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Gambling Addiction Enabler: UFC Fight Night 17


(Will "Rumble" Johnson crumple another opponent into a carry-on sized hunk of meat?  Magic eight ball says, "All signs point to yes.")

Between greasing controversies and the Strikeforce purchase of Pro Elite, we certainly hope you haven’t forgotten about UFC Fight Night 17 on Spike this Saturday.  Ah, who are we kidding, you’re not going to forget.  It’s a night of free fights, and we’ll be liveblogging it!  What more could you want?  

Well, for starters, how about the opportunity to parlay that cash you won’t be spending on a pay-per-view (for a change) into big winnings with our helpful betting guide?  Yeah, that sounds nice, doesn’t it?  Odds come courtesy of BestFightOdds.com, as usual.

Joe Lauzon (-175) vs. Jeremy Stephens (+166)
Cain Velasquez (-550) vs. Denis Stojnic (+501)
Mac Danzig (-120) vs. Josh Neer (+120)
Luigi Fioravanti (+276) vs. Anthony Johnson (-285)
Kurt Pellegrino (-200) vs. Rob Emerson (+191)
Dan Miller (-165) vs. Jake Rosholt (+186)
Matt Grice (-145) vs. Matt Veach (+141)
Gleison Tibau (-115) vs. Rich Clementi (+105)
Nick Catone (-220) vs. Derek Downey (+206)
Steve Bruno (+105) vs. Matt Riddle (-115)

Thoughts…

- First things first, you want to know who the good underdogs are.  The way I see it, the two best choices are Rich Clementi and Matt Veach.  Now, Clementi’s not a huge dog, so just for fun I’ll also throw Jeremy Stephens in there.  He’s got a puncher’s chance at least, but Veach has a better shot at outwrestling Matt Grice in his Octagon debut.  Then again, betting on a guy fighting in the UFC for the first time is always dicey, so you’d do well to keep the action small.  

- Other good bets where the odds aren’t so ridiculous they eliminate any hint of a decent profit include Dan Miller, who should exploit Jake Rosholt’s lack of striking and submissions prowess, as well as Mac Danzig, who should be able to pick apart the troubled Josh Neer.  Anthony Johnson should also be able to put away Luigi Fioravanti, but those damn oddsmakers know it.

- Absolutely Don’t Bet Against: Cain Velasquez.  I know, I said the same thing about Chris Wilson at UFC 94 and he lost.  But this time, this time I’m really sure.  Velasquez is going to walk through this guy and it won’t take him more than one round.  If he loses, I’ll either discontinue this part of the Gambling Addiction Enabler series, or else use it as the kiss of death to purposely bring fighters down.  Don’t think I won’t do it, either.  I’m just petty enough.

Comments

  1. iggy Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 04:37


    I..Im terrible sorry for that SECOND!! oooo baby that feel so good *tststststs*
  2. Poo Flinger Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 04:40


    "This card has the potential to be more exciting than UFC 94. Of course, that isn't really saying much is it." @ Poo Flinger: You must be a BJ Penn fan =) and you probably didn't see the Machida fight, or the Bonner beat down.
  3. Poo Flinger Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 04:46


    This card has the potential to be more exciting than UFC 94. Of course, that isn't really saying much is it.
  4. TUF Guy Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 04:48


    TUF Guy (-90000) - CP'ers (+45,000,000,000) LOL where is my fanbase? It's actually just the same person changing his name but online it still counts.
  5. greg jackson is a sex offender Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 04:53


    i got rich clementi over Gleison Tibau
  6. skidding Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 05:01


    Pellegrino, I know I've never rooted for you before... but please don't let Emerson win. Pellegrino via kneebar.
  7. Anonymous Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 05:10


    Tommy Speer looks totally helpless in the background of that picture. What a fucking asshole. I mean get up already you stupid fuck.
  8. Sodak Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 05:16


    i'm taking rosholt and stoljnic for the ridiculous plus 500 odds, neers a tough bastard but i just can't do it.
  9. Anonymous Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 05:30


