(Fun fact: Jose Aldo got that scar when he was a baby, after his sisters rolled him onto a barbecue pit. Well, maybe that’s not so much a "fun" fact as a completely horrifying one. Depends on your definition of fun, I guess. / Photo courtesy of Sherdog.)
Now that some of you are sitting on hefty tax returns from defrauding the government while in prison, it’s time to see if we can turn those little nest eggs into big, throbbing piles of money. WEC 48 is this Saturday — only on Pay Per View! — and there are plenty of opportunities to beat the oddsmakers. But before we share our red-hot, sure-thing, can’t-miss tips*, let’s take a look at the betting lines, courtesy of BestFightOdds.com…
Jose Aldo (-295) vs. Urijah Faber (+289)
Ben Henderson (even) vs. Donald Cerrone (-110)
Mike Brown (-600) vs. Manny Gamburyan (+500)
Shane Roller (-140) vs. Anthony Njokuani (+115)
Scott Jorgensen (-250) vs. Antonio Banuelos (+230)
Leonard Garcia (-130) vs. Chan Sung Jung (+110)
Anthony Pettis (-550) vs. Alex Karalexis (+505)
Brad Pickett (-127) vs. Demetrious Johnson (even)
Chad Mendes (-465) vs. Anthony Morrison (+375)
Takeya Mizugaki (-150) vs. Rani Yahya (+130)
Brandon Visher (-300) vs. Tyler Toner (+240)
* We kindly request that you don’t consult previous editions of the Gambling Enabler to verify this claim.
Damn, a lot of surprises here…
— The Headliners: Sure, you could potentially triple your money betting on Urijah Faber, but you’re going to feel pretty stupid when Jose Aldo slashes through him in two rounds. Aldo is a strong favorite for a reason, so don’t be tempted by that +289, and don’t waste your time putting straight bets on the champ; the return-on-investment isn’t high enough. However, feel free to throw some cash on Benson Henderson, who should at least be a small favorite, considering he has the belt and all. Yeah, I know, he didn’t really beat Cerrone last time. But he did prove that he’s virtually untappable, and was very impressive in his last win over Jamie Varner. Cowboy seems to be snake-bit when it comes to title fights. I say Henderson retains his belt, and even money is good enough for me.
— The Dangerous Influence of Recent Events: It seems like oddsmakers are remembering Scott Jorgensen choking poor Chad George off his feet last month, but they’re forgetting that Antonio Banuelos is on a three-fight win streak that includes a split-decision over Jorgensen himself. WTF? Toss some chips on Banuelos and you might double your stack. On a related note, there’s absolutely no reason that Alex Karalexis should be a 5-1 underdog against Anthony Pettis. Sure, Pettis has looked good during his 2-1 stretch in the WEC (and is coming off a Knockout of the Night over Danny Castillo at WEC 47, which must be fresh in the oddsmakers’ minds), but it’s not like Karalexis is some random creampuff. If Karalexis can pull off an upset, a $10 bet would net you a $50.50 profit. Just saying.
— The Good ‘Dog: You should be drooling over that +115 line for Anthony Njokuani, who has won Knockout of the Night bonuses in his last three fights. Roller’s wrestling and submissions could give him trouble, but I think Njokuani will overwhelm him.
— Official CagePotato Parlay: Aldo + Brown + Njokuani + Garcia. You’re already paying $45 for this damn card, so make sure that money comes back to you.