(Please, Rampage. Your fist-pose means nothing here.)
For those of you who like to plan ahead in your MMA gambling, listen up: Several betting sites are already offering odds on Rashad Evans vs. Rampage Jackson at UFC 130 — a match that is completely unconfirmed at this point — and the purely hypothetical superfight between Anderson Silva and Georges St. Pierre, which would depend on a GSP victory over Jake Shields. The most favororable odds right now are…
Rashad Evans (-185) vs. Quinton “Rampage” Jackson (+155)
Anderson Silva (-170) vs. Georges St. Pierre (+155)
Of course Evans should be the favorite in a rematch with Jackson, considering he beat Rampage a year ago. But after a year’s inactivity and a recent knee injury? And after Rampage proved against Lyoto Machida that he can fight smart when he needs to? Things look different a year later, and taking ‘Page as a solid underdog might be a wise bet.
Interestingly, the line on GSP beating Anderson Silva is exactly the same as the payout on Jackson (+155). Is it justified? Hard to say. Some people might tell you that Chael Sonnen wrote the playbook on how to beat Anderson Silva, and it’s a playbook that St. Pierre can follow perfectly — while being savvy enough not to hang out in guard and get caught in a submission. Unfortunately, Silva will enjoy significant size and reach advantages, and an enormous advantage in the striking department. Plus, the dude always finds a way to win.
If the fight actually gets booked, keep your eye on the line to see if it spreads out even further. It’s a tough call right now, but if GSP creeps closer to being a 2-1 ‘dog, jump on it.