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Gambling Enabler: WEC 45 Edition


(You know Donald, at some point the hat ceases to be an accessory and starts being a prop.)

MMA fans face a very minor conundrum this weekend. On Saturday night both the WEC and Strikeforce will venture back into the cage and onto TV screens, and even in the age of the DVR that allows us to never miss a fight or a re-run of “Designing Women” ever again, we still have to decide which is worth watching live and which gets mostly fast-forwarded on Sunday morning.

But again, this is only a minor conundrum. One look at the respective fight cards tells us that Strikeforce has more must-see quality fights, although the WEC still has a couple of scraps worth watching and maybe even losing some money on, assuming your gambling habit has been upgraded from ‘problematic’ to ‘compulsive’ by now, and we have every reason to believe that it has. Why don’t we look at some odds then, courtesy of BestFightOdds.com:

Donald Cerrone (-370) vs. Ed Ratcliff (+375)
Anthony Njokuani (-177) vs. Chris Horodecki (+160)
Joseph Benavidez (-180) vs. Rani Yahya (+180)
Takeya Mizugaki (-150) vs. Scott Jorgensen (+140)
Bart Palaszewski (+160) vs. Anthony Pettis (-195)
Muhsin Corbbrey (-245) vs. Zack Micklewright (+210)
John Hosman (-245) vs. Chad George (+200)
Brandon Visher (-600) vs. Courtney Buck (+500)
Brad Pickett (-190) vs. Kyle Dietz (+165)
Jameel Massouh (-165) vs. Erik Koch (+145)

The breakdown…


- The fact that the main event is a fight oddsmakers are expecting to be a blowout should tell us something about why there’s no serious competition between the WEC and Strikeforce on Saturday night. Cerrone vs. Ratcliff would be a good second fight on a WEC card, but as a main event it’s lacking. Win or lose, Cerrone’s going down in weight after this, so the fight feels like little more than a PR boost. I’m taking Cerrone here, but with these odds it’s not worth a bet.

- As exciting as it is to see Horodecki finally test himself against higher caliber fighters in the WEC, Njokuani is a tough first fight for him. He knocked out Bart Palaszewski, who Horodecki fought a couple of memorable, but very close battles against, and his only career losses thus far have been to Cerrone and Ben Henderson. I’m taking Njokuani via decision, and I’m also predicting this will be the best fight of the night by far.

- If this were a submission grappling tournament, Yahya would probably murder Benavidez. But it’s not, and he won’t. Yahya has great submissions but lacks the other tools that might allow him to make full use of that aspect of his game against quality opponents. Benavidez is a better wrestler, which means he’ll have the better chance of dictating the pace of this bout and deciding where it goes. I’m taking Little Joe all the way.

- Official Cage Potato Parlay: Cerrone + Benavidez + Mizugaki + Corbbrey. As the kids say, ‘Whoop, there it is.’

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raspberrymight- December 18, 2009 at 4:24 pm
WEC 45....no thankyou, unless i get to see another cowboy hat donned fighter crying scars and bruises like donald cerrone
rudius- December 18, 2009 at 3:04 pm
I'm calling it right now people who bet on Horodecki are going to make a good chunk of change.
rpn452- December 18, 2009 at 2:24 pm
vyapaar,
If you put $370 down on Cerrone and $100 down on Ratcliff, you've invested $470. If Cerrone wins, you get $470. If Ratcliff wins, you get $475. Correct me if I'm wrong, but that's a no-lose situation. Must be a typo.
ArmFarmer- December 18, 2009 at 12:21 pm
Those are just brief descriptions of some problems I had because I don't want to write a book about it on here, but in a nutshell I was just extremely disastisfied with the service. The whole ordeal was just a massive headache and I will never use that site again.

