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The 7 Worst Predictions in CagePotato History

As the saying goes, “Men make MMA predictions and God laughs.” With that in mind, let’s revisit some of the most classic blunders in CP history, in chronological order. Good thing we’re completely unaccountable for the things we say here!

From: “Gambling Addiction Enabler: UFC 84 Edition” (The very first installment of the G.A.E.)
BG said: “Look, we know the Axe Murderer was a killer in PRIDE — but he needs to win a couple in the Octagon to convince me that he’s just as fearsome over here. Take away the use of soccer kicks and knees to the head on the ground, biased refs and judges, matchmaking that had him go up against opponents that were tailor-made for his style, (*cough*steroids*cough*), and the confidence that comes from never losing, and we’re not even talking about the same guy anymore. Silva won’t be doing any axe-murdering at UFC 84 — he’s going to be fighting not to lose, and will come out a much more cautious, tentative version of himself. Meanwhile, Jardine is surely working on another great game-plan with Greg Jackson, knowing that if he pulls off another big win his title shot will be waiting.”
What happened: Wanderlei Silva via KO (rape choke), 0:36 of round 1. LOL @ Jardine’s “title shot.”

From: “UFC 85: Bedlam — Ipecac Rematch Picks” (this article seems to have disappeared from the Internet; you can check out a screen-shot from my Google Reader here, and a little bit of backstory here.)
BG said:Matt Hughes may be on the decline, and Thiago Alves is definitely on the come-up, but they haven’t passed each other yet, so to speak. Though Alves caught Karo Parisyan at UFC Fight Night 13, he’s failed in previous big tests against Spencer Fisher and Jon Fitch. Hughes may have trouble with Alves’s striking and youthful energy, and a submission victory is unlikely, but I can see the future Hall of Famer dominating the young challenger with his wrestling and grinding out a decision.”
What happened: Matt Hughes got utterly ruined by the Pitbull’s striking and youthful energy; Alves via TKO, 1:02 of round 2. I lost bragging rights to Fightlinker, as well as the entire contents of my stomach.

From: “Ben vs. Ben: UFC 90 Edition”
BG said:Fabricio Werdum has just as much chance to pick up Knockout of the Night, simply because he’s a world-class fighter and his opponent, Junior Dos Santos, is about as random as they come. Dos Santos should be leading off a UFC Fight Night undercard against another Octagon newbie, not throwing down with a top ten heavyweight. It’ll be an ass-whuppin’, to be sure.”
What happened: Oh, it was an ass-whuppin’, alright. Junior Dos Santos via uppercut destruction, 1:20 of round 1

From: “Ben vs. Ben: UFC 92 Edition”
BF said: “I’ve been racking my brain trying to think of some way Mir might win, just to be contrary, and I’ve got nothing. He definitely won’t sub Big Nog. He doesn’t have the cardio or the faith in himself to outpoint him over the course of five rounds. And if Mir becomes the first person to knock Nogueira out there’s simply nothing left for me to believe in. Nog submits Mir via rear naked choke at 3:55 of round two. That’s that.”
What happened: Frank Mir did become the first person to knock Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira out, at 1:54 of round 2. Ben Fowlkes is now a devout scientologist.

From: “Gambling Addiction Enabler: UFC 95″
BF said: “Absolutely Don’t Bet Against: Josh Koscheck. Seriously, you think Kos is going down to a guy from the Brazilian leagues stepping into the Octagon for the first time? No way. You ought be ashamed of yourself for even thinking it.”
What happened: Paulo Thiago via KO, 3:29 of round 1. As a reminder, CagePotato’s gambling advice is for entertainment purposes only.

From: “Ben vs. Ben: UFC 112 Edition” 
BG said: “So you’re saying you’d rather be the guy who has no chance to win — I repeat, NO CHANCE TO WIN — than the guy who could at least theoretically surprise his opponent with a submission? Seems a little self-defeating to me. Basically, I would hate to be Frankie Edgar right now. It has to be disheartening to prepare for a fight where you know you won’t hold a single concrete advantage. At least Maia has an actual path to victory, as unlikely as it may be.”
What happened: Frank Edgar by unanimous decision. The rematch is next month, because even the UFC hasn’t accepted the result yet.

