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Gambling Addiction Enabler: WEC 37

(Aww, just wait till you get older and can grow a real mustache!)

Depending on how you look at it, betting on WEC fights is usually either a sign that you know something about a small-time, up-and-comer that the bookies don’t, or else it’s an indicator that you have a real gambling problem.  As in a Pete Rose kind of problem.  And that ain’t cool.  Just ask Pete Rose, who will still tell you he doesn’t have a problem, but will also tell you that he is not in the baseball Hall of Fame.

But it doesn’t have to be that way.  If you know the fighters you can have plenty of fun putting down an educated wager on a WEC fight.  Plus, it’s on free TV, so you can take that money that in the future you’ll have to spend on WEC pay-per-views and gamble it away!  Nah, that was a joke.  If you think like that then you really do have a problem.  

Here are the odds on tonight’s action, courtesy of BestFightOdds.

Miguel Torres (-525) vs. Manny Tapia (+400)
Brian Bowles (-145) vs. Will Ribeiro (+140)
Akitoshi Tamura (+300) vs. Wagnney Fabiano (-360)
Joseph Benavidez (-290) vs. Danny Martinez (+250)
Johnny Hendricks (-430) vs. Justin Haskins (+350)
Mark Munoz (-600) vs. Ricardo Barros (+525)
Diego Nunes (-175) vs. Cole Province (+160)
Bart Palaszewski (-260) vs. Alex Karalexis (+220)
Hiroyuki Takaya (+180) vs. Cub Swanson (-185)
Shane Roller (-255) vs. Mike Budnik (+220)


- Stay Away From the Main Event: Tapia is no chump, but he also doesn’t have anywhere near the range of skills or quality and depth of experience that Torres does.  This is the champ’s fight to lose, and unless he stayed up all last night shooting craps and banging cocktail waitresses, I don’t see it happening.  

- Toss-Up: The Bowles-Ribeiro fight really ought to be even.  As it stands now, it’s basically a pick-em, with Ribeiro the slight underdog.  We haven’t seen enough of either guy to have too solid a fix on them.  Bowles has run through everyone he’s faced, but hasn’t really been tested yet.  Ribeiro has more fights, but is still fairly new to the WEC and the level of competition there.  This could go either way.  

- Overrated, But Just a Little: If you’re wondering why the 3-0 Johny Hendricks is such a heavy favorite over the 4-1 Justin Haskins, it’s because Hendricks is one of the college wrestling phenoms from Team Takedown.  Jake Rosholt, who fought at WEC 36, was another one.  Like Rosholt, expect Hendricks to be worlds ahead in his wrestling, while having other obvious holes in his game.  For Rosholt that was good enough to win last time out.  Maybe it will be for Hendricks too, but -430 might be a bit too much faith in an inexperienced guy.

- Sleeper: Takaya.  The numbers on him aren’t exactly stellar (9-5-1), but look at who he’s faced: Leonard Garcia, Gesias Cavalcante, Genki Sudo, Gilbert Melendez.  He lost to all those guys, but still.  If you’re going to get your ass kicked by a list of guys, that’s a very respectable list.  Cub Swanson’s a tough guy, but Genki Sudo he is not.

Cagepotato Comments

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KTFO- December 5, 2008 at 2:28 am
Hey, didn't I see that beaner eating tacos at Taco Bell in the hood?
Anonymous- December 3, 2008 at 3:34 pm
No mention of Tamura being disrespected by the odds makers?
Anonymous- December 3, 2008 at 10:24 am
hendricks is going to smash on haskins... well that is if he sticks to his bread and butter TD, GnP then SUB. That kid is trainin with Laimon so you know his submission game is getting up there
Eric- December 3, 2008 at 10:15 am
I'm pretty surprised that Takaya is an underdog here. He is one loss removed from being a top 10 ranked guy. Swanson is good, but I don't think he wins this.
Massacre- December 3, 2008 at 9:23 am
yea, i heard something along the same lines on this site about the faber vs brown fight. I put money on brown, and i believe that tapia can beat torres.
B- December 3, 2008 at 9:18 am
I don't know why but any mention of Genki Sudo gives me a stiffy.

Any word on that NYE show?