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UFC 111 FightPicker Head-to-Head: BG vs. BF vs. Big Country

(This is either the line-up for a great game of MMA Fightpicker, or the worst folk music trio in history.)

It’s one thing for us to beat up on one another with our weekly MMA FightPicker game, but do we have what it takes to out-prognosticate an actual UFC fighter? To help us find out, “Ultimate Fighter” winner Roy “Big Country” Nelson, who will be taking on Stefan Struve at UFC Fight Night 21 next Wednesday, has graciously agreed to throw his hat into the virtual Octagon this week and go head-to-head with us on UFC 111 picks. For that we are indebted to him, and so we remind you to check out his official site as well as his Tapout signature t-shirt, and we also thank Superaction, Spike TV, and MMA Glory Talent.

Remember, this week’s FightPicker has changed some with the removal of Thiago Alves and the reshuffling of Ben Saunders, so don’t forget to adjust your picks accordingly before tonight’s 11:59 PM PST deadline. Now…it’s decision time.

St. Pierre vs. Hardy at UFC 111: Who will win?
BG: Georges St. Pierre. You’d have to be a grown retard to think otherwise.
BF: Seeing as how I am not a grown retard, I can’t disagree. Hardy has a tough night ahead of him.
RN: St. Pierre – He has shown himself to be more well-rounded, but Hardy does have the puncher’s chance.

Will St. Pierre vs. Hardy make it to round 3?
BG: Tough call, because GSP hasn’t quickly finished an opponent in a long time. But I think Hardy is woefully outmatched here, so I’ll say "no."
BF: Well, he put Serra away in two, so I don’t see why he couldn’t do the same to Hardy. I’m going with “no” also.
RN: Yes – I believe Hardy is a warrior like Fitch so I can definitely see it going three rounds.

Will GSP score a takedown in the first 45 seconds?
BG: Sure. He’s too smart to trade strikes with Hardy, and he’ll score on the first takedown he attempts.
BF: Agreed. The only way he doesn’t if he spends the first minute plotting Hardy’s destruction the way Anderson Silva loves to do.
RN: I think if GSP puts his hands together he can definitely get the takedown in 45 sec. Or get knocked out.

Mir vs. Carwin: Who will win?
BG: Shane Carwin, via exploding lunchboxes.
BF: I keep going back and forth on this one, but I’m also going to take Carwin. The guy just has more weapons.
RN: This one is a coin toss. I think will see what kind of fighter Carwin is in this fight. I am just curious if it will last 1 round.

Will Mir vs. Carwin last more than one round?
BG: Yes. If Mir can survive a round against Lesnar, I’ll give him the benefit of the doubt and say he can avoid a quick stoppage against Carwin as well.
BF: Agreed. Mir isn’t Christian Wellisch or even Gabriel Gonzaga. We’re getting at least seven good minutes of action in this fight.
RN: I hope so. I hate to see a one-sided fight. I like to see fights for the belt to be competitive.

Fitch vs. Saunders: Who will win?
BG: Jon Fitch. By decision, obviously.
BF: I’m also going with Fitch, but suddenly he stands a much better chance of finishing a fight now that he’s fighting Saunders.
RN: (No answer due to the late change.)

Pellegrino vs. Camoes: Who takes it?
BG: Kurt Pellegrino. No freakin’ way Batman loses in his home state. If Camoes takes this, I’ll eat my hat, followed by a double-order of cheese-balls.
BF: I agree that Pellegrino wins, but I make no promises as to what kind of balls I will eat if I happen to be wrong.
RN: (See above)

Miller vs. Bocek: Who will win?

BG: Jim Miller. Is it strange to anybody else that this fight is getting main-card status over Almeida/Brown and Diaz/Markham?
BF: Miller. It’s getting main-card status so the UFC can start hyping lightweight contenders to replace the ones that B.J. Penn is destroying. Also, it’s almost guaranteed not to go to a decision.
RN: This fight could be a barn burner but I think Miller wins with his stand-up.

UFC 111 main card: More stoppages or decisions?
BG: Stoppages, 3-2.
BF: I’ll say stoppages, 4-1. So take that.
RN: I think the main card will have more stoppages, but the undercard more decisions.

Diaz vs. Markham: Who will win?
BG: Nate Diaz. We haven’t seen Markham since last February, when he got starched by Dan Hardy, and he’s been rehabbing a knee injury since the beginning of the year. It doesn’t bode well.
BF: Agreed, the long layoff will cancel out Markham’s edge in the power department.
RN: Diaz, just because he will be there for all three rounds. Markham will have to knock him out.

Almeida vs. Brown: who will win?
BG: Gotta pick with my heart here. Matt Brown is an entertaining, gutsy fighter, and I hope he pulls this one out.
BF: Almeida really hasn’t impressed lately. He’ll put Brown in some tough spots, but I think Brown pulls out a late TKO victory.
RN: Almeida, because he is a fellow Renzo Black Belt, plus I think he has more tools. Brown has a puncher’s chance as always.

Palhares vs. Drwal: Who will win?
BG: Good matchup, but it’s a pick-’em to me. So I won’t pick either of ‘em.
BF: I’m also staying out of this. Why did we even choose this one?
RN: NA – I have no idea.

The shortest fight of the night will be on the…main card or preliminary card?
BG: In the absence of any guaranteed one-rounders on the main card, I’ll go with the prelims, mainly because it’ll feature six fights. See, mom? I told you I’d put my Doctorate in statistics to use someday!
BF: Prelims. There are too many savvy vets on the main card.
RN: I think shortest fight will be on the main card.

