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Gambling Addiction Enabler: ‘UFC on FOX 2′ Edition


(Rashad Evans: He’ll put those hands on you worse than…well, you know. / Photo via MMAFighting.com)

The UFC returns to FOX this Saturday with a three-fight main card that could produce the next title contenders in two different divisions. It’s also packed with betting opportunities that will generously reward the risk-takers. And you’re not a chicken, are you? Huh? Bawk bawk bawwwwwk?? Yeah, that’s what we thought. So consider our UFC on FOX 2: Evans vs. Davis gambling advice after the jump, and be sure to come back for our liveblog, which kicks off at 8 p.m. ET/5 p.m. PT. But first, the complete odds lineup, via BestFightOdds.com:

MAIN CARD (FOX)
Rashad Evans (-165) vs. Phil Davis (+175)
Chael Sonnen (-400) vs. Michael Bisping (+394)
Chris Weidman (-140) vs. Demian Maia (+128)

PRELIMINARY CARD (FUEL TV)
Evan Dunham (-314) vs. Nik Lentz (+300)
Shane Roller (-218) vs. Michael Johnson (+200)
Mike Russow (-150) vs. Jon Olav Einemo (+152)
Cub Swanson (-136) vs. George Roop (+125)
Charles Oliveira (-458) vs. Eric Wisely (+400)
Joey Beltran (-204) vs. Lavar Johnson (+183)

PRELIMINARY CARD (FACEBOOK.com/UFC)
Chris Camozzi (-170) vs. Dustin Jacoby (+160)

Let’s get started…

The Main Event: This is Rashad’s fight to lose. His striking is better than Davis’s, and he’s not going to allow Mr. Wonderful to outwrestle him for five rounds. I say Evans keeps the fight standing and takes a win on the scorecards. Now, if you consider the intangibles — Rashad’s streak of bad luck, his high emotions coming into this fight, the rocky start of the Blackzilians camp (see: Anthony Johnson, Melvin Guillard) — then an upset starts to seem possible. But on paper, Suga holds more advantages, and you can bet comfortably on him.

The Good ‘Dogs: For starters, the two other fights on the main card are worth looking at. Chael Sonnen certainly deserves to be the favorite against Michael Bisping, but 4-1 odds is pushing it. (You have to think that Bisping has spent the last week drilling triangle chokes off his back nonstop.) A small wager on Bisping for the upset is smart, simply because the payoff is so inflated. As for Demian Maia, slating him as the underdog is close to insulting. Weidman may be the newest hot-shit wrestler/grappler prospect in the middleweight division, but he’s also coming into the fight on very short notice, against a veteran whose biggest strengths are on the mat. Weidman could be in trouble here. I also like the occasionally-brilliant George Roop at +125 against the generally-inconsistent Cub Swanson.

Prelim Steal: How is Mike Russow, who’s 3-0 in the UFC and hasn’t lost a fight in almost five years, only a -150 favorite against Jon Olav Einemo, who’s 0-1 in the UFC and hasn’t won a fight in over five years? Just because Einemo briefly had Dave Herman on the ropes in his UFC debut, we’re supposed to think that this fight isn’t a squash match? Forget that — this is free money. Bet big on Russow.

Official CagePotato Parlay: Sonnen + Russow + Oliveira + Beltran

Suggested wager for a $50 stake
- $10 on Evans
- $5 on Bisping
- $5 on Maia
- $5 on Roop
- $20 on Russow
- $5 on the parlay

Cagepotato Comments

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beth1979- January 29, 2012 at 8:11 am
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Get Off Me- January 26, 2012 at 1:31 pm
Roller, Russow and Sonnen get's you double your money.
Roller, Russow, Sonnen, Rashad and Olviera is 4x's your money.
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The Weidman fight is tricky. I doubt we have a finish in the fight and if a BJJ fighter does not finish a wrestler, the wrestler takes the fight on the cards i.e. Munoz/Maia.
I will stay away from this fight, this is not a fight to bet.
TeilaTuliTooth- January 26, 2012 at 11:31 am
Money on Bisping CP?? What is this, April fools? That turd is gonna get smashed. Finally!!
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Mayhem, Uncle Chael's got your back!
TeilaTuliTooth- January 26, 2012 at 11:25 am
If I were still a betting man Chris Weidman would be seing the wrong end of my clicks. He's the favourite against Maia?!?! HA fucking HA !
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Weidman is coming in short notice against one of the best grapplers in the world. His most hallowed scalp is Filthy Tom Lawlor. And hes's favourite?!?
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TIme to dust off the old mouse and make some easy scratch.
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No! No! Must-resist-the-urge
XENOPHON- January 26, 2012 at 11:12 am
@Cheeseburger Eddie - nothing wrong with FN. Never seen one jam.
RwilsonR- January 26, 2012 at 10:52 am
@ Cheeseburger Eddie - Never much cared for the feel of the FAL, myself. And no point in me buying most civilian FN products here in CA. FiveSeven and P90 were made to maximize round count per mag, but we're neutered and limited to 10 round mags here, so no point. I've handled a SCAR, but never shot it, and it felt a little... unpolished and flimsy to me. Could be wrong, since I know a lot of guys who love 'em. Personal preferences, though. I also think HKs are overpriced, but good quality. Love myself Sigs in handguns, and my new ARs of choice are LWRC. Those are amazing!
J. Spaceman- January 26, 2012 at 10:34 am
Yeah, I'm with @Lesnar and @KCC. Official Spaceman parlay:
Oliveria/Einemo/Maia. $10 gets you $50. Lock it in, win, and tell them the Spaceman sent you.
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Unless of course you lose. In which case, blame it on @Danga.
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@Cheeseburger - $10 gets you $25 on the CP parlay (on Bovada anyway).
chrissyweiss- January 26, 2012 at 10:24 am
i did as u told me (€ instead of $$$)...almost

