(Hold on, guys. I don’t know how to say this, but it seems like one of you is really embracing your character here and one you, cough*Miguel*cough, is still holding back. Let’s try it again, with some feeling this time.)
Fresh off a profitable UFC Fight Night 18, the Gambling Addiction Enabler is ready to throw all his winnings away on Sunday night’s WEC event and then fall into a deep depression that leads to him holding up a liquor store just to get gambling money for next week’s Strikeforce event. Yes, that might sound a little too detailed, but if you fail to plan, you’re planning to fail.
Odds, come today from BestFightOdds.com:
Miguel Torres (-600) vs. Takeya Mizugaki (+450)
Ben Henderson (+120) vs. Shane Roller (-150)
Jeff Curran (-130) vs. Joseph Benavidez (even)
Fredson Paixao (+275) vs. Wagnney Fabiano (-345)
Akitoshi Tamura (+130) vs. Manny Tapia (-160)
Jameel Massough (+275) vs. Rafael Assuncao (-345)
Dominick Cruz (-450) vs. Ivan Lopez (+370)
Eddie Wineland (+240) vs. Rani Yahya (-300)
Anthony Njokuani (+135) vs. Bart Palaszewski (-165)
Mike Budnik (+250) vs. Rafael Dias (-310)
- Looking at the line on the main event, it’s hard not to think back to when Urijah Faber was a tremendous favorite over Mike Brown and we brushed off the idea that Brownie might be a smart underdog play, based purely on Faber’s reign of terror in the WEC. Torres is on a similar tear, and is a similarly huge favorite for this fight, so might we learn from our past mistakes here and go with Mizugaki? No freaking way. Unless Torres gets sloppy or looks past Mizugaki (neither of which seems likely), he wins this easily. As a six-to-one favorite though, you won’t profit off it. We’re leaving this one alone.
– The Roller/Henderson fight is tough to call for the same reason most WEC fights are tough to call. You have two guys who are still relatively inexperienced, but who haven’t lost since the early part of their careers. Oddsmakers favor Henderson, but we say Roller is worth taking a look at as an underdog. Our bet: $20 on Roller.
– The consensus opinion is that Joseph Benavidez is going to be somebody some day. But does that mean he’s ready to trounce a vet like Jeff Curran? I’m not so sure. Curran is coming off two losses, but they were to Mike Brown and Urijah Faber. Before that he racked up six in a row against quality opponents. Our bet: $20 on Curran.
Absolutely Don’t Bet Against: Wagnney Fabiano. The WEC is giving him a fellow jiu-jitsu stylist, which bodes well for Fabiano. A good wrestler might grind out a decision over him, but he’s not going to be submitted by Paixao.
Official Cage Potato Parlay: Torres + Fabiano + Tapia + Yahya. Yeah, I’m going with all favorites again. Call me whatever derogatory names you want, just be ready to apologize on your next video blog.