So there you have it.  Get your picks in today and join one of our two prize pools for a shot at an Apple iPad.  Then come back on Monday to see whether there actually is something we can beat Roy Nelson at, or if he smokes us at this as easily if he were pummeling Kimbo Slice.

Cagepotato Comments

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hmshore- March 27, 2010 at 8:13 pm
can't believe you think grown "retards" don't get when you are mocking them. lose the word, unless you want people to think you're stuck somewhere in 5th grade.
Hassium- March 27, 2010 at 5:59 am
Must say that when I read the description of Nelson's tapout shirt I was reminded of his fighting style - "comabat".
ghostboner- March 27, 2010 at 2:47 am
Also I am surprised that everyone is giving Carwin-Mir more than one round. I just can't imagine either one trying to take it to the ground within the first, and those two are gonna be fixing on murder. I got that for shortest fight of the night.
ghostboner- March 27, 2010 at 2:44 am
@Rex13 - I wasn't sure if we could count that one, but it is still pretty damn funny so yeah I think that is another solid one for you. I wager you get at least two more bites with this bit, but you need to use a bit more name fighter next time.
steampunk22- March 26, 2010 at 7:21 pm
^^ lol
RwilsonR- March 26, 2010 at 2:23 pm
Shortest match of the night - Roy Nelson vs. Double-order of cheese balls!
robthom- March 26, 2010 at 2:05 pm
Mir doesn't last the round.

Bad whiskers, and he's gonna be getting hit.
Charming Charlie- March 26, 2010 at 1:57 pm
I hope you have big plans for getting celebrity predictions on this website, otherwise I think the amount of advertizing space you gave to Nelson's sponsors for his uninteresting email response is too much.
AFOMMADOTCOM- March 26, 2010 at 1:38 pm
John "Doomsday" Howard picked Dan Hardy by knockout on MMA Monthly radio last night!!! even shocked the host... you can listen at oh and wouldnt BG vs. BF vs. BC have been a much smoother headline?
Harry Nips- March 26, 2010 at 12:39 pm
Good job pickin the Palhares/Drwal match guys. I didn't know you could just pass on a fight if you were unsure. That is an extremely GAY rule, just nut-up and pick a winner!
cecils_pupils- March 26, 2010 at 12:01 pm
@Rex13... that's 3 for 3 buddy. lol
cecils_pupils- March 26, 2010 at 12:00 pm
Jewbee Says:
Fri, 03/26/2010 - 10:52

I'm really hoping the 'Paul Harris' style catches on. Otherwise I'll be stuck with a closet full of Walmart flannel shirts with the sleeves cut-off.

Keep all your cut-off flannel shirts, Jewbee, it's only a matter of time before the "Paulo Filho" style catches on... just be prepared to get a cool new face tattoo so you can fit in properly.
El Famous Burrito- March 26, 2010 at 11:34 am
Compromise -- I'll send him the t-shirt with Whopper stains on it.

Only if we win, though.
steampunk22- March 26, 2010 at 11:29 am
Hmm, there's some tough questions on this fightpicker.

While I disagree with Sexy Fowlkes pick, I agree with his logic. Its really just a matter of whether or not GSP takes a minute to size up Hardy and fend off an early storm rather then rush in and maybe get caught, or just says screw it and shoots for the takedown the first time Hardy throws a punch.

That is one of the questions that is going to make or break a lot of people's pools I think.
knucklesamitch- March 26, 2010 at 11:20 am
Burrito - Nelson would much rather you send him a whopper...he likes 'em with extra cheese and no pickle.
Promise of Stress- March 26, 2010 at 11:14 am
That is the ugliest damn t-shirt I have seen.
Jewbee- March 26, 2010 at 10:52 am
I'm really hoping the 'Paul Harris' style catches on. Otherwise I'll be stuck with a closet full of Walmart flannel shirts with the sleeves cut-off.
Kid Clam Curtains- March 26, 2010 at 10:49 am
Drwal is a rampaging beast. But Palhares is a werewolf or something judging by his hairline. Good fight imo.
ReX13- March 26, 2010 at 10:43 am
Ok, dead effin' serious:

Anybody know if this Drwal guy is any good?

Kid Clam Curtains- March 26, 2010 at 10:42 am
Surprising that almost all the pros in the pro picks at sherdog picked Mir. I wouldn't be surprised if Mir won but I got Carwin. And GSP takes Hardy down in the first 30 seconds. His game plan against strikers is to take them down and 'make de blood pump into ees arms so ee can't strike.' GNP followed by a sub in R2.
jimbonics- March 26, 2010 at 10:27 am
Dear Time Warner:

Put G4tv back on basic programming you fucks!
markette518- March 26, 2010 at 10:27 am
GSP, it wont make it to round 3, take down in first 45, frank mir wins, it will last past 1st round, fitch wins, pellegrino wins, miller wins, stoppages on the main card no doubt, diaz wins, brown wins, and Drawl wins. shortest fight on the prelim card
Jewbee- March 26, 2010 at 10:25 am
GSP via 'furious Frenchman', RD 2
richorama- March 26, 2010 at 10:22 am
Eddie Bravo picked Hardy over GSP on AOTS! the other day. That motherfucker must've been high off his ass.
Jewbee- March 26, 2010 at 10:16 am
Why does Ben F always look like someone just changed the station when his favorite Lady Ga Ga video came on VH1?