    Matt Grice won't get outwrestled. He was a four time state champ in Oklahoma before wrestling at OU on scholarship.
  10. Curtis Sample Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 05:40


    THIRTEENTH BITCHES!!! SUCK ON MAH BAWWWWLLLLZZZZZ TUF GUY!!!
  11. TUF Guy Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 05:50


    @ Curtis Sample *sucky sucky* mmmm, you taste better than most dicks I suck.
  12. MMAGOD Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 05:56


    I love Roshalt. He will win, and a nice dog at that. Always take the better wrestler in 3 round fights.
  13. Curtis Sample Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 06:41


    That is because i dip my wiener in maple syrup
  14. Anonymous Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 06:48


    If you agree that TUF Guy's whore mother should lock him in the garage with the car running say I
  15. machete for hands Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 07:58


    I
  16. Emerson Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 08:04


    I'm fighting on this card? Aw, crap! Coach, where're my fightin' shorts?
  17. OTM Fight Shop Guy Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 08:22


    anyone notice that Rumbles head is ridiculously huge... bobble head status. Maybe its just that I dont like his face. Hmm....
  18. john Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 08:40


    I think Luigi is a lot better than people are giving him credit for in this fight (or at least those setting the odds). I think Johnson is explosive athletically but Clementi tapped him before he moved to LW, you gotta at least give Fioravanti an eye gauger's chance. Seriously though i just looked at Johnson's record on sherdog and the dude got in the UFC after only his 3rd pro fight, unless your name is cock chesnar thats really impressive.
  19. john Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 08:42


    Wow I puked in my mouth when i read what TUF guy just wrote
  20. homegrowncone Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 09:44


    You are soooo right about Miller, easy money.
  21. boober Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 10:05


    lol i actually use a magic eight ball for an extra prediction with my buddies during the events, it hangs in there with the rest of us quite well
  22. nippletwist Says:

    Thu, 02/05/09 - 10:12


    im so pumped to see anthony johnson again
  23. TUF Guy Says:

    Fri, 02/06/09 - 12:55


    What was so gross? The fact that I have tasted a lot of dicks or that I like them in my butt before I but them in my mouth? ATM bitches ass to mouth #1 That makes you a TUF Guy now go jerk it while you think of me and my loose butthole and big fat sucking lips TUF Guy luvs man butter
  24. LukeTheDuke Says:

    Fri, 02/06/09 - 03:37


    27th!
  25. Ozone Says:

    Fri, 02/06/09 - 04:55


    give me the Jersey Parlay....Miller, Pellegrino, and Catone! war garden state!
  26. Pistol Pete Says:

    Fri, 02/06/09 - 04:56


    Miller and Rosholt will be close, but eventually Mller will fold. Come on, how you gonna bet against a 3X National Champ?
  27. mayhem420 Says:

    Fri, 02/06/09 - 05:39


    Mac Danzig (-120) vs. Josh Neer (+120) Luigi Fioravanti (+276) vs. Anthony Johnson (-285) Kurt Pellegrino (-200) vs. Rob Emerson (+191) Gleison Tibau (-115) vs. Rich Clementi (+105) These are the fights that all could be very good. It just sucks that only 2 of these are going to be on TV. Nice to see NJ so well represented!!!
  28. Armbreaker Says:

    Fri, 02/06/09 - 08:27


    Grice vs. Veach reminds me of an old joke. What do you call a man with no arms and no legs on your porch? Matt.
  29. Daddy Doug Says:

    Fri, 02/06/09 - 02:14


    it is kind of gay to call these guys, "hunks of meat."
  30. Anonymous Says:

    Fri, 02/06/09 - 05:26


    Denis Stojnic will win just like goran reljic beat wilson goveia
  31. the glza Says:

    Sat, 02/07/09 - 01:08


    i'm tellin you -- the bet for stojnic is one i'd make. the guy's got plenty of experience... it's gonna make a good fight.

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