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UFC 153 Betting Odds: Anderson Silva Opens at a Totally Reasonable -1350 Over Stephan Bonnar


Since the Anderson Silva vs. Stephan Bonnar replacement main event at UFC 153 was announced, I’ve been waiting patiently to see what kind of absurd betting line would be tied to this fight, and the oddsmakers didn’t disappoint. As MMAWeekly informs us, Silva has just opened as a -1350 (!) favorite, compared to Stephan Bonnar’s +850 underdog line. Gambling n00b translation: A $1,350 bet on Anderson would net you just a $100 profit if he wins, while a $100 bet on Bonnar would pay off $850 in profit if he does the unthinkable. And if you’re trying to decide which guy to put money on, I can confidently say that either bet would be stupid as fuck.

That -1350 line represents the most lopsided odds for an Anderson Silva fight ever, and even surpasses the -1300 opening line that was given to Jon Jones against Vitor Belfort. In general, once the gambling line passes -1000 for the favorite, it’s a pretty clear sign that the fight is a dangerous squash match that shouldn’t have been booked in the first place. (Example: Cris Cyborg‘s -2000 opening line over Jan Finney, a fight that turned out to be exactly as competitive as we thought it would.)

But let’s be fair: In a sport as volatile as MMA, an astronomically high betting line for the favorite is no guarantee of victory. Notably, Georges St. Pierre got TKO’d by Matt Serra in their first meeting at UFC 69, after coming in as a -1300 favorite, and Antonio Rogerio Nogueira was as high as -2500 before getting knocked out by the then-unknown Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou at PRIDE 33.

Again, I’m not trying to convince you to bet on Bonnar here. I’m just saying, maybe on fight night you should go to a sports bar that’s showing the event, look for some poor mark who doesn’t seem to know what’s going on, and casually suggest that you think the black guy is gonna win. If you play your cards right, you might be able to get a free beer out of it.

Cagepotato Comments

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NerdRage- September 15, 2012 at 11:20 am
Bonner vs Silva = Freight Train vs SmartCar.

zhanbao- September 14, 2012 at 3:44 pm
ringjoker80- September 14, 2012 at 1:41 pm
They UFC layed an egg on this one. UFC 153 should have been Mendez vs Edgar main event, co main Belcher vs Weidman, Hunt vs Big Nog now these are fights id like to see. Stop this all about the money non sense and give us fans fights to watch.
Mr_Misanthropy- September 13, 2012 at 8:15 pm
"What's the matter with you? Is this what you've become, a Hollywood finocchio who cries like a woman? "Oh, what do I do? What do I do?" What is that nonsense? Ridiculous!"
Knacker- September 13, 2012 at 2:32 pm
Ermm Cyborg vs Finney, Is that the one where Cris teabags her and then wipes its dick on the curtains when its done?
CrackMasterVanSnap- September 13, 2012 at 2:10 pm
I think Bonner might be doing his impression of Marlon Brando in The Godfather.
"Erm gerna merk herm ern erffer her kernt rerfers!"
O Chan- September 13, 2012 at 1:16 pm
Looks a lot like the American Psycho's "O Face"
Ricardo Guitardo- September 13, 2012 at 12:19 pm
I hope Bonner beats up the gay guy.
ArmFarmer- September 13, 2012 at 12:16 pm
"We're in trouble guys.. the fans are starting to notice our watered down shitty cards and lack of legit title fights.. what can we do.. I know! Let's put our dominant lightheavywweight champ against an undeserving middleweight, and our dominant middleweight champ against a random sub par lightheavyweight.. that's what the fans want, right? right??"
Null Kuhl- September 13, 2012 at 12:14 pm
ArmFarmer- September 13, 2012 at 12:12 pm
Wouldn't it be a beautiful thing if Bonner and Belfort managed to destroy these two. Two of the sports biggest egos getting smashed, while simultaneously raining on the parade of the ufc execs that set up these pointless matches and shitty cards. If that happens I will un-renounce my faith in god.
bgoldstein- September 13, 2012 at 12:02 pm
@ J.Jones: When you're hot, you're hot.
EarthIsGay- September 13, 2012 at 11:42 am
It also kind of looks like Bonnar is lusting after an invisible BK triple stacker.
El Guapo- September 13, 2012 at 11:41 am
Sometimes these things happen in UFC..
J.Jones- September 13, 2012 at 11:35 am
God Damn BG you are straight owning the captions today. A golf clap is in order.
The12ozCurls- September 13, 2012 at 11:44 am
Agreed. Kudos BG.
I am making sure to NOT have a drink of water before I read the captions since the Leben "camera-man masturbation" one that almost killed me.