From: “Grab a Coffee, Lock Your Office Door and Waste an Hour of Your Friday Listening to ‘The Bum Rush: Episode Two’” (starts at the 39:25 mark)
Doug “ReX13″ Richardson said: “Ladies, take off your skirts. Far too cautious about this. Werdum has nooo chance, okay? We talk about his ‘puncher’s chance’? You never talk about a ‘grappler’s chance.’ Okay? And even if there was such a thing as a grappler’s chance, Fedor has been in there with grapplers…he keeps winning. Yes, Werdum has the Abu Dhabi cred, he had a good run in the UFC, he probably shouldn’t have been cut after being knocked out by Dos Santos. I cannot see any way that he wins this. I definitely can’t see him catching Fedor in a submission. I can’t see this going his way at all.”
What happened: Turns out there is such a thing as a “grappler’s chance.” Fabricio Werdum via triangle/armbar, 1:09 of round 1. Can we put our skirts back on now, Doug?

Honorable Mentions:

- “The Unsupportable Opinion: Thales Leites Has a Good Chance at UFC 97″ (Not an official prediction, but still, pretty damn hilarious in retrospect.)

- “Gambling Addiction Enabler: UFC 116 Edition” (In which I recommend that you all put $20 on Shane Carwin, and $5 on Chris Tuchscherer.)


Cagepotato Comments

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vengful1- July 15, 2010 at 3:42 pm
The thought has never crossed my mind that Jardine was ever going to win a fight ever.
DangadaDang- July 15, 2010 at 12:30 pm

Better. But still lacks the subtlety of even a poor Michael Bay film. Try something simple like:
I'll rape-a u face!
El Guapo- July 15, 2010 at 12:11 pm
"Dude, brrros, dudes. It's a fight, mhen! Anything can happen, brro!!"

That being said, I'd like to nominate myself for predicting Hendo was gonna knock Shields' head clean off his body and then dance on his corpse. STILL don't understand how Jake survived that first round.
Ballkick- July 15, 2010 at 11:45 am
@ BossNasty

You can't see Silva knocking Sonnen out?

Oh trust me I can "see" Anderson knocking Sonnen out (every night when I dream),....But think he'll TKO him the same as he did to Franklin with Knees.
Either way,,,,Sonnen Loses.
Stak40- July 15, 2010 at 11:32 am

Your comment, actually (awesomely) may be the dumbest comment and prediction posted on CP or any other MMA website!

BossNasty- July 15, 2010 at 11:28 am

You can't see Silva knocking Sonnen out?
munche- July 15, 2010 at 11:21 am
Going on record with this prediction:

UFC 117, American grappler beats Brazilian guy by smother.

This actually (awesomely) applies to every one of the main card fights
Ballkick- July 15, 2010 at 11:20 am
The only reason I went with the 3rd round is Anderson's penchant for stringing fights along longer than he should,....He will try to drag this out as long as possible to feed his ego,....then end it to keep Dana happy.
Stak40- July 15, 2010 at 11:03 am

I agree with you all the way but i think its a good possibilty it ends sooner than the 3rd rd. Looking at Sonnens record I am not sure he has ever fought a striker as accurate and devestating as Silva. Sonnen isnt the fastest or most elusive of fighters so coming in looking for a take down is kind of like suicide for him. All of this is true only if Silva REALLY fights. If not, then yeah 3rd rd sounds about right!
jimbonics- July 15, 2010 at 10:53 am
Ipecac is the new ReX.
cecils_pupils- July 15, 2010 at 10:53 am
Damn u Ben, I took your advice and bet $20 on Carwin... and lost it to El Guapo. ARRRRRGGGGHHHHHHHHH!
Ballkick- July 15, 2010 at 10:50 am
Chael Sonnen will be as effective against Anderson Silva as much as a one legged man in an ass kicking contest.
Silva will tactfully pick apart Sonnen and make him eat every trash talking word.
He won't even get a chance for a take-down, so his lay and pray will not be a factor.
Silva will win this early in the third round, after Chael gets frustrated and makes a rookie mistake trying desperately to make something happen. Maybe even a KO for Silva,....but I doubt it.
Mofo- July 15, 2010 at 10:44 am
Yeh really I like Hendo but can everyone stop saying he's the best wrestler? Jesus. Jake ate his balls.
rlh61- July 15, 2010 at 10:43 am
@Rex...glad you're back, playa. 'Holy Fuck' puts it all in perspective!
BossNasty- July 15, 2010 at 10:25 am

