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21 Humans Who Make Being Human Look Really, Really Hard

Gambling Addiction Enabler: WEC 40


(Hold on, guys. I don’t know how to say this, but it seems like one of you is really embracing your character here and one you, cough*Miguel*cough, is still holding back. Let’s try it again, with some feeling this time.)

Fresh off a profitable UFC Fight Night 18, the Gambling Addiction Enabler is ready to throw all his winnings away on Sunday night’s WEC event and then fall into a deep depression that leads to him holding up a liquor store just to get gambling money for next week’s Strikeforce event.  Yes, that might sound a little too detailed, but if you fail to plan, you’re planning to fail.

Odds, come today from BestFightOdds.com:


Miguel Torres (-600) vs. Takeya Mizugaki (+450)
Ben Henderson (+120) vs. Shane Roller (-150)
Jeff Curran (-130) vs. Joseph Benavidez (even)
Fredson Paixao (+275) vs. Wagnney Fabiano (-345)
Akitoshi Tamura (+130) vs. Manny Tapia (-160)
Jameel Massough (+275) vs. Rafael Assuncao (-345)
Dominick Cruz (-450) vs. Ivan Lopez (+370)
Eddie Wineland (+240) vs. Rani Yahya (-300)
Anthony Njokuani (+135) vs. Bart Palaszewski (-165)
Mike Budnik (+250) vs. Rafael Dias (-310)

Thoughts…


- Looking at the line on the main event, it’s hard not to think back to when Urijah Faber was a tremendous favorite over Mike Brown and we brushed off the idea that Brownie might be a smart underdog play, based purely on Faber’s reign of terror in the WEC.  Torres is on a similar tear, and is a similarly huge favorite for this fight, so might we learn from our past mistakes here and go with Mizugaki?  No freaking way. Unless Torres gets sloppy or looks past Mizugaki (neither of which seems likely), he wins this easily.  As a six-to-one favorite though, you won’t profit off it.  We’re leaving this one alone.

– The Roller/Henderson fight is tough to call for the same reason most WEC fights are tough to call.  You have two guys who are still relatively inexperienced, but who haven’t lost since the early part of their careers.  Oddsmakers favor Henderson, but we say Roller is worth taking a look at as an underdog.  Our bet: $20 on Roller.

– The consensus opinion is that Joseph Benavidez is going to be somebody some day.  But does that mean he’s ready to trounce a vet like Jeff Curran?  I’m not so sure.  Curran is coming off two losses, but they were to Mike Brown and Urijah Faber.  Before that he racked up six in a row against quality opponents.  Our bet: $20 on Curran.

Absolutely Don’t Bet Against: Wagnney Fabiano.  The WEC is giving him a fellow jiu-jitsu stylist, which bodes well for Fabiano.  A good wrestler might grind out a decision over him, but he’s not going to be submitted by Paixao.

Official Cage Potato Parlay: Torres + Fabiano + Tapia + Yahya.  Yeah, I’m going with all favorites again.  Call me whatever derogatory names you want, just be ready to apologize on your next video blog.

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the stolen gnome- April 4, 2009 at 12:53 am
The only fighters on this card I've ever heard are Fabiano and Torres.
Anonymous- April 3, 2009 at 4:01 pm
i have made some good money off of Eddie Alvarez in the past, and was thinking he may be -250 or -300 for the Belarfot fight he has coming up. Well, he is -1100!!
Eric- April 3, 2009 at 1:31 pm
The Tapia/Tamura odds seem pretty off. I figured Tamura would have been close to a favorite, or at least even. He's faced better fighters, plus he is coming down and will be a lot bigger than Tapia. I think this one could go either way.
slapjaw ackrite- April 3, 2009 at 1:09 pm
The guy behind miguel is about to backhand him. His hand will break and his eye will swell for no apparent reason.
LAS- April 3, 2009 at 12:52 pm
I agree with Johnny, arguments against Torres being P4P best seem to stem more from ignorance of the 135 division than an actual evaluation of the guy's skills.
johnnycobrakai- April 3, 2009 at 11:47 am
i know this is random and somewhat lame to bring up. but i watched the re-airing of the torres/tapia fight last night and was wondering if anybody else notices that miguel rarely if ever opens his mouth to take in oxygen, relying totally on what he's taking in through his nose. i heard him say that after the fight his main goal was to stay as calm as possible in the ring. ill add that this wasnt one of miguel's quick fights. it went midway into the 2nd and it had consistent action all the way through. to end the fight miguel throws a fury of punches and elbows and when the fight is stopped, miguel stands with mouth still closed and has the composure of somebody that just woke up from a nap. i admit that im pretty ignorant when it comes to training and fighting techniques, but does anybody else see this as unbelievable.

i cant say im much for the P4P debate, but if i was im starting to lean more and more towards miguel as the best P4P fighter there is. that being said, know that im about as far up fedor's ass as you can get, but i still think that miguel when it comes to every aspect imaginable in terms of mma, he is as near to flawless as they come.

:::and now, death to me via all anderson silva fans:::
billy- April 3, 2009 at 11:31 am
Rafael's first foray onto the big stage. I'm as excited about his debut as any fighter so far. I expect huge things from him.
Homoplata- April 3, 2009 at 11:27 am
Assuncao = GOOD
El Famous Burrito- April 3, 2009 at 11:16 am
If you think you can snatch a leather belt with a gigantic gold buckle away from a Mexican, you've got another thing coming, homes.


Sorry.
Guy Fieri- April 3, 2009 at 11:12 am
These fights are gonna be off the hook
now rub some jam on my belly
Oops!- April 3, 2009 at 11:05 am
Eddie Wineland looks good at +240 being a former champion. I would have a hard time betting aganst. Ivan Lopez at 8-0 also looks tempting.
manutdfan- April 3, 2009 at 10:59 am
Is that Guy Fieri behind Miguel?
Kadumel- April 3, 2009 at 10:53 am
You said Hendo is the favorite, am I reading the line wrong? Looks like Roller is the favorite right?
El Famous Burrito- April 3, 2009 at 10:53 am
That's the last mistake Chris Kattan ever made...
Scrambled Eggs- April 3, 2009 at 10:52 am
U must have the line wrong, you've got Roller listed as a favourite
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