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Landslide Alert: 80 Percent of Pros Pick Marquardt Over Okami


("I feel like famous comedian, how you say, Lodney Dangelfierd." Propers: UFC.com)

Man, this does not portend good things for Yushin Okami at UFC 122 tonight. Where most odds makers and journalists see Okami’s alleged No. 1 contender battle with Nate Marquardt shaping up as a fairly close fight, the professional fighters surveyed as part of Sherdog’s super-scientific recurring “Pros Pick” piece appear to think Nate the Great has this in the bag. Of the 48 fighters contacted 40 see Marquardt getting the win, with just four pulling the lever for Okami and four undecided. That’s 83.3 percent for Marquardt, which for the record makes this survey only slightly less lopsided than the one conducted for Randy Couture vs. James Toney at UFC 118, when just three of 54 polled fighters tabbed Toney (92.5 percent for Couture).

The numbers become even more lopsided once you consider that one of the guys picking Okami is Team Quest training partner Matt Lindland, and even he is hedging his bet – in classic Lindland style — by pre-supposing a conspiracy against Okami on the part of the ringside officials.


“This is going to be a long, painful evening for Mr. Marquardt,” says Lindland who, let’s face it, is all but contractually obligated to side with the Thunderous one. “I pick Okami to win this fight by decision; it might even be another split decision, like the last fight he dominated, if the judges try and swindle another decision. Yushin is bigger, stronger and faster. Yes, Nathan is great, he hits hard and knocks guys out, but it’s hard to knock guys out when you are laying on your back with a big, strong Takeshi dropping elbows on your head.”

Aside from Lindland, the only dudes who like Okami’s chances are fellow middleweight contender Michael Bisping and two guys I’ve only vaguely heard of before — Keith Barry and Adam Singer.

“Based on the way Chael Sonnen controlled Marquardt in their bout, I think Okami has a chance to use a similar strategy and take the win,” says Bisping. “I think Okami will take him down, hold him there, beat him up a little and basically do more damage. I think Nate is much better off making this a striking match, mixing in his kicks and punches and avoiding the ground altogether if he can. Okami may have been a little unlucky not to have gotten a title shot yet, but now his destiny is in his own hands, and I think we’ll see the best of him at UFC 122.”

The rest – with Anderson Silva, Bobby Southworth, Mike Ciesnolevicz and Chris Leben all choosing to abstain – like the looks of Marquardt. While Leben says he’s really looking forward to this fight (if the screws at the Honolulu Correctional Facility will turn the channel away from “Swift Justice” with Nancy Grace) Mike C actually says he’d rather be trapped in a room with the cast of “Jersey Shore” than watch this fight. Strong words, Mike C., strong words.

So, do these professional fighters know something we don’t? Obviously, yeah, they know tons of shit we don’t. Then again, we know shit they don’t know too, like how to at least occasionally correctly use a semicolon and how to tell if a novel is a picaresque … so, uh, we’re going to go ahead and call it even.

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RwilsonR- November 13, 2010 at 10:26 pm
drano is correct. I mean, as much as I love this sport, these are people that get pounded in the head for a living, and many of them spend 6-8 hours a day training and still don't know how to defend against a rear-naked choke. God love 'em, but many of even these pros are just plain stupid. The other 20% are probably the ones that manage to make some decent money.
dranokills- November 13, 2010 at 9:17 pm
And THIS is why 80% of pros are fucking idiots.
And the other 20% are making money.
dcmsm- November 13, 2010 at 4:00 pm
okami would mangle vitor
newdeal- November 13, 2010 at 3:12 pm
I think Okami wins which means the pros don't know anything and its just a guess like anybody else
Tai-Pan- November 13, 2010 at 3:09 pm
^^^Yes they will.

I don't think Okami beats Anderson, but Vitor? I give him a good chance against him. I expected Okami to win by Sonnening Marquardt but he actually managed to outstrike him in the third. All around a card worth watching but definitly not paying for.
Shane Darwin- November 13, 2010 at 2:41 pm
I wonder if CP will insult our intelligence again by "live-blogging" this @ 9 PM ET.
Shane Darwin- November 13, 2010 at 2:40 pm
I think the "80% of pros" stat reflects more on how many pros like Nate as a friend. Despite his roids, greasing, fighting style, etc.
DazedNConfused- November 13, 2010 at 2:38 pm
I'm sorely depressed Sakara had to drop out too, that would've helped this card massively. Without that fight this card was quite brutal. The prelims were good though!
Shane Darwin- November 13, 2010 at 2:37 pm
I'm glad Okami came out on top. Tired of Nate.
jimbonics- November 13, 2010 at 2:28 pm
I think Okami will do fine against Belfort ;)
DazedNConfused- November 13, 2010 at 2:27 pm
OKAMI!!!! yes. I knew it. Nate blows. Go home and do some more steriods and grease yourself some more!?!?!?! okay that was some hardcore trollage, but seriously fuck the guy.
DazedNConfused- November 13, 2010 at 2:25 pm
Nate didn't look so great there. I think Okami won that decision with the stiff jab and takedowns in the first round. I think Nate won the 2nd though. Close decision, but the fight in general showed me neither of these guys have what it takes to beat Silva. They'll both get destroyed by him.
jimbonics- November 13, 2010 at 2:21 pm
Okami.
Charming Charlie- November 13, 2010 at 12:58 pm
Maybe this reflects racism among professional fighters, who, like a judge, would interpret a fight differently if Okami did the exact same things with white skin and a red beard.
CZ- November 13, 2010 at 12:15 pm
You know a card is bad when youre bumming that a Sakara fight isnt happening.
MMAINMYBLOOD- November 13, 2010 at 12:03 pm
MArdquart takes it by ud. sucks that rivera sakara is called off now. I was hoping that one would be a barn burner.
Tardjitsu- November 13, 2010 at 11:12 am
No lespect.
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