I also did some googling (something I admit I'm a dumbass for not doing before depositing a grand) and found A LOT of complaints and accusations of fraudulent behavior. Things like confinscating winnings for BS reasons, baiting people to sign up with tempting spreads or lines and then the spreads changing once they had already signed up and deposited money. They just come off as very shady and I don't feel safe with them having my money.
Harry Sack- December 18, 2009 at 11:44 am
Gambling sucks ... (pawns shotgun and wedding ring)
vyapaar- December 18, 2009 at 11:21 am
Pretty much all gambling sites will ask you for driver's lic and credit card before any payout. I was with Betus before I switched to Sportsbook.com -- and I agree with everything you say...them asking password seemed so stupid plus, for my payout, they charge $40 to send you a check or $30 to wire to your bank. With sportsbook, you have 1 payout a month free of charge and that is all you need if you are always gambling.
ArmFarmer- December 18, 2009 at 11:17 am
Attention all gamblers..

Do not use Betus dot com. They are a pain in the ass to deal with and come off as very shady. Here are a few issues I have with them.

a. If you accept bonus money from them ALL of your funds will be unavailable to you until you reach a rediculous roll over requirement. In my case I deposited 1,000 dollars and because I clicked ok on the pop up that said I got 300 bonus money I had to play through 6,500 worth of bets before I could withdraw anything. They count the lesser of the two numbers (bet/payout) towards the 6500 so you can't just make big bets with a low payout, you basically have to make 50/50 bets to get anywhere.

b. To get a pay out they require you to send copies of your drivers liscense front and back, and two credit cards front and back. Not the kind of info I want to fax to a stranger in another country.

c. When you call them they ask you for your account ID and password every time. That comes off as very unprofessional to me.

There is a website that grades all gambling sites from F- to A+. F sites are basically scams that just take your money and never pay you out, the A sites are the ones with quick payouts and high customer satisfaction. If anyones interested I will find the link.
vyapaar- December 18, 2009 at 10:40 am
@homoplata --- Dude, if those odds were real, there is still no way you can make free money using your logic. Come on man -- look at the odds on benevidez and yahya --- +180 and -180. Still can't make money betting on both fighters....odds makers and not stupid and you will not be the first one to figure out the system if they were.

Homoplata- December 18, 2009 at 10:32 am
yeah i'm realizing that right now.

That doesn't change the fact if those odds were real, there's free money to be made
Get Off Me- December 18, 2009 at 10:22 am
I'm bettin' on Yahya and Horodecki.... very nice lines!

@Soda Pop
Horodecki got caught up in a mess in his fight with schultz, he's winning for certain in his Debut.
vyapaar- December 18, 2009 at 10:21 am
@Homoplata -- I hope you were just joking about your mathematic skills in calculating cerrone/ratcliff odds. --- If not, sorry that our American education system could not teach you shit about simple math.
Soda Popinski- December 18, 2009 at 10:05 am
@ macready: yeah, all props to schultz for working one of the craziest wrist controls ive seen. but horodecki is still a bad to the bone fighter. that move he got caught in by schultz rarely if ever would be repeated.
Homoplata- December 18, 2009 at 10:00 am
no, Horodecki @ +160 is NOT a typo. Njokuani is fucking vscious

I agree that Benavidez & Mizugaki are good plays. Cerrone is getting a match he should win.




OH, BUT HERE'S A TYPO

Donald Cerrone (-370) vs. Ed Ratcliff (+375)

COOL, SO I BET $370 on Cerrone, and $26.67 on Ratcliff ?!?!?! AND I CAN'T LOSE, RIGHT?
macreadysshack- December 18, 2009 at 9:46 am
@Soda: Maybe people can't quite get the Ryan Schultz thing out of their heads. That was child abuse.
Soda Popinski- December 18, 2009 at 9:38 am
Is that Chris Horodecki @ +160 a typo?

What's it gonna take for people to realize that despite looking like a 12 year old this guy can fight?

Saturday night will show em. BOOM!
omunto- December 18, 2009 at 9:32 am
War Yahya... hopefully his arm is healed fully since the ADCC break...
skeletor- December 18, 2009 at 9:05 am
Descent card, I love the lack of Canadians also.
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