Ed Herman

("That was me, Gabriel Gonzaga, before I joined Nutrisystem and Alcoholics Anonymous." Photo courtesy of this set on Combat Lifestyle.)

Spoilers after the jump...

(Photo courtesy of Newsday.)

— TUF 3 finalist Ed Herman, who broke a two-fight skid in April with a unanimous decision win over David Loiseau, has been tapped to replace James "Job" Irvin against Wilson Gouveia at UFC 102, according to Sherdog. Irvin was forced to withdraw from the fight this week due to yet another serious knee injury. Herman was previously scheduled to face Aaron Simpson at UFC Fight Night 19 (September 16th, Oklahoma City).

— UFC 104 (October 24th, Los Angeles) will reportedly host a lightweight battle between Joe Stevenson and Spencer Fisher. "Joe Daddy" broke a two-fight losing streak of his own when he scored a decision win over Nate Diaz at the TUF 9 finale in June. Fisher is riding a three fight win-streak and most recently outpointed Caol Uno at UFC 99. The match will likely be on the main card, supporting the light-heavyweight title fight between Lyoto Machida and Mauricio "Shogun" Rua.

(Sonnen gives Paulo Filho an intervention, Team Quest-style. Photo courtesy of BaltimoreSun.com.)

Although initial reports claimed that Ed Herman would be stepping in for the injured Yushin Okami against Dan Miller at UFC 98 (May 23rd, Las Vegas), there's been another change in plans. It seems that Herman has declined the fight — likely because he just competed at UFC 97 and the five-week turnaround would be too short — and Okami's actual replacement will be Herman's Team Quest teammate Chael Sonnen.

Sonnen was most recently submitted by Demian Maia in his UFC return fight in February, which dropped his overall Octagon record to 1-3. The WEC/Bodog vet was slated to face Wilson Gouveia at UFC 102 (August 29th; Portland, Oregon) and still hopes to take that fight if his scrap with Dan Miller goes well. Though considering Miller's skill with submissions (and Sonnen's tendency to get submitted), Sonnen may be out of a job by this summer.

In other news...

('I came to chew bubblegum and represent the 209. I am all out of bubblegum.')

No one can see the future, but as long as we're going to speculate as to how things will turn out in Omaha on Wednesday (and let's face it, we are), we might as well go all the way with predictions so specific they can't possible come true....or can they?

Nate Diaz vs. Josh Neer

Despite his impressive performances since coming off "The Ultimate Fighter," the UFC doesn't seem interested in moving Diaz up in competition. Instead they move him laterally, pitting him against the journeyman Neer, who Nate's big bro already beat. It'll be no easy task for Diaz to top his double-birdie performance against Kurt Pellegrino, but he's a showman. Diaz will get bullied around the Octagon by Neer early on, but at some point he'll remember he's the better submissions fighter. The thought will dawn on him all at once and he'll jump on Neer's back, lock in a standing rear-naked choke, and extend his middle fingers on either side of Neer's head as he submits.

When will it happen: 3:17, round two.

What to watch for: the look on Joe Rogan's face when he has to interview Diaz after the bout and ask him to talk us through the Bud Light replay. What isn't bleeped out will be completely unintelligible.

Mac Danzig vs. Clay Guida

This is the kind of fight worth getting excited about. The stoic, cerebral Danzig takes on Enkidu, the wild man of the woods (officially known as Clay Guida). It's the classic highly-technical vegan vs. tough-but-crazy caveman battle. Danzig will start overly cautious and be initially overwhelmed as Guida wades into him with reckless abandon. But as the fight wears on Danzig will start to figure things out, striking and circling and wearing Guida out with knees to the body. Then Guida will freak out, charging right into a triangle choke, and his face will be blocked by his hair as it changes colors before he finally consents to tap.

When will it happen: 2:03, round three.

What to watch for: Guida's brother, who failed to make weight for his first "Ultimate Fighter" bout and was reportedly kicked off the show for it, will appear on camera at some point looking sad and not eating.

(...and the home...of the...brave.)

A few years ago I went to a Sportfight event in Portland, Oregon where Ed Herman beat Glover Texeira via decision to claim the Sportfight middleweight title. Afterwards he came down the aisles shaking hands and he looked more exhausted than any human being I have ever seen, which is also how he looked from about mid-way through the second round on. He still won, though, and it was a great fight.

Afterwards, Chris Leben told me that Herman's philosophy on cardio at the time was something along the lines of 'I get tired when I do a lot of cardio and don't party, and I get tired when I don't do a lot of cardio and do party. I'm just going to have to get used to getting tired.'

I only bring it up now because Herman is one of those fighters who is really awesome when viewed through the correct lens. That lens? A tough bastard who sometimes does things that aren't so smart, for reasons that aren't so smart, but he knows it and has a 'what can you do?' type of attitude about it. I realize that sounds a little weird, but I think these quotes from a recent article on UFC.com sum it up nicely.

On fighting Alan Belcher:

“I think I’m better in the clinch.” Herman says. “I think my Greco style and dirty boxing is going to beat his little fancy pants Muay Thai stuff. ...I think he’s a purple belt in Jiu-Jitsu, but all that changes with a couple of elbows.”

On what went wrong against Demian Maia:

“Basically, my game plan in that Maia fight was to try to keep it standing and box him or beat him up in the clinch. I knew he was going to try to take it to the ground, it was no secret. My game plan was to break off when he pulled guard and haul him back up. We practiced that for months. But for some reason when I got into the fight, I kind of went on auto-pilot and I didn’t use my brain and I sat down there in his guard.