Sorry for negating the significance of my mma opinions with such childish rhetoric. So maybe this will change your mind about my mental capacity and apptitude for the English language.

Suck my Dick till your lips turn white and your hair falls out.
Japanadian- July 15, 2010 at 10:08 am
LoL at rite leg, can't spell Sakuraba? it's spelled phonetically just like all japanese translated to english writing. Maybe hooked on phonics will help you out.
If Henderson is such a good wrestler, how come he got out wrestled by Shields who is much smaller.
Komodo- July 15, 2010 at 10:03 am
That Ipecac (EPICac) vid was both sad and hilarious.
Mofo- July 15, 2010 at 9:53 am
If I remember right, I counted 17 unanswered punches in that Siva/Sardine fight.

And then Silva tried standup with Chuck and neither Chuck nor Silva could ever take a punch again. They killed eachother in that battle. Like a pair of stubborn morons too proud to take the fight to the ground.
nooger- July 15, 2010 at 9:49 am
LOL rex :P
noahknows- July 15, 2010 at 9:41 am
yeah cause fedor is so great right.....wait who has he fought in the last five years that wasn't washed up and couldnt make it in the ufc anymore?????
DangadaDang- July 15, 2010 at 9:23 am
As much as I hate the way he put it, BossNasty has a point. Chael's only chance at victory is going to be the only way he knows how to win...letting the judges decide. Dude hasn't finished anyone of caliber besides Tim Kennedy and Tim Creduer and talks shit about different fighting styles and guys like Anderson who actually finish fights (when they want to). Make no mistake, Anderson has pissed me off with his last few performances as much as the rest of the world, but Chael has made a career of boring performances. Though I partly agree with you BNasty, you cock and ball jokes are a pathetic display of your grasp of the English language.
BossNasty- July 15, 2010 at 9:15 am
@rite leg

cool, and actually 13 and 3/4.


Can you please enlighten us on who worth a rat's ass Sonnen as beat? Who the hell has he finished. If you think he will just go in a lay on Silva for 5 rounds then you ARE a loon. Vitor would by far be the best opponent he will fight and can you explain why it sounds like you have vitor and sonnen in the same class? I just reviewed Sonnens career record and it makes me wonder why you Silva haters arent mad that he's fighting such a scrub. I mean seriously What the Fuck.
rite leg ospitahl- July 15, 2010 at 9:05 am
by the way boss how old are you 13 and a half? ur dick sucking joke are as one dimensional as chaels wrestling. just try to remeber no matter how many different ways u say it.... its still the same joke.
rite leg ospitahl- July 15, 2010 at 9:00 am

yes people do call me third leg thank you! now if u dont mind can we please make fun of mmanic becuz he is talking some serious stupidity right now.....


love it or hate it bro anderson is the champ and hasnt been in trouble in a long time. u knwo why there is a lack of competition in middleweight???? becuz everybody knows whats the point. look at rich franklin he said hell on it and moved up only to find ouT anderson is ranked higher at l.h. now im not gonna touch vitor becuz i got a soft spot when it comes to that and secretly i will always hope that he comes back and pounds andersons face through the fence like he did wandy. but i dont think it will happen.
CAP10- July 15, 2010 at 8:58 am
Holy crap, Nealio, best comment ever. You deserve a tshirt or a DVD or whatever crap they've got laying around.