Nick Diaz fans, it’s time to put your money where your stinkin’ mouths are. MMAFighting gives us the heads-up that UFC 158‘s main event just opened up with Georges St. Pierre as a -430 favorite, and Diaz as a +310 underdog. In other words, a $100 bet on Diaz would net you a $310 profit should the challenger win on March 16th, enough to buy you some of that good weed.

The only other UFC 158 fight that currently has odds attached to it is the co-main event between Carlos Condit and Rory MacDonald, in which Condit is listed as a slight underdog — you can find him as high as +145 — despite the fact that he won their first meeting by late TKO in June 2010. Maybe the oddsmakers got a little too excited about MacDonald’s stomping of a past-his-prime BJ Penn when they set the line. Sure, Condit was taking a beating before his comeback knockout of Rory, but he’s certainly capable of doing the same thing again. Your thoughts, please.

But back to the main event — I feel like some of these betting sites should offer wagers on if Diaz will actually make it to the fight without anything stupid happening. And speaking of which, it seems like the booking of Hendricks vs. Ellenberger on the same card as GSP vs. Diaz is the UFC’s insurance policy against just such an occurance. As Dana White explained:

“There’s no guarantees with Nick Diaz. I got nine welterweights that are all in the top five on this show, so if he falls out, we’ll still have a GSP fight.”

That’s right. Nine welterweights in the top five at UFC 158, a card that only has six welterweights on it right now. Who knows how many top-five welterweights Dana has on his entire welterweight roster? There could be dozens. Okay, maybe Dana meant “nine welterweights in the top ten,” although that’s still not an accurate statement in relation to UFC 158, and I can’t tell if the hypothetical tenth guy is supposed to be Ben Askren or not.

The more important point is that St. Pierre will defend his belt at UFC 158, with Diaz or without him. So if Diaz gets himself suspended again, maybe Hendricks will get his big moment after all.