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Gambling Addiction Enabler: UFC Fight Night 17

(Will "Rumble" Johnson crumple another opponent into a carry-on sized hunk of meat?  Magic eight ball says, "All signs point to yes.")

Between greasing controversies and the Strikeforce purchase of Pro Elite, we certainly hope you haven’t forgotten about UFC Fight Night 17 on Spike this Saturday.  Ah, who are we kidding, you’re not going to forget.  It’s a night of free fights, and we’ll be liveblogging it!  What more could you want?  

Well, for starters, how about the opportunity to parlay that cash you won’t be spending on a pay-per-view (for a change) into big winnings with our helpful betting guide?  Yeah, that sounds nice, doesn’t it?  Odds come courtesy of, as usual.

Joe Lauzon (-175) vs. Jeremy Stephens (+166)
Cain Velasquez (-550) vs. Denis Stojnic (+501)
Mac Danzig (-120) vs. Josh Neer (+120)
Luigi Fioravanti (+276) vs. Anthony Johnson (-285)
Kurt Pellegrino (-200) vs. Rob Emerson (+191)
Dan Miller (-165) vs. Jake Rosholt (+186)
Matt Grice (-145) vs. Matt Veach (+141)
Gleison Tibau (-115) vs. Rich Clementi (+105)
Nick Catone (-220) vs. Derek Downey (+206)
Steve Bruno (+105) vs. Matt Riddle (-115)


- First things first, you want to know who the good underdogs are.  The way I see it, the two best choices are Rich Clementi and Matt Veach.  Now, Clementi’s not a huge dog, so just for fun I’ll also throw Jeremy Stephens in there.  He’s got a puncher’s chance at least, but Veach has a better shot at outwrestling Matt Grice in his Octagon debut.  Then again, betting on a guy fighting in the UFC for the first time is always dicey, so you’d do well to keep the action small.  

- Other good bets where the odds aren’t so ridiculous they eliminate any hint of a decent profit include Dan Miller, who should exploit Jake Rosholt’s lack of striking and submissions prowess, as well as Mac Danzig, who should be able to pick apart the troubled Josh Neer.  Anthony Johnson should also be able to put away Luigi Fioravanti, but those damn oddsmakers know it.

- Absolutely Don’t Bet Against: Cain Velasquez.  I know, I said the same thing about Chris Wilson at UFC 94 and he lost.  But this time, this time I’m really sure.  Velasquez is going to walk through this guy and it won’t take him more than one round.  If he loses, I’ll either discontinue this part of the Gambling Addiction Enabler series, or else use it as the kiss of death to purposely bring fighters down.  Don’t think I won’t do it, either.  I’m just petty enough.

Cagepotato Comments

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the glza- February 7, 2009 at 1:08 pm
i'm tellin you -- the bet for stojnic is one i'd make. the guy's got plenty of experience... it's gonna make a good fight.
Anonymous- February 6, 2009 at 5:26 pm
Denis Stojnic will win just like goran reljic beat wilson goveia
Daddy Doug- February 6, 2009 at 2:14 pm
it is kind of gay to call these guys, "hunks of meat."
Armbreaker- February 6, 2009 at 8:27 am
Grice vs. Veach reminds me of an old joke. What do you call a man with no arms and no legs on your porch? Matt.
mayhem420- February 6, 2009 at 5:39 am
Mac Danzig (-120) vs. Josh Neer (+120)
Luigi Fioravanti (+276) vs. Anthony Johnson (-285)
Kurt Pellegrino (-200) vs. Rob Emerson (+191)
Gleison Tibau (-115) vs. Rich Clementi (+105)

These are the fights that all could be very good.
It just sucks that only 2 of these are going to be on TV.
Nice to see NJ so well represented!!!
Pistol Pete- February 6, 2009 at 4:56 am
Miller and Rosholt will be close, but eventually Mller will fold. Come on, how you gonna bet against a 3X National Champ?
Ozone- February 6, 2009 at 4:55 am
give me the Jersey Parlay....Miller, Pellegrino, and Catone! war garden state!
LukeTheDuke- February 6, 2009 at 3:37 am
TUF Guy- February 6, 2009 at 12:55 am
What was so gross? The fact that I have tasted a lot of dicks or that I like them in my butt before I but them in my mouth? ATM bitches ass to mouth #1 That makes you a TUF Guy now go jerk it while you think of me and my loose butthole and big fat sucking lips

TUF Guy luvs man butter
nippletwist- February 5, 2009 at 10:12 pm
im so pumped to see anthony johnson again
boober- February 5, 2009 at 10:05 pm
lol i actually use a magic eight ball for an extra prediction with my buddies during the events, it hangs in there with the rest of us quite well
homegrowncone- February 5, 2009 at 9:44 pm
You are soooo right about Miller, easy money.
john- February 5, 2009 at 8:42 pm
Wow I puked in my mouth when i read what TUF guy just wrote
john- February 5, 2009 at 8:40 pm
I think Luigi is a lot better than people are giving him credit for in this fight (or at least those setting the odds). I think Johnson is explosive athletically but Clementi tapped him before he moved to LW, you gotta at least give Fioravanti an eye gauger's chance. Seriously though i just looked at Johnson's record on sherdog and the dude got in the UFC after only his 3rd pro fight, unless your name is cock chesnar thats really impressive.
OTM Fight Shop Guy- February 5, 2009 at 8:22 pm
anyone notice that Rumbles head is ridiculously huge... bobble head status. Maybe its just that I dont like his face. Hmm....
Emerson- February 5, 2009 at 8:04 pm
I'm fighting on this card? Aw, crap! Coach, where're my fightin' shorts?
machete for hands- February 5, 2009 at 7:58 pm

Anonymous- February 5, 2009 at 6:48 pm
If you agree that TUF Guy's whore mother should lock him in the garage with the car running say I
Curtis Sample- February 5, 2009 at 6:41 pm
That is because i dip my wiener in maple syrup
MMAGOD- February 5, 2009 at 5:56 pm
I love Roshalt. He will win, and a nice dog at that. Always take the better wrestler in 3 round fights.
TUF Guy- February 5, 2009 at 5:50 pm
@ Curtis Sample

*sucky sucky* mmmm, you taste better than most dicks I suck.
Curtis Sample- February 5, 2009 at 5:40 pm
Anonymous- February 5, 2009 at 5:30 pm
Matt Grice won't get outwrestled. He was a four time state champ in Oklahoma before wrestling at OU on scholarship.
Sodak- February 5, 2009 at 5:16 pm
i'm taking rosholt and stoljnic for the ridiculous plus 500 odds, neers a tough bastard but i just can't do it.
Anonymous- February 5, 2009 at 5:10 pm
Tommy Speer looks totally helpless in the background of that picture.
What a fucking asshole. I mean get up already you stupid fuck.