We’re about 12 hours away from Fields Dynamite!! 2009 (3 a.m. ET, HDNet), which means it’s time to take whatever disposable income you have left after the holiday season and throw it all away on ill-informed sports betting. Check out the official fight lineup below courtesy of MMA Junkie, and the odds courtesy of Bodog, which seems to be the only major online bookmaker taking wagers on this mess. You ready to see some squash matches?
– Masato (-175) vs. Andy Souwer (+145) (K-1)
– Gegard Mousasi vs. Gary Goodridge — odds not listed on Bodog, likely due to the lateness of the booking, though the line is reportedly -1100/+600.
– Shinya Aoki (-500) vs. Mizuto Hirota (+300)
– Alistair Overeem (-1100) vs. Kazuyuki Fujita (+600)
– Satoshi Ishii (-325) vs. Hidehiko Yoshida (+250)
– Norofumi "Kid" Yamamoto (-550) vs. Masanori Kanehara (+350)
– Tatsuya Kawajiri (-525) vs. Kazunori Yokota (+325)
– Hideo Tokoro (-215) vs. Jong Man Kim (+175)
– Kazuo Misaki (-180) vs. Melvin Manhoef (+150)
– Hayato "Mach" Sakurai (-205) vs. Akihiro Gono (+165)
– Hiroyuki Takaya (-135) vs. Michihiro Omigawa (+105)
– Katsuyori Shibata (-135) vs. Hiroshi Izumi (+105)
– Hiroya/Noiri winner vs. Ishida/Shimada winner (K-1 KOSHIEN final)
– Ray Sefo (-600) vs. Yosuke Nishijima (+400) (K-1)
– Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou (-325) vs. Ikuhisa Minowa (+250)
– Katsuki Ishida vs. Shota Shimada (K-1 KOSHIEN semifinal)
– Hiroya vs. Masaaki Noiri (K-1 KOSHIEN semifinal)
– Tsukasa Fuji vs. Ryuya Kusakabe (K-1 KOSHIEN semifinal reserve)
— They’re daring you to put money on the Overeem/Fujita fight. Don’t do it. Don’t convice yourself that a Fujita upset is possible, and don’t even put Overeem in your parlay. The upside is just too small.
— Let’s talk underdogs. Masanori Kanehara is a whopping +350, which would make sense if he was facing a prime Kid Yamamoto. He’s not. Yamamoto hasn’t won a fight in two years, and looked not-quite-himself in his return fight against Joe Warren at Dream.9, which followed 15 months of injury-related inactivity. Meanwhile, Kanehara went 4-1 this year, scoring wins over tough challengers like Michihiro Omigawa and Chan Sung Jung. If Yamamoto still isn’t back to 100%, Kanehara has a chance to grind out an upset.
— At +250, Ikuhisa Minowa might also be worth a look if you’ve got some balls. The oddsmakers are assuming that Sokoudjou will steamroll him with strikes, which is probably the most likely outcome. But Minowa got to the Super Hulk finals by leg-locking bigger guys with weak submission defense, and the African Assassin falls into that category. Plus, nobody can defend Minowaman’s drunken style.
— Kazuo Misaki looks like a safe favorite bet considering Melvin Manhoef has stopped training his ground game altogether, and you can lay money down on Mach Sakurai, Hideo Tokoro, and Katsuyori Shibata with relative confidence as well. Of course, you’ll save the heavy favorites for your parlay. Speaking of which…
— Official CagePotato Parlay: Aoki + Kawajiri + Sakurai + Shibata. We’ll leave Ishii out of it because it’s his first MMA fight and anything can happen. If you think experience will trump youth, feel free to toss a Hail Mary bet down on Yoshida. What do we care, it’s your money, not ours.