.

Underdog of the night: Mike Massenzio. He has nowhere near the big fight experience that McFedries does, but he is also a phenomenal athlete. Octagon jitters could play a role, and he certainly deserves to be the underdog, but he’s your best chance to turn a meager bet into a worthwhile pay-off.

Cagepotato Comments

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Chri534- September 16, 2008 at 10:41 pm
I've got 50 on Mac
Me- September 16, 2008 at 8:57 pm
Mac "Popeye" Danzig. All he needs is a boat n' anchor tatoo'd on him and a sponsorship from a local spinach farmer to rep on his shorts and hat.
Zee German- September 16, 2008 at 7:37 pm
"Vegan from hell". That should be Danzig's nickname from now on. Good one.
Oatmeal- September 16, 2008 at 7:22 pm
yeah go danzig! he looks super cut

representing for his fellow vegans ^.^
Bob uganda- September 16, 2008 at 6:58 pm
Captin caveman all the way.........................
DROP DEAD JACK- September 16, 2008 at 6:47 pm
...I'm not sold on danzig but that line is too good to pass.
Matt Herpes- September 16, 2008 at 6:42 pm
Nate Diaz all day, even at -200.

Phil Magroin- September 16, 2008 at 6:35 pm
He's the Vegan from Hell
babcock- September 16, 2008 at 6:30 pm
i love guida but lookin at the odds id put my money on danzig i figured him to be the favorite
Anonymous- September 16, 2008 at 6:12 pm
Danzig looks ripped.
FAS- September 16, 2008 at 6:09 pm
Come on...Mac Danzig at +125 is a freakin' gimme.