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You May Want to Throw Down Some Underdog Cash on Rampage and GSP

(Please, Rampage. Your fist-pose means nothing here.)

For those of you who like to plan ahead in your MMA gambling, listen up: Several betting sites are already offering odds on Rashad Evans vs. Rampage Jackson at UFC 130 — a match that is completely unconfirmed at this point — and the purely hypothetical superfight between Anderson Silva and Georges St. Pierre, which would depend on a GSP victory over Jake Shields. The most favororable odds right now are…

Rashad Evans (-185) vs. Quinton “Rampage” Jackson (+155)
Anderson Silva (-170) vs. Georges St. Pierre (+155)

Of course Evans should be the favorite in a rematch with Jackson, considering he beat Rampage a year ago. But after a year’s inactivity and a recent knee injury? And after Rampage proved against Lyoto Machida that he can fight smart when he needs to? Things look different a year later, and taking ‘Page as a solid underdog might be a wise bet.

Interestingly, the line on GSP beating Anderson Silva is exactly the same as the payout on Jackson (+155). Is it justified? Hard to say. Some people might tell you that Chael Sonnen wrote the playbook on how to beat Anderson Silva, and it’s a playbook that St. Pierre can follow perfectly — while being savvy enough not to hang out in guard and get caught in a submission. Unfortunately, Silva will enjoy significant size and reach advantages, and an enormous advantage in the striking department. Plus, the dude always finds a way to win.

If the fight actually gets booked, keep your eye on the line to see if it spreads out even further. It’s a tough call right now, but if GSP creeps closer to being a 2-1 ‘dog, jump on it.

Cagepotato Comments

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myklhoey- February 13, 2011 at 8:14 am
how could i, i watch you everyday, when you sleep when you wake up, in the shower. umm ya in the shower
Curtis Sample- February 11, 2011 at 7:05 pm
tjbaron- February 11, 2011 at 6:23 pm
Please dont put ur money on GSP. I love the guy, but it's gonna be a sad day when Anderson beats him in the 1st RD
Redping- February 11, 2011 at 5:42 pm
they clearly said they're bringing back logons, is it just the objective of the mma fan to find something totally pointless to bitch about that people with lives don't even notice, like the fact that the cagepotato comments system is different for 2 weeks?
portland mma- February 11, 2011 at 3:38 pm
Cool with the new format awesome dudes like appatapauredioneouts can post their bullshit spam and when you click on there names they get free advertising yay!
Tom- February 11, 2011 at 3:02 pm
Watch the youtube video of Joe Rogan teaching GSP the turning side kick and you will see how small GSP is...Joe Rogan looks like Brock Lesnar next to him
RearNakedSpoon- February 11, 2011 at 2:34 pm
Oh and I love the new comment section, it was always missing a bunch of random spam and mp3's.
RearNakedSpoon- February 11, 2011 at 2:33 pm
Looks like Hamill will be fighting Rampage now so the odds will be getting longer ;)
rags81- February 11, 2011 at 2:10 pm
Why do people keep saying that Sonnen cracked the code on how to beat Silva, in case you forgot, HE LOST.
RwilsonR- February 11, 2011 at 2:01 pm
@ NinjaNerd - This was some time ago, but I remember something I saw on the UG a few years back where they showed like 6 different GSP fights, and every one listed a different reach for him. It ranged from like 70" to 76". Sometimes they would be like 4 months apart, and have a 4 inch reach difference. So reasearch or not, they may not have been able to get much of a good answer.

Still, in terms of functional reach as displayed in fights, it does seem pretty apparent than Anderson should have a decided advantage here.
Fedor Penn- February 11, 2011 at 1:56 pm
GSP may be small but I still think he will win against Silva due to his outstanding wrestling. If he wins it will be boring but that doesn't matter in a bet.
RearNakedSpoon- February 11, 2011 at 1:49 pm
My god I just realised how small GSP is compared to a 185'er...Bisping is so much taller in that picture!!! :O
andersonsyourmom- February 11, 2011 at 1:33 pm
gsp is ashrimp for 185. too bad for canada.
NinjaNerd- February 11, 2011 at 1:29 pm
Does CP do any research whatsoever?

GSP's reach: 76 inches

Silva's reach: 77.5 inches

How is that significant...
Mofo- February 11, 2011 at 1:24 pm
BenG and MikeRuss - are you gonna delete these comments too? Are you gonna bring back our old comments are they gone for good? Are you planning more slaps in our faces in the future? What are you, Strikeforce?
Stak40- February 11, 2011 at 1:16 pm
Apparently Belfort was the most dangerous striker AS faced and we saw what happened to him. So because GSP jabbed Kos face to a pulp makes him as dangerous as a striker as Silva. Hell naw! I think he only has a couple of wins by strikes. GSP is the shit but get off his dick!
kk89093- February 11, 2011 at 1:05 pm
Front kicks aint shit! GSP is gonna embarass Silva just like Sonnen did, except not get choked the fuck out
conorjudge- February 11, 2011 at 1:04 pm
how does anderson have an enormous striking advantage? gsp is easily the most well rounded striker anderson has ever fought , especially defensively. Besides anderson was hit several times by sonnen as well as being wobbled and dropped
RwilsonR- February 11, 2011 at 1:04 pm
Rampage is a good value here. I was at his last fight against Rashad in Vegas, and he looked lethargic and terrible. Yet he still almost came back on finished Rashad near the end of the fight. I think a motivated Rampage wins this easily. If he looks like he did against Machida, he will beat Rashad no problem.
Fried Taco- February 11, 2011 at 1:03 pm
I don't bet with real money, I prefer other things, like sexual favors. A few of you know what I'm talking about.
Sudos KFC- February 11, 2011 at 1:01 pm
GSP is not a great value bet at -155 plus with all the canadians betting on him the line (just like how the cowboys, irish and lakers all have inflated lines based on their fanbases unswerving bets) will eventually move in his way, making him even less of a value for the risk versus a much bigger and more talented striker as well as dangerous bjj ace in silva. GSP wont be able to finish this fight, thus putting him in danger for 5 rounds against an opponet that has submitted much bigger and more dangerous foes before.

A better play would be to watch the line and either put it on silva late or grab GSP rigfht before the fight if the line for whatever reasons moves towards silva.