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UFC 135 Gambling Alert: Jon Jones Is a 5-1 Favorite Over Quinton ‘Rampage’ Jackson


(Deal with it. Photo via @jonnybones)

Want to make some cash this Saturday betting on UFC 135? One word of advice — you won’t get rich betting on Jon Jones. According to the latest gambling lines, Jones is a 5-1 favorite or greater against Quinton Jackson on all the major betting websites. BetUS and Sportsbook.ag have him at 6-1, and Bodog is crazy enough to set the line at an alarming 7-1.

When the odds were first released four months ago, Jones was around a 3-1 favorite, but the vast majority of wagers have poured in on the young light-heavyweight champion since then, inflating the line astronomically. It’s a classic economic bubble — unsteady, unprofitable, and worth staying away from. The good news is, if you think Rampage has a chance to get his belt back, now’s your time to jump; a $100 bet would return a profit of $350-$450, depending on where you lay your money.

To be honest, every single fight on UFC 135′s main card is a blowout, in terms of gambling lines. The closest match is Nate Diaz vs. Takanori Gomi, and even there, Diaz is more than a 2-1 favorite — which might make Gomi the smartest ‘dog wager on the card. Check out the lines after the jump and let us know what you think.

Main Card
Jon Jones (-500) vs. Quinton Jackson (+450)
Nate Diaz (-234) vs. Takanori Gomi (+220)
Travis Browne (-340) vs. Rob Broughton (+310)
Josh Koscheck (-450) vs. Matt Hughes (+400)
Ben Rothwell (-300) vs. Mark Hunt (+286)

Preliminary Card
James Te Huna (-150) vs. Ricardo Romero (+142)
Tony Ferguson (-300) vs. Aaron Riley (+283)
Tim Boetsch (-150) vs. Nick Ring (+147)
Eddie Yagin (-105) vs. Junior Assuncao (even)
Takeya Mizugaki (-190) vs. Cole Escovedo (+185)

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ArmFarmer- September 22, 2011 at 6:01 am
lol You'd have a better chance at making a profit by dropping a 20 dollar bill in a blender and hitting start than you do betting on Hughes to beat Kos. Are you guys serious? Kos is younger, a more decorated wrestler, more explosive, better striking, better hand speed, better speed in general... how in the fuck do you guys see hughes winning this? On paper, kos has every single advantage.
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dranokills- September 21, 2011 at 5:17 pm
why is that fag Jones popping a fucking tent for? the guy taking the gay picture OR the men who are looking at it?
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ccman- September 21, 2011 at 2:50 pm
Sorry, but everytime i look at jones in shape all i wonder is how long can he make weight? he is waaaay to long and tall to hold 205 and his height/length, is 70% of how he wins. you swallow 2 to score 1 which is now awkward. I honestly think him losing, and eating something would produce a JJ i could like. adds honest humility, a guy who should be fighting at 255-260, with athleticism and creativity. He has become another spider, who honestly should be at 205.
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SnackDaddy- September 21, 2011 at 12:51 pm
Look how long those fucking arms are. You'd have to be in-fucking-sane to bet on Rampage. Gomi and Hughes seem like good bets though, seeing how both of them stand more-than-an-outside chance of winning.
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RwilsonR- September 21, 2011 at 12:09 pm
@ Get Off Me - I just don't see a way for Hughes to win this fight. Kos is the superior wrestler, and has only been outwrestled by GSP, mainly in their first fight where Kos was trying to be Chuck Liddell and was surprised by GSP's wrestling. I don't think Hughes can close the distance fast enough to get him down. I see a bad night for Hughes, with no real way to win. But I'd happily eat my words.
I'm with you on Te Huna, but Boetsch worries me a bit.
If I were to throw a dog into a complete card parlay, it would be Ring, Gomi, or Hunt, with Ring providing the least value, but greatest likelihood of taking a decision win.
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superflat- September 21, 2011 at 10:51 am
Tim Boetsch is where the money's at.
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Rugger- September 21, 2011 at 10:18 am
check them chicken legs on Bones
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Machiavelli- September 21, 2011 at 9:27 am
Jones has more agility but Rampage has the power. If I knew a booky I'd put $20 on Rampage & collect an extra $90 on Sunday. Even if Rampage were to lose, it would still be less than my check at BWW on Saturday night.
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Spitting into the wind- September 21, 2011 at 9:21 am
I just stuck a little bit on a multiplier of Assuncao,Romero, Rothwell, Browne, Diaz,Kos and Jones. Just to keep it interesting.
No idea who assuncao or Yagin are but the bums over at Yahoo sports all picked him!!! Surely they cant be wrong?
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k-onda- September 21, 2011 at 9:13 am
I scrolled down so slowly - I seriously thought I was in for another Tito "lost cellphone" moment.
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Get Off Me- September 21, 2011 at 8:55 am
@Fried Taco
I'll start clearing out the guest house tonight for ya.

Seriously though, I can't fathom Hughes winning any other way in this fight than decision via out wrestling Koscheck. Koscheck has a record with wins over guys who no longer fight in the UFC, his win against Johnson was as dirty as it was impressive. Nobody thought Tito had a chance against Bader either.
A small play on Hughes is worth it, something like:
Te huna-Boetsch-Mizugaki-Diaz-Riley and Hughes pays big for a small investment.
Bet big on the small favorites and you will make money here.
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mDino- September 21, 2011 at 8:29 am
i can't even fathom Hughes winning this fight, id bet on rampage landing a bomb before hughes winning a UD. mark hunt and gomi have a decent chance.
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Fried Taco- September 21, 2011 at 8:25 am
I'm betting my house on this parlay: Jackson-Broughton-Hughes
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Get Off Me- September 21, 2011 at 8:23 am
This card has only 10 fights, I'm thinking two dogs will win.
Aaron Riley and Hughes may get my money in a ten fight parlay.
The value is with Te Huna and Boetsch, the undercard has some great value and that's where the money is to be made.
Nate Diaz will be able to keep Gomi away and stay outside of the danger zone while pitty patting his way to a UD.
@RWilsonR
Kos should win via overhand right, but something tells me to make a small play on Hughes to win it here. I have the feeling Hughes may get this to the ground and control Kos on the way to a decision win.
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RaginAsian- September 21, 2011 at 8:21 am
I like Mark Hunt as a dog, but only because Rothwell seems dense enough to try to stand with him.
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RwilsonR- September 21, 2011 at 8:15 am
The odds on the main card are one of the most lopsided UFC cards I've seen in awhile. Surest money of the night is on Kos.
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RwilsonR- September 21, 2011 at 8:13 am
For a kid whose never had his chin tested fighting against an opponent with fast and powerful hands, that's a pretty steep line. Jones will likely win, but I'm not ruling out the possibility that Rampage finds his mark and Jones' chin is less than we thought it to be. This may be worth throwing a little money away on Rampage.
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