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UFC 153 Betting Odds: Anderson Silva Opens at a Totally Reasonable -1350 Over Stephan Bonnar


Since the Anderson Silva vs. Stephan Bonnar replacement main event at UFC 153 was announced, I’ve been waiting patiently to see what kind of absurd betting line would be tied to this fight, and the oddsmakers didn’t disappoint. As MMAWeekly informs us, Silva has just opened as a -1350 (!) favorite, compared to Stephan Bonnar’s +850 underdog line. Gambling n00b translation: A $1,350 bet on Anderson would net you just a $100 profit if he wins, while a $100 bet on Bonnar would pay off $850 in profit if he does the unthinkable. And if you’re trying to decide which guy to put money on, I can confidently say that either bet would be stupid as fuck.

That -1350 line represents the most lopsided odds for an Anderson Silva fight ever, and even surpasses the -1300 opening line that was given to Jon Jones against Vitor Belfort. In general, once the gambling line passes -1000 for the favorite, it’s a pretty clear sign that the fight is a dangerous squash match that shouldn’t have been booked in the first place. (Example: Cris Cyborg‘s -2000 opening line over Jan Finney, a fight that turned out to be exactly as competitive as we thought it would.)

But let’s be fair: In a sport as volatile as MMA, an astronomically high betting line for the favorite is no guarantee of victory. Notably, Georges St. Pierre got TKO’d by Matt Serra in their first meeting at UFC 69, after coming in as a -1300 favorite, and Antonio Rogerio Nogueira was as high as -2500 before getting knocked out by the then-unknown Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou at PRIDE 33.

Again, I’m not trying to convince you to bet on Bonnar here. I’m just saying, maybe on fight night you should go to a sports bar that’s showing the event, look for some poor mark who doesn’t seem to know what’s going on, and casually suggest that you think the black guy is gonna win. If you play your cards right, you might be able to get a free beer out of it.


  1. J.Jones Says:

    Thu, 09/13/12 - 11:35

    God Damn BG you are straight owning the captions today. A golf clap is in order.
  2. El Guapo Says:

    Thu, 09/13/12 - 11:41

    Sometimes these things happen in UFC..
  3. EarthIsGay Says:

    Thu, 09/13/12 - 11:42

    It also kind of looks like Bonnar is lusting after an invisible BK triple stacker.
  4. The12ozCurls Says:

    Thu, 09/13/12 - 11:44

    Agreed. Kudos BG. I am making sure to NOT have a drink of water before I read the captions since the Leben "camera-man masturbation" one that almost killed me.
  5. bgoldstein Says:

    Thu, 09/13/12 - 12:02

    @ J.Jones: When you're hot, you're hot.
  6. ArmFarmer Says:

    Thu, 09/13/12 - 12:12

    Wouldn't it be a beautiful thing if Bonner and Belfort managed to destroy these two. Two of the sports biggest egos getting smashed, while simultaneously raining on the parade of the ufc execs that set up these pointless matches and shitty cards. If that happens I will un-renounce my faith in god.
  7. Null Kuhl Says:

    Thu, 09/13/12 - 12:14

  8. ArmFarmer Says:

    Thu, 09/13/12 - 12:16

    "We're in trouble guys.. the fans are starting to notice our watered down shitty cards and lack of legit title fights.. what can we do.. I know! Let's put our dominant lightheavywweight champ against an undeserving middleweight, and our dominant middleweight champ against a random sub par lightheavyweight.. that's what the fans want, right? right??"
  9. Ricardo Guitardo Says:

    Thu, 09/13/12 - 12:19

    I hope Bonner beats up the gay guy.
  10. O Chan Says:

    Thu, 09/13/12 - 01:16

    Looks a lot like the American Psycho's "O Face"
  11. CrackMasterVanSnap Says:

    Thu, 09/13/12 - 02:10

    I think Bonner might be doing his impression of Marlon Brando in The Godfather. "Erm gerna merk herm ern erffer her kernt rerfers!"
  12. Knacker Says:

    Thu, 09/13/12 - 02:32

    Ermm Cyborg vs Finney, Is that the one where Cris teabags her and then wipes its dick on the curtains when its done?
  13. Mr_Misanthropy Says:

    Thu, 09/13/12 - 08:15

    "What's the matter with you? Is this what you've become, a Hollywood finocchio who cries like a woman? "Oh, what do I do? What do I do?" What is that nonsense? Ridiculous!"
  14. ringjoker80 Says:

    Fri, 09/14/12 - 01:41

    They UFC layed an egg on this one. UFC 153 should have been Mendez vs Edgar main event, co main Belcher vs Weidman, Hunt vs Big Nog now these are fights id like to see. Stop this all about the money non sense and give us fans fights to watch.
  15. zhanbao Says:

    Fri, 09/14/12 - 03:44
  16. NerdRage Says:

    Sat, 09/15/12 - 11:20

    Bonner vs Silva = Freight Train vs SmartCar.
  17. Says:

    Thu, 10/11/12 - 11:19

    [...] Painsville Station on Saturday night and Anderson Silva is the conductor. I know it, you know it, the bookies know it, and your mom knows it (I asked her last night. Say hi to her for me, alright?). Matter of fact, if [...]
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    Sun, 10/21/12 - 12:47

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    Wed, 01/30/13 - 10:09

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  20. makia julpo Says:

    Sat, 11/16/13 - 04:45

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  21. jalia parsnip Says:

    Sun, 12/01/13 - 03:12

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