- €10 on Evans
- €100 on Bisping
- €5 on Maia
- €5 on Roop
- €20 on Russow
- €5 on the parlay
Cheeseburger Eddie- January 26, 2012 at 10:11 am
Whats the payout on the parlay? I don't know about H&K as I'm and FN man myself. Just like those foreigners who bought themselves some UFC!!!!!!!
RB- January 26, 2012 at 10:06 am
I think with Rashads chin & cardio, there is a good chance for an upset here, but the safe bet is Evans via UD or SD.

Uncle Chael will dominate as per usual; between watching for the TD & Chaels OK hands, Bisping will have a tough time even in the stand up.
XENOPHON- January 26, 2012 at 9:57 am
@ yeah, me too. Danga, a real H&K plays a masterful tune when switched from 3 round burst to fully automatic. Try one someday when next in Vegas for a stop over.
RwilsonR- January 26, 2012 at 9:50 am
"H&K" means something entirely different in my world. But I'm just one of those rednecks who are being banned from the UFC, I guess.
The12ozCurls- January 26, 2012 at 9:38 am
@Danga
Solid choices all the way around.
DangadaDang- January 26, 2012 at 9:12 am
@12 oz
Well I currently rock a Carwin Legacy half stack, but that thing's been through some rough, rough venues. I've never played a H&K before, but if I had the money, I'd probably go with a Mesa Boogie Dual Rectifier and pair it with a Caparison Horus or Ibanez 7 string.
The12ozCurls- January 26, 2012 at 8:59 am
@Danga
Ever thought about the Hughes & Kettner Coreblade?
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http://www.guitarworld.com/review-hughes-kettner-coreblade-amp
DangadaDang- January 26, 2012 at 8:00 am
Wow, those Russow/Einemo odds are ridic.
[*calls bookie and bets firstborn on Russow*]
It doesn't really matter if I'm right; I was planning on selling my first child for a new amp anyway. Krankenstein here I come!
Kid Clam Curtains- January 26, 2012 at 7:56 am
When it hits the ground, Einemo will manhandle Russow. I'm not so sure about that sure bet.
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I do agree Maia is a solid bet as a dog against Weidman. Pretty surprising odds on that one. Weidman has sick wrestling and has shown decent subs but against Maia he'll look like a white belt. I also think Maia's striking has come along enough where he's a danger on the feet.
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4-1 dog for Bisping? Ouch. Vegas clearly thinks he has almost zero chance. I actually agree. I think Bisping will be so worried about the TD that he's going to get outstruck too. Sonnen by dominating blanket-fuck decision.
jfjjfjff- January 26, 2012 at 7:52 am
for all you bisping lovers that think he is going to win via ko/tko/submission can look forward to a 6:1 payout, place your bet! http://sports.bodog.ca/sports-betting/mma-props.jsp#962395
SnackDaddy- January 26, 2012 at 7:36 am
Clearly i can't read. Ignore my last post.
bgoldstein- January 26, 2012 at 7:35 am
@SnackDaddy: Yeah, Bisping for the straight underdog bet, and Sonnen in the parlay. That's called hedging. DON'T YOU DARE COMPARE US TO FOX NEWS.
RwilsonR- January 26, 2012 at 7:26 am
"...he’s not going to allow Mr. Wonderful to outwrestle him for five rounds." - I'm not sure Rashad's going to have much of a say in the matter. And once the first few rounds have worn him down, I see Rashad tiring out before Davis, making the one-sided wrestlefuck even easier for Mr. Wonderful.
SnackDaddy- January 26, 2012 at 7:24 am
"A small wager on Bisping for the upset is smart, simply because the payoff is so inflated." First this, and then you go betting on Sonnen? Fuck you, CP. You put Fox News to shame with your bias journalism. I'd bet on Bisping any day with those odds.
Lesnarischamp- January 26, 2012 at 7:20 am
I like Einemo every day over Russow... A lot of likeable 'dogs on this card, with Einemo, Roop, Lentz, both Johnsons, even Maia and Davis.
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My main parlay is looking like Oliveria / Roop / Einemo / Evans. The odds don't justify squeezing Sonnen and Dunham in there.
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But I'll also look to strike it rich and string together a bunch of those 'dogs in a $1 bet and hope to hit it big.
Fletch the V Stretch- January 26, 2012 at 7:18 am
I am betting my money on Phil Davis.

The "Blackzillians" are a huge bust. Since forming the camp they have had one fighter move up in weight and come into the weigh ins 12 lbs over the limit, have one fighter who at one time was 1 possibly 2 fights away from a title shot look like a BJJ white belt again, and now it is Rashad's turn to overwhelmingly disappoint.

Stupidest decision ever on Melvin's behalf.
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