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UFC 158 Odds: Georges St. Pierre Opens as a 4-1 Favorite Over Nick Diaz

Nick Diaz fans, it’s time to put your money where your stinkin’ mouths are. MMAFighting gives us the heads-up that UFC 158‘s main event just opened up with Georges St. Pierre as a -430 favorite, and Diaz as a +310 underdog. In other words, a $100 bet on Diaz would net you a $310 profit should the challenger win on March 16th, enough to buy you some of that good weed.

The only other UFC 158 fight that currently has odds attached to it is the co-main event between Carlos Condit and Rory MacDonald, in which Condit is listed as a slight underdog — you can find him as high as +145 — despite the fact that he won their first meeting by late TKO in June 2010. Maybe the oddsmakers got a little too excited about MacDonald’s stomping of a past-his-prime BJ Penn when they set the line. Sure, Condit was taking a beating before his comeback knockout of Rory, but he’s certainly capable of doing the same thing again. Your thoughts, please.

But back to the main event — I feel like some of these betting sites should offer wagers on if Diaz will actually make it to the fight without anything stupid happening. And speaking of which, it seems like the booking of Hendricks vs. Ellenberger on the same card as GSP vs. Diaz is the UFC’s insurance policy against just such an occurance. As Dana White explained:

There’s no guarantees with Nick Diaz. I got nine welterweights that are all in the top five on this show, so if he falls out, we’ll still have a GSP fight.”

That’s right. Nine welterweights in the top five at UFC 158, a card that only has six welterweights on it right now. Who knows how many top-five welterweights Dana has on his entire welterweight roster? There could be dozens. Okay, maybe Dana meant “nine welterweights in the top ten,” although that’s still not an accurate statement in relation to UFC 158, and I can’t tell if the hypothetical tenth guy is supposed to be Ben Askren or not.

The more important point is that St. Pierre will defend his belt at UFC 158, with Diaz or without him. So if Diaz gets himself suspended again, maybe Hendricks will get his big moment after all.

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Jimmy- December 18, 2012 at 11:09 pm
nine welterweights in the top five fights of the ppv
Mr_Misanthropy- December 17, 2012 at 6:40 pm
It will be pretty funny if Clamdip handles Roarie again.

Roarie's definitely good and has a lot of potential but aside from GSP the roster at Tryspar isn't that great. Joe Rogan slobs the tristar knob all over the microphone but you look at their roster and most of the names are guys that are past their prime. I'm sure everybody there could kick my ass but there are definitely quite a few teams out there with more impressive rosters. Some of the bigger names actually seem to be doing worse for some reason after going there, not better.

Maybe it's the mandatory meggings/ leotard uniform.
Mr_Misanthropy- December 17, 2012 at 6:31 pm
Considering how much theatrics Hendricks was known for in his wrestling career it's curious he doesn't play the role better in his fight career where it could actually make him some money. If he wants to do his talking in the cage he should quit belly aching and keep knocking fools out.
cman- December 17, 2012 at 5:45 pm
As for Hendricks not even being co-main worthy? Nope, hint Hendricks, hire a PR guy and learn this, like all sports, is a business. Shave, and get Gillette, do SOMETHING. Bland guy makes you Iowa, and who goes to Iowa? Get an identity fans can connect with, or an image sponsors love. Try talking about being Ram tough, lumberjacking and grabbing a beer, ANYTHING to get an image. Won't harm training or anything.
cman- December 17, 2012 at 5:39 pm
Recipe for beating a Diaz. Don't fight their fight. GSP is going to brutalize him. Badly. Diaz meet short elbow.
rudedude- December 17, 2012 at 4:15 pm
What odds did condit get against gsp any one know?
RwilsonR- December 17, 2012 at 2:30 pm
Yes, Nick will get wrestlefucked, but I think he'll lose on the feet, too. Nick does well against guys with poor foot movement who either stand in front of him or he can corner against the fence. He also doesn't do as we'll with variety of attack. Nick also isn't the fastest. He was beaten to the punch by KJ Noons, by a fresh BJ Penn, and by Carlos Condit. GSP's speed bested Condit and Penn, leading me to believe he'll do the same to Nick. Even if this fight never hits the ground, it will look a lot like GSP and Nick Ring having a good time at a Montreal nightclub together - GSP in-and-out, in-and-out, in-and-out... all night long.
NinjaVanish- December 17, 2012 at 2:27 pm
GSP vs Diaz will be like Henderson vs Diaz. GSP by UD.
crappiefloper- December 17, 2012 at 2:17 pm
His ears are not THAT bad. I see worse cauliflower on the tip of my dick every time I take a burning hot piss. I think I got 9 out of the top 5 STD's going on,anybody know anything about rashes?
The12ozCurls- December 17, 2012 at 2:32 pm
Scratch at a feverish pace until you see smoke.
Then scratch some more.
Alan K- December 17, 2012 at 2:13 pm
Wait, Johny isn't good enough for the main event and he's not even good enough for the co-main event? Damn, why does Dana hate this guy so much?
The12ozCurls- December 17, 2012 at 1:47 pm
@JJ
Classier - YES - more accurate, well, that is debatable.
HIS right ear looks like the profile view of the masked woman and the hooded guy from "The Strangers" and HIS left ear looks like the egg from the theatrical poster of "Alien" - Either way, both ears resemble a fully-chomped pouch of Big League Chew.
NinJay- December 17, 2012 at 1:47 pm
I think the odds are spot on. GSP will wrestlefuck him to an early grave just like every other wrestler Diaz has faced. I do think Diaz will win one round, but that still leaves 9 of the 5 rounds going to GSP for an easy decision.
RwilsonR- December 17, 2012 at 1:28 pm
Good odds on GSP, if you ask me. Out of the $28 in my wallet right now, I'm putting $50 of it on GSP.
J.Jones- December 17, 2012 at 1:22 pm
@12oz - I was going to go with the Cloverfield monster, but yours sounds so much classier.
El Guapo- December 17, 2012 at 1:17 pm
Like me some good weed and love me some Diaz Bros but I'd be lying if I didn't think Nick is gonna get wrestlefucked/smotherhumped by GSP the way Nate got (tooth)picked apart by Bendo. 3-1 IS tempting tho..
MorningwoodII- December 17, 2012 at 1:10 pm
Maybe Anderson Silva is the hypothetical tenth guy?
Casa de los pantelones- December 17, 2012 at 12:55 pm
Uncle Dana asked the number 9 if it wanted to be a fucking number. Number 9 responded by going into 5. Fuck you science!
The12ozCurls- December 17, 2012 at 12:48 pm
HOLY SHIT!
Nick's ears look like a fucking Salvador Dali painting!
knucklesamitch- December 17, 2012 at 12:44 pm
Is it kind of like when you have 10 lbs of shit in a 5 lbs bag?
O Chan- December 17, 2012 at 12:42 pm
I'm no math major, but how can you have 9 welterweights in the top 5?
*
Let me get my calculator: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p2EA2nA2ar0
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