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Gambling Addiction Enabler: ‘UFC on Fox’ Edition

It’s been a long road, ladies and gentlemen, but it seems the time of network television MMA not involving Kimbo Slice and a screaming Gus Johnson is finally upon us. UFC on Fox kicks off at 9 o’clock tomorrow night, and for those of you who are looking to get some last minute gambling in, well, allow us to help you scratch that itch. Check out the betting lines, courtesy of BestFightOdds, along with our Morgan Freeman-eqsue advice on what to do below.

Main Card/Event:
Cain Velasquez (-175) vs. Junior Dos Santos (+155)

Preliminary Card
Benson Henderson (-260) vs. Clay Guida (+220)
Dustin Poirier (-300) vs. Pablo Garza (+250)
Aaron Rosa (-140) vs. Matt Lucas (+120)
Mike Pierce (-340) vs. Paul Bradley (+280)
Mackens Sermizer (-115) vs. Robert Peralta (-105)
DaMarques Johnson (-270) vs. Clay Harvison (+230)
Norifumi Yamamoto (-360) vs. Darren Uyenoyama (+300)
Ricardo Lamas (-145) vs. Cub Swanson (+125)
Cole Escovedo (-260) vs. Alex Caceres (+220)

The Main Event: With his granite chin, KO power, and stellar wrestling base, Velasquez deserves to be the favorite here, but then again, it’s been just under a year since we’ve seen him compete. Dos Santos hasn’t been much more active, aside from his dismantling of Shane Carwin back at UFC 131, which along with his fight against Roy Nelson, has shown that “Cigano” tends to coast in the later rounds when unable to finish in the first.

But there is one outside factor that seems to have been overlooked here, and that is the Fox deal itself. Now, we’re not saying that Cain is being offered some kind of “stand up” bonus, but you have to imagine that the UFC would not want their first major network fight to be a 25 minute wrestlefuckfest. Will Cain try to stand with Dos Santos, even though he clearly has an advantage in the grappling game? Our guess is no, and if Dos Santos couldn’t knock out Nelson or Carwin, then he ain’t knocking out the champ, who should take this one.

The Good Dogs: Honestly, there aren’t many on this card. Pablo Garza has looked great in his last two outings, but Dustin Poirier’s pressure and superior striking game should earn him the victory there. Both Alex Caceres and Cole Escovedo have looked equally unimpressive in their last two performances, but “Apache Kid” should be able to handle “Bruce Leroy” with ease. And let’s hope he does, because we’re getting pretty tired of watching Caceres disgrace the great Bruce Lee with a smile on his face each time he steps into the octagon. The rest of the pack isn’t really worth wasting your time over, unless you have a thing for ridiculous, California-themed tattoos.

So that leaves us with Clay Guida. Say what you want about the (cave)man, but Guida knows how to follow a gameplan if nothing else. And lord knows he’s played the role of underdog before and come away victorious. But he’s facing a man who’s better than him in virtually every aspect, save cardio, in Ben Henderson. You think Guida can shoulder strike his way to the next lightweight title shot? Then a bet on him seems fine, just don’t get pissed at us when you don’t see any return on it.

The Easy Bets: DaMarques Johnson, for starters. He’s never been one for consistency, but he is way too seasoned, and has more ways to win than Clay Harvison, who got absolutely dominated by Seth Baczynski in his last outing. Also, “Kid” Yamamoto is going to go apeshit on Darren Uyenoyama, who we’re not sure is ready for UFC level competition to begin with.

Official CagePoato Parlay: Velasquez +Henderson + Johnson + Rosa

50 bucks nets you $205. 32, or enough to get that replica belt ironically signed by Jon Jones and Mauricio Rua. Not bad considering there are no underdogs in that parlay.

-Danga 

Cagepotato Comments

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aaronb- November 14, 2011 at 8:32 am
No kidding Honkey. Ugly night of gambling all around.

I last a bill20 on my Cigano-Bendo-Saunders parlay too. Especially painful after Saunders won round 1.
honkey- November 13, 2011 at 2:21 am
Guess not to many people will be thankin aaronb lol 0-3 ouch
ghostboner- November 11, 2011 at 1:11 pm
When aaronb gives gambling advice you best listen.
El Guapo- November 11, 2011 at 12:32 pm
Brwon Pride + SoCal(ifas) + Hammerfists = Easy Dinero
aaronb- November 11, 2011 at 12:01 pm
Ben Saunders
+
Kid Yamamoto
+
Cole Escovedo
=
The parlay to play this weekend.

Thank me later
DangadaDang- November 11, 2011 at 12:00 pm
@Space
I'm honestly pulling for Garza, but Poirier has looked real strong lately.
J. Spaceman- November 11, 2011 at 11:46 am
I gotta go with the dogs on this one. I think Garza finds a way and I think Guida's constant movement throws Henderson off enough to eek out a decision in his favor. $20 gets you $204 at those odds.
Get Off Me- November 11, 2011 at 11:20 am
I am not so sure about Cain's granite chin. I have only seen Cain rocked once(Kongo) and I know JDS hits harder than Cheick.
Cain's stand up is strong, but with the rotator cuff issue he experienced, I am sure he will be looking to wrestlefuck his way to victory. If JDS does not get taken down, I think he will be able to finish Cain. Also JDS showed some ground game in his fight against Carwin, we really do not know how strong JDS's ground game is, but I think his takedown defense will be the way to victory for him tomorrow.
I like Henderson-Pierce-Swanson for a nice parlay.
If Miller and Bocek couldn't suffocate Henderson, no way Guida will.
RwilsonR- November 11, 2011 at 11:07 am
It looks like chzhgg could have used an edit button to peddle his sex service.
RwilsonR- November 11, 2011 at 11:06 am
Oh, I thought Cub Swanson's tattoo said "Lo Cal". I just always thought he was a health food enthusiast.
stevehonda1- November 11, 2011 at 11:00 am
Hey CP, you should do a feature on the article the NY Times just did on UFC going mainstream. Great read.
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